How many people are dying from covid?

FRIDAY, JUNE 12, 2020

Cable star's strange remarks:
How many Americans are currently dying from the coronavirus?

We've been looking at the numbers of late because of the strange remarks we keeping hearing from Rachel Maddow. On this, as on other key topics, Maddow seems inclined to overstate in service to the production of gloom.

She's been misstating all week. Below, you see the strangest remark we've seen her make:
MADDOW (6/9/20): Back when the White House used to appear to work on the coronavirus epidemic, when they used to have coronavirus briefings, you might remember there was one particular projection model they liked to showcase at all of their briefings. It was from the University of Washington, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington...

Those researchers at the University of Washington have still kept working on it
, and today their projections for the number of American coronavirus deaths jumped another 5,000 from where they were at last week. They're now projecting that by the first week in August, 145,000 Americans will be dead from this thing–145,000! From today, that would be 30,000 more Americans dead in less than a month.
It's true! According to current IHME model (it was updated on June 10), the U.S. death toll will hit 140,000 as of August 6. (That's the best estimate for that date, within a possible range).

But we'll hit that number on August 6, and Maddow was speaking on June 9. The IHME is projecting roughly 30,000 additional deaths over a period of eight weeks, not over the shorter term Maddow gloomily cited.

Presumably, that was a brain cramp. That said, Maddow had gloomily offered a bogus number just one night before. Ironically, it was part of a longer discussion about the way Donald J. Trump kept making bogus projections when he discussed such things:
MADDOW (6/8/20): We are over 110,000 American deaths already as of this weekend, and we're still losing 1,000 more Americans on average every day.
That statement was made on Monday, June 8. In fact, for the first eight days in June, the average number of deaths had been 765.3 (Washington Post figures).

The 7-day rolling average stood at 804.7 (June 2-8). Eight hundred is a lot of deaths, but it isn't a thousand.

Maddow overstates the figures and miscasts the situation every time we watch her. She took Wednesday night off, but last night, she was at it again, glumly pushing her constant claim that we are suffering the biggest epidemic in the world.

To this day, that's only true if you don't adjust for size of population, and Maddow never does. This statistical sleight of hand matches what Donald J. Trump constantly did when he triumphantly claimed, day after day, that we had done the most testing in the world.

Back on May 22, Maddow offered an amazingly bogus criticism of Deborah Birx. In a largely useless White House briefing, Birx had run through 23 slides in 23 minutes as she described the state of the epidemic here in the U.S.

We were struck by how useless her presentation had been. Birx had sped through most of her slides at very high speed with little time for explanation. There was little chance that the assembled reporters would take much new information away from what she had done.

That evening, Maddow took a startling approach. Angrily, she seized on just one of the 23 slides Birx had presented that day. Without mentioning the other 22 slides, she offered a truly paranoid account of what Birx had done:
MADDOW (5/22/20): Today, Dr. Deborah Birx stood up in front of a graph, apparently designed to make it look like things were getting much better, a nice downward sloping graph always soothes the eyes in the grips of an epidemic.

What it was that she was showing is just a graph showing the amount of testing being done in each state, and they stacked the drafts, and the ones doing the most testing are on the left side and the states doing the least testing will be on the right side of the graph, so it will give you that soothing feeling to see bars in the bar chart declining left to right, from a lot to nothing. It looks like it's declining over time, but it's not declining over time at all. It's just set up to look that way, at a glance, right?

That's misleading. That's just the states organized by which states are doing less testing, and that's not testing getting better or states getting better at a time.

Really? At a glance, it feels awesome, though. Look how small it is, over there on the right, by Oregon.
That presentation is so crazy we hardly know what to highlight. To watch Birx run through her 23 different slides, you can just click here.

We're sorry, but for undisguised paranoid lunacy, that presentation was right up there with the crazy claims which are increasingly the specialty of a certain crazy president. That was a flat-out crazy account of what Birx had said and done with her 23 slides that day.

At present, our rolling 7-day average for deaths stands at 735.3 (June 5-11). That's a lot of deaths each day, and the number may get much worse. (Or not.)

That's a lot of daily deaths. But it isn't a thousand daily deaths, and it's just as easy to report an accurate number as it is to make one up.

Maddow's been like this for a long time. She's also remarkably good at selling the car, and she was sold to us, long ago, as Our Own Rhodes Scholar.

We don't know why she does these things. Is it possible that she's just amazingly bad with numbers? We're not sure we've ever seen anyone other than Trump misuse statistics so constantly.

Think of this as just our latest anthropology lesson. Also, as a chance to see some currently accurate numbers, the kind you may not always get exposed to on TV.

27 comments:

  1. "Presumably, that was a brain cramp."

    You know what they say, dear Bob: when all your "brain cramps" fit the same liberal-goebellsian agenda -- you just might be a goebellsian dembot.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hello viewers around the Globe, I was despondent because i had a very small penis, about 2.5 inches soft and 4 inches hard not nice enough to satisfy a woman, i have been in so many relationship, but cut off because of my situation, i have used so many product which doctors for me, but none could offer me the help i searched for. i saw some few comments on the INTERNET about this specialist called Dr,OLU and decided to contact him on his email: Drolusolutinthome@gmail.com) so I decided to give his herbal product a try. i emailed him and he got back to me, he gave me some comforting words with his herbal pills for Penis Enlargement, Within 3 week of it, i began to feel the enlargement was surprised when she said that she is satisfied with my sex and i have got a large penis. Am so happy, thanks to Dr OLU I also learn that Dr OLU also help with Breast Enlargement Hips and Bums Enlargement etc.. If you are in any situation with a little Penis, weak ejaculation, small breast_hips_bums do get to Dr OLU now for help on his email (Drolusolutionhome@gmail.com) or add him on whatsapp line +2348140654426 

      Delete






    2. THE PERFECT LOVE SPELL CASTER TO CONTACT FOR YOUR BROKEN MARRIAGE/LOTTERY SPELL AND GET IT SOLVE FAST EMAIL DOCTOR0LOVESPELL@GMAIL.COM  
      I have something to share with you!!! There is a great joy in my heart which I want to share with everyone. My name is victoria joe. I had a misunderstanding with my lover a few years ago; which led to us to break up and he never wanted to hear my voice again. He saw a beautiful love more prettier than myself, but as time went on I met Doctor Love0. He is a great spell caster (medicine man ). I contacted him through his email: (doctor0lovespell@gmail. com) and explained everything to him. He said that I shouldn't worry, that my lover will come back to me on his knees begging for forgiveness. I bought  some items that he told me to buy for the preparation of the spell. After everything was prepared he told me that my lover will come to me after 24hours begging. My greatest joy now is that he actually came back to me and fell on his knees begging for forgiveness, and today we are happy. Do you have any problem with your loved one? Do not know what to do? Well worry no more because Doctor Love0 can provide you with a spell to get him or her back. With the help of a spell just as he helped me. Contact Doctor Love0 today via  FB page: https://www.facebook.com/Lovespellthatworkfastusa  or visit his website:  https://doctor0lovespell.wixsite.com/lovespell  also check his blogs: https://doctorlovespell0.blogspot.com/





















      Delete
  2. Every Republican club in America is holding workshops on ballot harvesting just in case. The enthusiasm is at a higher level than it has ever been in my 44 years on earth. Democrats better prepare. Trump is going to win in November but get a boat because the liberal tears are going to flood the entire nation.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Belgium has the most number of deaths when adjusted for population. Though, if you just compare NY, it is even worse. Having said that, Belgium mostly have the pandemic controlled, at least for now. The US is not even close. We are probably in last place in that category.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Maddow describes a model that begins a week earlier than the date upon which she describes it, and a period that ends in the first week of August (which includes Aug 6), then she reports deaths for "a month from now" which is correct for the time she was speaking, but is not the span of the model itself. Maddow is accurate. Somerby tries to confuse us into thinking she was wrong, when it is he who conflates the clearly described start and end points of the model with the 30 days from now (from the point when she is speaking) that Maddow's total covers.

    For people listening to such broadcasts, it doesn't matter whether the total is 765 or 1000 per day, but whether the deaths are increasing or decreasing where you live, and whether it is safe to go out or whether we must continue to self-isolate and wear masks.

    Somerby thinks that poking around in the weeds of these models and daily figures is important when it is the consequences of the numbers that people care about, their interpretation. He never deals with that, although he calls Maddow excessively gloomy because she rounds up to 1000. Is 765 anything to celebrate, to be chipper and perky about? Should we all be smiling beneath those masks, Somerby?

    ReplyDelete
  5. "she was sold to us, long ago, as Our Own Rhodes Scholar"

    Somerby calls her numbers bogus. Does he think she is making this up, was never a Rhodes Scholar? He must know her credentials, but that doesn't stop him from implying that she was "sold to us as" a scholar but is as phony as her bogus numbers. This is borderline lying, Somerby! And yes, I believe you have done this deliberately.

    Not only was Maddow a Rhodes Scholar, but she has written three books since becoming a cable host, two on serious political topics (the role of the military, the influence of the oil industry). Why would we have to be "sold" on her, when she is the real deal?

    Somerby makes himself seem small when he displays his envy so nakedly. But perhaps, like Trump, he has little sense of shame.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. For TDH’s jibe “Our Own Rhodes Scholar” to have any sting, it’s important that RM actually be a Rhodes Scholar. There’s no doubt that a corner of corporate media sold RM to her audience as their own Rhodes Scholar. And that sale couldn’t have been consummated unless RM actually is a Rhodes Scholar.

      TDH is saying that RM’s presentations are so brainless that it’s ironic to bill her as a Rhodes Scholar, the epitome of academic smarts and achievement.

      It’s the same thing when I call you professor. I really believe that you’re actually a professor, and I actually believe anyone of that rank should show sharp intellect and demonstrate careful judgment.

      To answer your last question, no one should be “sold” on RM because she’s the “real deal” as a Rhodes Scholar, but because she’s the “real deal” as a continuing exemplar of that title.

      Delete
    2. Professor is a job title and that sharp intellect etc goes with the job, not activities in every day life. Rachel Maddow's efforts as a Rhodes Scholar relate to the work of completing her thesis, not to how she conducts herself on a TV show. She is no longer a Rhodes Scholar -- she is an author and pundit. She does that about as well as anyone else. I am a very good bridge player but not particularly good at scrabble and terrible at tennis. So what? You are loading too much into such past activities. If you want to know how good a professor I was (other than judging by the FACT that I retired as a FULL professor (another job title), you would evaluate my publications (quantity and quality), just as someone can judge how good a Rhodes Scholar Maddow was by reading her thesis. But that is a different activity than being a TV host, or writing random comments on a blog, or baking bread, or changing oil on your car, or babysitting grandkids, or anything else any of us do beyond our work.

      That's why it is ridiculous for MSNBC to advertise Maddow that way, but just as ridiculous for Somerby to keep ridiculing her because she was once a student in Great Britain, whenever she says something he doesn't like on her show.

      Maddow is the read deal because she has researched and written two serious books after graduating. If you want to disparage them, read them and make some cogent criticisms of them. Referring to her sarcastically as a Rhodes Scholar doesn't do the job when she moved on from that in her education and in her career. To be current, you should be referring to her sarcastically as an author, but on what basis?

      The way you and Somerby try to mock her just sounds pitiful. Same with your disparagement of me -- I have my accomplishments and I know what they mean, so how can anything you say in your sarcastic tone affect that? You just make yourself sound ignorant and kind of mean. And that's how Somerby sounds when he "jibes" Maddow over a transient time in her life, long past.

      Delete
  6. Maddow: “We are over 110,000 American deaths already as of this weekend, and we're still losing 1,000 more Americans on average every day.”

    Somerby: “That statement was made on Monday, June 8. In fact, for the first eight days in June, the average number of deaths had been 765.3.”

    Maddow does not say she is looking at the average for the first eight days in June. Nor did she mention a rolling average over the June 2-8 time frame.

    In fact, using the time frame February 15 (date of first case) through June 8, you get 983 deaths per day on average. That’s pretty close to 1000. The day after Maddow said this (June 9), the total number of deaths was 1,093.

    ReplyDelete
  7. “Maddow offered an amazingly bogus criticism of Deborah Birx. “

    Somerby describes the White House briefing as “largely useless.”

    I agree.

    Birx’s presentation was worse than some D student fumbling her way through a perfunctory but required presentation. She rushed through the charts, waving her hands. The charts were barely visible. One got the sense of a content-free word salad.

    Maddow gave an appropriate summary of this useless bs.

    ReplyDelete
  8. “pushing her constant claim that we are suffering the biggest epidemic in the world.

    To this day, that's only true if you don't adjust for size of population, and Maddow never does.”

    An epidemic isn’t only defined by deaths.

    And since Somerby started complaining about the media not using per capita deaths, the US has moved from 12th highest to 9th highest deaths per million.

    We’re inching up! MAGA!

    ReplyDelete
  9. I was rejected by my husband of 8 years,it hurts so much been neglected all the time, I confronted my husband and he say it’s not working and needs a divorce.. I felt depressed and needed solution cause I love him so much. I went online for solution or counseling, when I stumbled on a testimonial page. People with similar problem as mine. I was lucky a lady left an email for me to contact, I took a bold step cause I was so depressed and feel like dying.. I contacted this great man, Dr Abaka, who prayed for me and assured me of my husband will return to my arms the next day of his spell prayer, behold after that prayer night, my husband came home pleading for my forgiveness, it’s our 1 year together after the prayer of Dr Abaka and my husband has never changed towards loving me.. contact this great man today via email: drabakaspelltemple@gmail.com or you can call/whats app no: +2349063230051.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Grace, tell it to Mao. He'll understand. He might also ask you if you know whether Dr. Abaka does penis enlargement.

      Delete
  10. CONTACT THE BEST LOTTERY SPELL CASTER FOR THE RIGHT LOTTERY NUMBERS NOW HIS LOTTERY SPELL IS 100% GUARANTEE WHATSAPP +2348118829899 

    Hello everyone am Raymond from Pennsylvania USA I want to share my wonderful testimony of how a powerful spell caster called Dr Great helped me to win lottery, i have been playing lottery for a long time now but I had no luck everything changed when I messaged Dr Great about winning the lottery he assured me that I will be the next winner he told me what to do and I did it and 24 hours later he sent me the lottery numbers and I played it I couldn't believe it I won $1,000,000 dollars it's was the best thing that have ever happened to me in my life. If you want to win a lottery WhatsApp or Call Dr Great on this number +2348118829899 or email him at infinitylovespell@gmail.com or infinitylovespell@yahoo.com 

    ReplyDelete
  11. Hello, I am Theresa Williams After being in relationship with Anderson for years, he broke up with me, I did everything possible to bring him back but all was in vain, I wanted him back so much because of the love I have for him, I begged him with everything, I made promises but he refused. I explained my problem to my friend and she suggested that I should rather contact a spell caster that could help me cast a spell to bring him back but I am the type that never believed in spell, I had no choice than to try it, I mailed the spell caster, and he told me there was no problem that everything will be okay before three days, that my ex will return to me before three days, he cast the spell and surprisingly in the second day, it was around 4pm. My ex called me, I was so surprised, I answered the call and all he said was that he was so sorry for everything that happened that he wanted me to return to him, that he loves me so much. I was so happy and went to him that was how we started living together happily again. Since then, I have made promise that anybody I know that have a relationship problem, I would be of help to such person by referring him or her to the only real and powerful spell caster who helped me with my own problem. His email: {drogunduspellcaster@gmail.com} you can email him if you need his assistance in your relationship or any other Case.
    1) Love Spells
    2) Lost Love Spells
    3) Stop Divorce Spells
    4) Marriage Spells
    5) Pregnancy spell
    6) Breakup Spells
    7) Death spell
    8.) You want to be promoted in your office
    9) want to satisfy your lover
    10) Lottery
    Contact this great man if you are having any problem for a lasting solution
    through {drogunduspellcaster@gmail.com}

    ReplyDelete
  12. The content that I normally see is nothing like what you have written. This is very well-thought out and well-planned. You are a unique thinker and bring up great individualized points. Please continue your work.


    SEO services in kolkata
    Best SEO services in kolkata
    SEO company in kolkata
    Best SEO company in kolkata
    Top SEO company in kolkata
    Top SEO services in kolkata
    SEO services in India
    SEO copmany in India

    ReplyDelete
  13. I want to use this great opportunity to thank Dr love for helping me to get my girlfriend back after 7 months of breakup. My girlfriend breakup with me because he see another boy at his working place and told me he is no longer interested in me and live me in pain and heart break. I seek for help on the internet and i saw so many good talk about this great spell caster Dr love and I contacted him also and explain my problems to him and he cast a love spell for me which i use to get back my girlfriend within the period of 48 hours and i am so grateful to him for the good work he did for me,that is why i also want to let everyone who is in need of help out there to also seek help from him so he can help.His email;(drloveteple@gmail.com ) or whatsapp: +2347010538590

    ReplyDelete
  14. What a wonderful and a straight forward spell caster that has brought back joy and happiness into my life!!! Am giving this testimony because am so happy, I want to thank Dr.Ozolo for the great thing He has done in my life , He brought happiness back to my life, I never believed in spell casters until my life fell apart when my lover decided to call it. I was so emotional breakdown to the extent i could not do anything reasonable again, after 2months in pain before an old friend of mine introduced me to a spell caster on line called Dr Ozolo, this was after I have been scammed by various fake spell casters. I was introduced to Dr Ozolo a true Spell Caster. In less than 24 hours i saw wonders, my lover came back to me and my life got back just like a completed puzzle, it was just like a dream to because i thought i had lost her forever. Thank you Dr. Ozolo for helping me but most of all, Your Honesty and Fast Accurate Results. EMAIL HIM FOR HELP: drozolospellcaster@gmail.com or : through his number +2348162265185.

    ReplyDelete
  15. ISKANDAR LENDERS "::: Do you become real estate, are you an influencer and you need money to improve your business, how far you have gone with your financial status and how confident you are with the financial future, we also have loans for bills hospitals, loans for high tech engineer loans for projects ranging from billions of loans to families, all of this and much more <<<<<< >>>>> In the range:
    $ 50,000.00, $ 100,000.00, $ 600,000.00 and $ 1,000,000.00
    ☎ ::::::::::::> + 62 822-7404-5059
    W / A :::::::> + 62 822-7404-5059
    e_mail :::::: [iskandalestari.kreditpersatuan@gmail.com]

    In this company we also have assistance for those who invest in other sectors, most of which are online businesses such as bitcoin {BTC}
    Below is a breakdown of how you can invest in bitcoin :::

    WARNING SUPER WEEK PROMO, PLEASE NOTE ONLY THE LAST 7 DAYS START FROM LOW US $ 300 AND GET 10 TIMES RETURN

    INVEST $ 300.00 GET $ 5,000.00
    INVEST $ 500.00 GET $ 7,000.00
    INVEST $ 1,000.00 GET $ 12,000.00
    INVESTMENT $ 10,000.00 GET $ 105,000.00
    INVESTMENT $ 100,000.00 CAN $ 1,000,000.00
    INVESTMENT $ 1,000,000.00 GET $ 10,000,000.00

    APPROVED PAYMENT METHOD
    >>>>>>>> [BTC]

    TRADE SUPPORT 24/7
    CONTACT CUSTOMER SERVICE NOW, QUICKLY NOW WILL HAPPEN, DON'T MISS THESE FAVORITE OPPORTUNITIES


    WhatsApp: +1 (682) 710_4911

    ReplyDelete
  16. My husband and I have been married for over 10 years. We met when I was 18 and he was 21. We’ve been through a lot emotionally together. There were several HUGE fights and painful situations in our marriage, but we always seemed to come out stronger on the other side. Out of the blue my husband just sprung the divorce talk on me, I was totally depressed until I found Dr.Todd website online and I ordered for a Love spell. You won’t believe my husband called me at the exact time this spell caster finished his spell work in 48hrs. I was totally amazed! He is wonderful and his spells work so fast. His Email: manifest spell cast@ gmail. com
    Whats App:+1 604 901 9747

    ReplyDelete
  17. This is a testimony that i will tell to every one out there to hear. I was hurt and heart-broken when a very big problem occurred in my marriage seven months ago, between me and my husband. so terrible that he took the case to court for a divorce. He said that he never wanted to stay with me again, and that he didn't love me anymore. So he packed out of the house and made me and my children passed through severe pain. I tried all my possible means to get him back after much begging but all to no avail and he confirmed it that he has made his decision, and he never wanted to see me again. So on one evening, as i was coming back from work, i met an old friend of mine who asked of my husband. So i explained every thing to her, so she told me that the only way i can get my husband back, is to visit a spell caster, because it has really worked for her too. So i never believed in spell, but i had no other choice than to follow her advice. Then she gave me the Email address of the spell caster whom she visited. drigbimasolutioncenter911@gmail.com. So the next morning, i sent a mail to the address she gave to me, and the spell caster assured me that i will get my husband back the next day. What an amazing statement!! I never believed, so he spoke with me, and told me everything that i need to do. Then the next morning, So surprisingly, my husband who didn't call me for the past 7 months, gave me a call to inform me that he was coming back. So Amazing!! So that was how he came back that same day, with lots of love and joy, and he apologized for his mistake, and for the pain he caused me and my children. Then from that day, our relationship was now stronger than how it were before, by the help of a spell caster. So, i will advice you out there if you have any problem contact Dr.IGBIMA, i give you 100% guarantee that he will help you. Email him at: drigbimasolutioncenter911@gmail.com

    ReplyDelete
  18. I want to thank of great Dr. Todd he brought my boyfriend back to me. i had seen many people to get him back but nothing, Dr. Todd gave me a consultation and told me all truth, and I trusted Dr. Todd and had him do the spells for me. it took awhile because it was very very messy between us. i had to wait for each spell to do its work. but once the last spell finally was working and the other spells had worked, that is when he called. we met. then it took many more meetings. but now we are back together and i can only thank Dr.Todd, he is the greatest, i will come to Dr. Todd for life. Todd took care of me like family. contact; manifestspellcast @ gmail. com manifestspellcast.wordpress.com
    WhatsApp:+1 604 901 9747

    ReplyDelete
  19. OMG!! I’m from UK Manchester, Blessings to you all that ready this my testimony on how Dr DODO help me. My boyfriend and I were seriously in love for 3 years and we were planning to get married but one day he came to my house and told me he was no longer interested in our relationship simply because he was dating another rich lady who promised to buy him a car and to sponsor their wedding. And I suffered heartbreak for 10 months and I was not tired of loving him, so I took a bold step by contacting a spell caster who helped me bring my ex boyfriend back. he is powerful and great his contact His on whatsapp ( +1 (706) 871-4571 ), if you have any problem contact Dr DODO, i give you 100% guarantee that he will help you!!.

    ReplyDelete
  20. I’m happy to appreciate the good work of dr Sam omijie Spell caster For saving my lost relationship I never believe there will Be a way To get my lover back but dr Sam omijie saved my relationship through his-spell and after 15 hours my love I return to me and asked for forgiveness I’m very happy because I never thought There is A great man like this You can also reach him on his email at samomijie635@gmail.com Or WhatsApp him on +2347033267235good luck.

    ReplyDelete
  21. LOTTO, lottery,jackpot.
    Hello all my viewers, I am very happy for sharing this great testimonies,The best thing that has ever happened in my life is how I win the lottery euro million mega jackpot. I am a Woman who believe that one day I will win the lottery. finally my dreams came through when I email believelovespelltemple@gmail.com and tell him I need the lottery numbers. I have spend so much money on ticket just to make sure I win. But I never know that winning was so easy until the day I meant the spell caster online which so many people has talked about that he is very great in casting lottery spell, . so I decide to give it a try.I contacted this great Dr Believe and he did a spell and he gave me the winning lottery numbers. But believe me when the draws were out I was among winners. I win 30,000 million Dollar. Dr Believe truly you are the best, all thanks to you forever


    ReplyDelete