FRIDAY, JANUARY 16, 2026
"Senate math," don't fail us now: We guess we've seen this projection before, but now we've seen it again. It comes from this guest essay by David Plouffe in the New York Times:
Democrats Will Lose in 2028 Unless They Change Course Now
In election after election last year, Democrats had big wins everywhere. Voters who swung hard to President Trump swung hard back. These moments are incredibly rare. Trust me.
It may be discordant, then, to believe the party is still in crisis. It’s much easier to hope that the storm has passed, that the deep unpopularity of Mr. Trump and the MAGA movement and the mess they are creating will be enough to right the ship.
I certainly wish it were so. But to win races in politically unforgiving, even hostile, territory will require the party to overhaul its broken brand and stale agenda by elevating new faces and new leaders who promise to chart a course enough voters believe in.
Why? Because to have any hope of fixing the root problems that plague our democracy and our economy, Democrats need a majority that lasts, like the New Deal coalition. At least three, maybe more, Supreme Court justices could retire over the coming decade. Without sustained Democratic political power and control during that period, a conservative 8-to-1 court is not out of the question.
That possibility should focus the mind. Right now, Democrats have no credible path to sustained control of the Senate and the White House. After the adjustments to the Electoral College map that look likely to come with the next census, the Democratic presidential nominee could win all states won by Kamala Harris plus the blue wall of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still fall short of the 270 electoral votes needed to win. An already unforgiving map gets more so, equally so in the Senate.
"Senate math" has long favored the GOP. Plouffe describes a troubling prospect, Senate and Electoral College-wise. We're assuming that his basic projection isn't crazily wrong.
What. a surprise! Another anti-Democrat essay enthusiastically quoted by Somerby.
ReplyDelete
ReplyDeleteWell, hopefully the swamp will be drained soon enough, which means the end of your Democrat cult.
No more deep state, no free money from USAID, no nothing. No one is voting for your cult already, and without cheating, without your media-mafia, it will be checkmate, the end of the road.
And something better, much better will replace it. Hopefully.
Another Chinese troll.Worse than the fucking RT goons. Go away fucktard.
DeleteAnonymouse 4:26pm, no, same straw man sock puppet.
DeleteGet the fuck out of here jagoff.
DeleteWhat about focusing on winning in 2028, instead of demanding sustained control?
ReplyDeleteThe new deal coalition arose from the Great Depression, not the wishes of Democrats. If Trump tanks the economy, we will get such a coalition, but at what cost? We need to focus on meeting the needs of voters via candidates who reflect Democratic values, not being young or the anti-Biden or any other pundit-approved formula. Right now, I am craving sanity and competence. I don’t think Democrats eating their young represents my vision. Plouffe is an ass.
I don’t think Democrats eating their young represents my vision. Plouffe is an ass.
DeleteI do think that Democrats should consider eating their old. What's the electoral version of soylent green? Other than that, I agree: Plouffe is an ass.
“ elevating new faces and new leaders who promise to chart a course enough voters believe in.”
ReplyDeleteWhat a mindless platitude.
Plouffe is talking about numbers and demographics. That should have some sort of importance don’t you think?…
ReplyDeleteFuck out of here trannytroll.
DeleteGenius: get higher numbers. Where’s my 6 figure paycheck?
DeleteAnonymouse 4:59m, yeah, fresh people and rhetoric is so obvious even you ought to see it.
Delete“Fresh rhetoric”? Genius. What sort of rhetoric? Mine the depths of plouffe to see if he suggests anything. Perhaps he wants Dems to bend the knee before his consultant skills.
DeleteAnonymouse 5:06pm, of course he does, Einstein. He’s not alerting you because he thinks he’s wrong.
DeleteWhat the Dems need is fresh rhetoric. What kind? The kind that appeals to voters. Like what? Fresh.
DeleteAnonymouse 5:10pm, there’s a link to Plouffe’s piece. I don’t think the bit that Bob excerpted is the entire thing.
DeleteIt’s behind a paywall. I do not subscribe
DeleteAnonymouse 5:10pm, maybe read the whole piece before dismissing it?
DeleteMaybe you get the fuck out of here asswipe.
DeleteRight now, Democrats have no credible path to sustained control of the Senate and the White House.
DeleteOur best hope is that Trump continues to be Trump.
DeleteAnonymouse 12:03pm, absolutely.
Deletehttps://washingtonmonthly.com/2026/01/16/the-republican-party-faces-a-bigger-crisis-than-the-democratic-party/
ReplyDeleteduh. The biggest threat being the cult of personality.
DeleteTrump is a madman who should be removed.
DeleteThe tranny troll sucks ass.
DeleteVoters migrating from the blue states to the red may very well dilute the voting monolith of the red states. Need to keep chipping away in places like Texas and Ohio and Iowa.
ReplyDeleteHowever, I am less concerned about how well Democrats would do in '26 and '28 elections and more whether we will have elections.
Here's Bill Sher's take on the future:
ReplyDelete"Trump bestowed on the GOP a tenuous coalition of unapologetic bigots and others willing to look the other way from racist rhetoric, initially held together by unrealistic economic promises, abandonments of longstanding party principles, and his own cult of personality. But that personality will never again be on the ballot, and the promises were not met. Now, Republican Party members can’t even articulate what their party’s principles are. The party once synonymous with low taxes is now responsible for high tariffs. The party, once in love with the free market, is directing the government to buy shares in private corporations and to meddle in merger deals politically. The party once proud of its role in winning the Cold War is cozying up to Russia and undermining NATO.
Now that is a party in crisis. "
Cecelia’s Old Man, problems that are easily discernible and problems that will jump out of the bushes.
DeleteTranny troll is on a roll. Bastard gotta roll the fuck out of here.
DeleteTranny troll is on a roll. Bastard gotta roll the fuck out of here.
DeleteI’m just curious, 7:05, do you consider yourself progressive? Because no progressive I know would taunt someone by calling them “tranny.”
DeleteAnd I find it remarkable that all the good progressives here - particularly the one who writes thousand-word screeds decrying Somerby’s supposed bigotry - are so strangely silent about this ongoing verbal assault.
DeleteIt can’t be simply because the target holds political views contrary to ours, can it? I mean, our anti-harassment principles apply to all, right?
DeleteThe most amusing thing about this clown is that it’s some lame white Karen who’s trying to sound like she’s Hipno Carlito.
DeleteIt's the "Corby" bot, without access to AI.
DeleteThe tranny troll has got to go. Gross ass pigman.
DeleteI'm A Nazi like the tranny troll, we both got to go.
Delete12:30,
DeleteWhite people are liars. News at 11.
It would be one thing if you idiots held any beliefs, but the only consistent belief is the one where you flip flop on the daily to repeat any lie your master says. And now you lying tranny bashing pieces of shit are the liberal language police? Go fuck your ridiculous selves. I gotta sit in the meetings or around the picnic table and keep my mouth shut while you ignorant fuckers toss all kind's of nasty words into the air. Fuck you too lying DG and get the fuck out of here you asshole troll.
DeleteDG,
DeleteIf the Founding Fathers didn't want us to shoot each other, while arguing about the efficacy of a 5% rise in the corporate tax rate, they wouldn't have given us the 2nd Amendment.
You did good with that one, anonymouse flying monkey 8:36am. About time…
DeleteNo one needs you here. Your comments add absolutely nothing and you are a vile person. Go away.
Delete8:10 - I’m being sincere here: Perhaps you might benefit from anger management therapy.
Delete@9:19 Back when the word "tranny" was being used here, I did explain the difference between a transvestite and a transperson. Trolls don't care about such things, so I haven't bothered again. But when Cecelia poses as a woman here in order to insult other commenters, "she" is in neither category. She is just a fraud hiding behind a woman's name to deflect the criticism she would otherwise get for insulting every liberal who posts here.
Delete"She" deserves no sympathy from you, DG, because she is just another fake paid troll trying to disrupt actual discussion of liberal topics here, something YOU also disrupt whenever you can. Like Somerby, Cecelia claims to be something "she" is not. You do the same, when you pretend to be a Democrat when you plainly do not support any lefty issues but come here solely to harrass critics of Somerby.
I don't know why Russia has given Somerby his own fleet of protector trolls in comments. The rest of us have no such allies. But it speaks to the service Somerby provides to the right wing noise machine.
If you, DG, object to Cecelia being called tranny, you can go ahead and explain the term yourself. But on the internet, no one knows what you do in real life, and who is to say that Cecelia is not actually a tranny (in the sexual fetish sense of the term)? We know she isn't much of a woman, in the empathetic sense of the term.
Let’s see, you’ve used transvestism as a slur. You’ve embraced pathetically trite stereotypes as to the female sex. You’ve accused a fellow liberal of being a fraud for merely countering you. You’ve happily linked transsexuality to fetishism for no greater cause than pettiness. Take a bow, anonymouse 11:28am. You have proven all your critics correct.
Delete"I don't know why Russia has given Somerby his own fleet of protector trolls in comments."
DeleteDo you really, really believe I'm being paid by Putin? If so, I think your therapy sessions should go well beyond anger management and include treatment for your delusional ideations.
I go to Lake of the Ozarks, I spend months in Montana, I know how you fucks talk to each other. You joke to each other about Ross calling that dyke a fucking bitch, then you come on here and flat out lie about who coulda known who said that. Eat a bag of dicks you hairy bastard. The hypocrisy knows no bounds.
DeleteDG, I’m used to being the redneck who hassled her. The bigoted people she overheard in the park. The conservative ex-husband who cheated. The inspiration for her shouting into a camera in the passenger seat of an otherwise empty car. My advice- just enjoy it.
Delete12:13 - I live in the bluest congressional district in the entire US - Oakland, CA. And I'm just about he most liberal person in my exceedingly-liberal district. Which may be why I object to your transphobic harassment of CC.
DeleteBut you're obviously just a bitter hater. My bigger objection is to all the progressives here who won't issue a peep in protest to your transphobic attacks on one of our prominent commenters, just because she has different political views.
And CC, I know you're a good sport about this, but it pisses me off.
You know she’s not some isolated “hater”. She’s part of an organized political op at this blog and likely at some other blogs.
DeleteThe Dems have two huge advantages: they control education and they more or less control the media. Chuildren are educated to be
ReplyDeleteDems. And, the media slants the news toward Dems. Without these advantages, Dems would have to face the difference in quality of life in TX and FL, say, as compared with CA and IL. Dems would get creamed.
IMO Dems can win in 2028 by personal attacks on Trump and by focusing on problems with Trump's solutions to problems. They can count on the media to ignore the Dems lack of solutions, and ignore when Dems created the problem.
Illegal immigration is an example of what I am referring to. The Dems have no proposal about what to do with the millions of illegal immigrants in the country. And, the problem was substantially caused by Biden's more or less open borders. Nevertheless, this is a winning issue for Dems, because of how the media spin the story.
David in Cal,
DeleteIf you have some proof the media is spinning the story so we believe immigrants are human beings just like us, now is a good time to show it.
DiC is confusing stories about the illegal immigrant Jesus with Dic being an ignorant self hating Jew cuck troll
DeleteTrump can't run in 28 you Nazi cunt.
DeleteAnonymouse 7:03pm, but Trump’s VP will run, Einstein.
DeleteChuildren are educated to be
DeleteDems.
David has such a simple, linear mind...it's really so charming and quaint.
Anonymouse 7:02pm, just out of curiosity, how was Jesus an illegal immigrant? He was born in the hometown of his earthly father and His Heavenly Father owns the entire joint.
DeleteMatthew 2:13-23
DeleteAI: The Roman Empire, while exercising authority over both Judea and Egypt, did not possess the sophisticated border control mechanisms or immigration laws that define "legality" of entry in contemporary nation-states.[14] and his family were fleeing persecution from a Roman client king, Herod the Great, and sought refuge in another part of the Roman Empire where a significant Jewish diaspora already existed. Their movement would have been understood within the context of ancient travel and the seeking of asylum from political threats, rather than as a violation of immigration statutes that did not exist in that form.[15] Therefore, from a historical and legal perspective of the ancient world, Joseph's actions were a pragmatic response to a life-threatening situation, not an act of "illegal immigration."
DeleteGo away you fucking creep.
DeleteEveryone's waiting to see what happens in 2028.
DeleteWill Republican voters reject Vance, because he's a vile piece of shit without an iota of charisma, or will bigotry win the day like it has the last three times, when they nominated a sex pest.
Tom "Bags of Cash" Homan Says Minneapolis ICE Agent Who Shot Renee Good Is “In Hiding” Amid Threats Against Him
ReplyDeleteTo which one can only say: I hope they find him.
That’s why Ross wasn’t admitted to a Minneapolis hospital. He wasn’t chilling at home, he’s at a military base.
DeleteKeep up the good work, America.
DeleteKeep your foot on the gas, until they all go into hiding.
Get the fuck out of here trannytroll.
DeleteAnonymouse 6:56pm, and wear a helmet.
DeleteTranny troll got to go.
DeleteHe wasn't admitted because he had no injuries. He was not hit and did not fall down. I reckon if he had been severely injured, e.g. internal bleeding, his cowardly ass would've been throwing hissy fits at the nearest ER.
Delete8:32. You cannot convince cult members that he isn't hanging on by a thread. Meanwhile, it took 5 minutes for the medics to arrive. She - the woman he murdered- had a pulse but was not breathing. Her pupils were dilated. It is very unlikely that anyone could have saved her life. But denying her appropriate care during those critical first three minutes assured her death.
DeleteOh yeah, and correct. The internal bleeding narrative was pure, evil bullshit.
DeleteSo Trump went on a 21 felon pardon spree last night, most notably including a San Diego businesswoman whose first sentence for fraud was commuted by him his last term. Undeterred, she then went on to commit millions of dollars in fraud selling groceries, and was convicted of her illegal activities in 2024. Only to have Trump pardon her again last night. Well played, Donny and his pardon czar, a convicted cocaine trafficker who he likewise had gotten out of jail with a pardon. The WSJ has reported that anywhere from 1-6 million dollars will get you a pardon from Trump. Over 1500 pardons resulting in at least 1.3 billion dollars wiped off the ledgers of money owed to those defrauded. Which reminds me: this country is infested with undereducated racists for whom such immoral activity is acceptable.
ReplyDeleteIf Republicans were able to imprison Hunter Biden, Trump would have pardoned just Hunter's penis, by now.
DeleteLucky for her she wasn't a fucking dirty Muslim Somali or fucking dyke bitch, but a contributor.
Deletehttps://prospect.org/2026/01/12/ice-minnesota-minneapolis-trump-fbi-renee-good/?
ReplyDelete"Vice President Vance claimed, falsely, that all federal law enforcement officers have “absolute immunity” (just like in a police state)."
"The FBI has already stepped in to take control of the investigation—refusing to cooperate with the Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, and seizing Good’s car, the shell casings, and other critical evidence."
From article above:
ReplyDelete"After Ross shot Good, she slumped onto the accelerator pedal, and the car careened down the street and crashed into another car and a utility pole.
"There were bystanders all over both sides of the road; it’s a miracle nobody was run over or hit by a stray bullet as Ross blasted away with no evident regard for the people directly in his line of fire on the other side of the street."