tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post2840104766017985762..comments2024-03-28T04:12:17.506-04:00Comments on the daily howler: QAnon belief on the march!<b>bob somerby</b>http://www.blogger.com/profile/02963464534685954436noreply@blogger.comBlogger36125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-5251009724448764942022-03-01T06:59:14.065-05:002022-03-01T06:59:14.065-05:00There's no evidence that the Russian interfere...There's no evidence that the Russian interference had an impact on the outcome of the election. The idea is really dumb if one takes into the account the entire scope of money and how money drives our elections.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-34825146254508694022022-02-28T18:27:15.814-05:002022-02-28T18:27:15.814-05:006:24,
Yup.
I usually thank someone for teaching me...6:24,<br />Yup.<br />I usually thank someone for teaching me, not think they are laughing at me for being stupid.<br />Then again, I have self-esteem, which the Right lacks.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-86062615876104482022022-02-28T07:23:40.297-05:002022-02-28T07:23:40.297-05:00In service to deny the existence of racism, David ...In service to deny the existence of racism, David will even pretend something as ridiculous as wages being based on merit.<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-11889002879881882072022-02-28T06:22:27.064-05:002022-02-28T06:22:27.064-05:00Putin helped Trump win in 2016 and The Russian gov...Putin helped Trump win in 2016 and <em>The Russian government interfered in the 2016 presidential election in sweeping and systematic fashion.</em> to hurt Clinton. <br />Shove that Q.E.D. up your traitorous ass, David. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-67858938888756420062022-02-28T05:02:47.429-05:002022-02-28T05:02:47.429-05:00Boy, that one has been thoroughly debunked.Boy, that one has been thoroughly debunked.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-35867931391554900712022-02-28T01:01:59.970-05:002022-02-28T01:01:59.970-05:00Even if QAnon was real, how is that scarier than t...Even if QAnon was real, how is that scarier than the Republican Party being a bunch of fascists?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-52485334633078464012022-02-28T00:24:23.731-05:002022-02-28T00:24:23.731-05:00Everyone knows performance is what drives pay. As...Everyone knows performance is what drives pay. Ask any executive who got a multi-million dollar buyout after running a business into the ground.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-1692217045604416332022-02-28T00:13:44.587-05:002022-02-28T00:13:44.587-05:00Plus one of their assets was President of the Unit...Plus one of their assets was President of the United States.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-13479693892854646222022-02-27T23:54:06.386-05:002022-02-27T23:54:06.386-05:00Thanks for your interesting reply, Kelly. You poin...Thanks for your interesting reply, Kelly. You point out ways that polls can be made more accurate. However, you haven't convinced me that what the pollsters call "margin of error" represents the full uncertainty. <br /><br />E.g., suppose the pollster introduces lie scales and response models. I assume that they will make the poll more accurate. However, these adjustments are not perfect. They have their own degree of uncertainty. And, this uncertainly is not included in the pollsters' "margin of error". <br /><br />Similarly, adjustments for time of day also have some uncertainty, which is not included in the 'margin of error'.David in Calhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10222355423128534221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-48256961684189047662022-02-27T20:16:59.830-05:002022-02-27T20:16:59.830-05:00Kelly - the pay gap is caused by the difference in...Kelly - the pay gap is caused by the difference in performance. If you read this blog, you know that, on average, Asian students are 4 to 5 years ahead of blacks. That's why Asians out-earn blacks.David in Calhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10222355423128534221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-52634547819460904822022-02-27T19:25:04.499-05:002022-02-27T19:25:04.499-05:00Curing poverty and curing racism are not the same ...Curing poverty and curing racism are not the same thing. If every employer gives preference to blacks, why is there still such a huge pay gap? There are too many statistical indicators of unequal treatment to assume that the work is done.Not a rodenthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02216459357112547141noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-55417181057680333592022-02-27T18:24:23.739-05:002022-02-27T18:24:23.739-05:00Right, smug is a strawman. Conservatives imagine t...Right, smug is a strawman. Conservatives imagine that the left is smug everytime the right is caught being stupid or wrong. But that isn't actually how liberals feel. Not that Maher would know, since he is neither liberal nor right about much.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-14682690486048204402022-02-27T18:24:22.734-05:002022-02-27T18:24:22.734-05:00Thanks for the link, @1:38. It seems to me that Ac...Thanks for the link, @1:38. It seems to me that Acho ignores the enormous amount that this country had done about racism. Literally trillions of dollars spent on the Great Society were substantially aimed at blacks. Almost every college and every employer in the country gives preferences to blacks.David in Calhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10222355423128534221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-44549841916530814032022-02-27T18:14:56.580-05:002022-02-27T18:14:56.580-05:00mh - Russia expanded during the Obama and Biden Ad...mh - Russia expanded during the Obama and Biden Administrations. They didn't expand during the Trump Administration. Q.E.D.<br /><br />Russia had less leverage during the Trump Administration, because the US was energy independent.<br /><br />@2:54 I'm afraid Trump will never shut up.David in Calhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10222355423128534221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-71684166074913856272022-02-27T17:38:04.608-05:002022-02-27T17:38:04.608-05:00Who but a deluded fool would argue in favor of bei...Who but a deluded fool would argue in favor of being smug?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-86412107120604586972022-02-27T14:54:49.327-05:002022-02-27T14:54:49.327-05:00I wonder how many years after Trump is out of offi...I wonder how many years after Trump is out of office he'll learn to shut his fucking mouth and stop sucking Putin's dick in public, eh David.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-36837647595529908472022-02-27T14:53:17.126-05:002022-02-27T14:53:17.126-05:00Only random sampling assures representativeness of...Only random sampling assures representativeness of the larger population. But in practical sample sizes, randomness doesn't guarantee representativeness -- stratification does that (selecting people based on their characteristics).<br /><br />Political polling involves modeling to decide how many people in which groups will provide representativeness, so perhaps your friend is referring to adjustments made to such models. <br /><br />For example, there are times of day when certain categories of people are more likely to respond to polls, e.g., old people, those on disability, housewives, will be overrepresented during the middle of the day when others are at work. Adjusting for such imbalances in sampling would not just be a judgmental adjustment but a necessity to prevent certain categories of people from being over-represented in the sample.<br /><br />Lying is related to the wording of questions, not to sampling (the source of random error). Lying introduces systematic error, not statistical noise, and needs to be measured and adjusted for. You do this by including lie scales and response models, such as signal detection theory (for guessing) or affective risk models for economics. If you are using rating scales, then Kahneman & Tversky's biases are important. This is all part of the science of polling and surveying people. It is very complex, but the solution is not to assume that results mean nothing because people lie. It is to check whether the people conducting the survey know what they are doing and take such lying into account, and whether the poll is biased because it was conducted in order to produce a desired result.<br /><br />Your response strikes me as being akin to someone who won't ride an elevator because equipment can fail, instead of assuming that the proper design and maintenance by elevator-experts make the ride safe. Not a rodenthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02216459357112547141noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-84505773793648196272022-02-27T14:37:04.745-05:002022-02-27T14:37:04.745-05:00I suppose you are talking about inherited situatio...I suppose you are talking about inherited situations when you call these Biden's fuckups. I consider this one with Putin to fit that category.not mhnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-55524698857014789422022-02-27T14:20:42.008-05:002022-02-27T14:20:42.008-05:00mh - I wonder how many years after Trump is out of...mh - I wonder how many years after Trump is out of office people will still try to blame him for f*ckups by the present President.David in Calhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10222355423128534221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-43739472411984814542022-02-27T14:18:18.448-05:002022-02-27T14:18:18.448-05:00Kelly -- Are you suggesting that the dishonest res...Kelly -- <i>Are you suggesting that the dishonest responses would exceed the margin of error for the poll?</i><br /><br />Yes, indeed! The "margin of error" reflects only the error due to statistical variation. It assumes honest answers. It also assumes that the population sampled properly matches the total population. So, the true uncertainty far exceeds the so-called "margin of error".<br /><br />BTW I once sat with a pollster at a dinner. She explained that in political polls, the polling companies can make judgmental adjustments when the results look odd.David in Calhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10222355423128534221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-23177973203915581962022-02-27T13:55:03.756-05:002022-02-27T13:55:03.756-05:00As Mr. Acho suggests, "If you are raising whi...As Mr. Acho suggests, "If you are raising white kids, please, please talk to them about race. We must all see color to see racism". Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-73938399966763336842022-02-27T13:39:28.610-05:002022-02-27T13:39:28.610-05:00Bill Maher knows three convervative rich people an...Bill Maher knows three convervative rich people and acts like he's the one flipping Georgia blue Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-27810129028775233562022-02-27T13:38:20.937-05:002022-02-27T13:38:20.937-05:00https://uncomfortableconvos.com/
This is what Som...https://uncomfortableconvos.com/<br /><br />This is what Somerby, David in Cal, and others here should read/watch. I believe this lacks the sanctimonious tone that Somerby keeps complaining about. So, no excuse to ignore the message about how to treat others better.<br /><br />"“You cannot fix a problem you do not know you have.” So begins Emmanuel Acho in his essential guide to the truths Americans need to know to address the systemic racism that has recently electrified protests in all fifty states. “There is a fix,” Acho says. “But in order to access it, we’re going to have to have some uncomfortable conversations.”<br /><br />In Uncomfortable Conversations With a Black Man, Acho takes on all the questions, large and small, insensitive and taboo, many white Americans are afraid to ask—yet which all Americans need the answers to, now more than ever. With the same open-hearted generosity that has made his video series a phenomenon, Acho explains the vital core of such fraught concepts as white privilege, cultural appropriation, and “reverse racism.” In his own words, he provides a space of compassion and understanding in a discussion that can lack both. He asks only for the reader’s curiosity—but along the way, he will galvanize all of us to join the antiracist fight."Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-46778586555664626152022-02-27T01:51:54.375-05:002022-02-27T01:51:54.375-05:00“Watching Zelensky’s conduct over the last few wee...“Watching Zelensky’s conduct over the last few weeks makes Donald Trump’s attempt to use the power of the United States government to blackmail him even more obscene. Trump is not fit to shine Zelensky’s boots. That Trump’s actions were taken not as a private citizen, but as the American head of state should make all of us deeply ashamed.”<br /><br />https://thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/zelensky-has-become-more-than-a-man?utm_campaign=postmhhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08937133532381705347noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8611810694571930415.post-55273749988760161482022-02-27T01:18:41.423-05:002022-02-27T01:18:41.423-05:00Where’s Saturday’s post?
Is it safe to assume tha...Where’s Saturday’s post?<br /><br />Is it safe to assume that Somerby is too ashamed of himself and his defense of Trump and his scoffing at the Russia investigation and the shit Manafort was up to and the harm Trump did to Zelensky and Ukraine and NATO now that that set the stage for “genius” Putin to invade Ukraine? Has he reflected on that and chosen radio silence?<br /><br />Nah. He’s too much of a shit to be ashamed. mhhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08937133532381705347noreply@blogger.com