TUESDAY, APRIL 19, 2022
Also, the razor blade wars and the several tomatoes: In his most recent column, Charles Blow outlines the possibility of a "Biden blood bath."
We leap at the chance to recommend Blow. This is observed without comment:
BLOW (4/18/22): There was another worrisome sign in the Quinnipiac poll: Biden’s approval rating among people identified as Hispanics was even lower than it was among those identified as white. Pundits have been discussing Biden’s declining numbers among Hispanics for months. In October, FiveThirtyEight pointed out that “there has been a drop in support for Biden among all three racial and ethnic groups we measured, but the drop among Hispanics—from the high 60s to slightly below 50 percent—marks Biden’s most precipitous decline.”
The reasons for this drop appear to range from a response to the pandemic to the fact that Hispanics hew conservative on some social issues.
But all this taken together—in addition to voter suppression and racial, political gerrymandering—may prove hugely problematic for Democrats and for the administration, unless they can turn things around before Election Day. If not, we could well be looking forward to a Biden blood bath.
We expect to offer a fleeting comment tomorrow.
Meanwhile, as the nation slides toward the blood bath and toward the sea, this was Slate's featured, front-page report this very morning:
In the Early 2000s, the Razor Blade Wars Changed Shaving as We Know It
Also this:
In the online version of the Washington Post, this INSPIRED LIFE report was featured on today's front page for what was the 13th consecutive morning:
He grew 1,269 tomatoes on a single stem and broke his own world record
There's nothing wrong with any of this. This is completely normal!
Fuller disclosure: Slate's current featured report is this:
What Americans Keep Getting Wrong About Exercise
This all makes perfect sense.
Why wouldn't someone who reads the "This Inspired Life" section want to see someone break their own record for growing tomatoes? Does that seem like a section where current events (the most recent breaking news reports) are important?
ReplyDeleteI don't think that 1269 tomatoes on a single vine is normal. In fact, the abnormality of that achievement is why it is in the news. But even if it were normal, why wouldn't someone find it inspiring?
Maybe Somerby thinks there is something wrong with growing tomatoes? If so, shouldn't he state what exactly he finds problematic with it?
Meanwhile, Trump's ratings are lower than Biden's. Why aren't we seeing daily news stories about how much trouble Trump is in, with his low ratings and all? Why isn't anyone agonizing over the blood bath the Republicans will encounter given that even fewer Hispanics give them high poll ratings? And does anyone consider Blow to be a polling expert, on a par with Nate Silver and 538 for example? Does anyone get their polling data from him?
A suspicious mind might wonder whether Blow is raising questions in order to tout a preferred candidate, perhaps to preempt Biden's announcement that he is even running. All this talk about bloodbaths seems a tad manipulative at this stage in the election process.
Only Somerby, with his excessive literalness, considers these numbers any kind of indicator of how well Biden might do in a 2024 election, especially if Trump is the alternative. People WILL hold their noses and vote for Biden (just as all the Bernie supporters did in 2020) to keep Trump out of office, which suggests that the only blood available for bathing will be Trump's (assuming he is not in jail by then). But Somerby takes this seriously! What is wrong with that man?
I don't think Hispanics constitute enough of the voting population to produce a bloodbath all on their own. But it is nice that someone is thinking of them.
ReplyDeleteFrom everything I've been reading, the redistricting is going to help Democrats, not cause them problems.
ReplyDelete"Meanwhile, as the nation slides toward the blood bath and toward the sea, this was Slate's featured, front-page report this very morning:
ReplyDeleteIn the Early 2000s, the Razor Blade Wars Changed Shaving as We Know It"
Why does Somerby mock this topic when fully 50% of the population past puberty engages in shaving and might conceivably have an interest in shaving technology?
"The reasons for this drop appear to range from a response to the pandemic to the fact that Hispanics hew conservative on some social issues."
ReplyDeleteWouldn't this then change when the pandemic situation changes? And why would either of these be attributed to Biden, when he didn't cause the pandemic but has arguably done better fighting it than Republicans, and when Biden himself is Catholic and most likely holds similar opinions on social issues as Catholic Hispanics do?
Is Somerby arguing that voters' positions on issues do not change in the two years before a presidential election?
Personally, I find the term "blood bath" to be peculiar given that it seems to refer to downticket races and the overall performance of the Democratic party (the president is not affected by redistricting, for example) but the examples used are about Biden's popularity rating, not other Dems. This makes Blow sound sort of confused. So why would Somerby buy his argument about bloodbath so readily? Doesn't Somerby think about what people are saying?
It depends. If it's Trump against Biden, Biden is in big big trouble.
DeleteTrump's ratings have dropped faster than Biden's.
DeleteTrump looks older and more rundown with every subsequent appearance. The likelihood he is even alive in 2024 is getting dimmer daily.
Delete"Meanwhile, as the nation slides toward the blood bath and toward the sea,"
ReplyDeleteWhich sea, specifically, is our nation sliding towards? It makes a difference whether it is the Pacific or the Atlantic, especially to property owners on the coasts. Will the continental divide perhaps determine this? Perhaps those living in Houston should watch out for the states below the Mason-Dixon Line?
The Democratic party is losing the Hispanic vote.
ReplyDeleteSurely if we drop all the talk about CRT and gender identity, surely we will regain the "Hispanic" vote and regain all those other voters we lost to the Republican party. Right? I mean, surely.
ReplyDeleteBwahahahahahahahahahaaha
Somerby is such a joke.
There is zero evidence Dems are losing votes due to reasons Somerby expresses.
Meanwhile, in states run by Republicans, Covid caused way more damage and suffering than in states run by Dems.
Somerby continues his strange effort to misinform and mislead.
anon 4:19,TDH is citing Blow's column about hispanics. Are you saying that Blow is trying to "misinform and mislead?" Is hispanic support for dems declining as Blow and various polls suggest? If so, what is the reason? How do you know that all the wokeness about 'gender' and 'race', along with perhaps antipathy to the pro-choice cause might have something to do with it? Say, hypothetically, you are right, that there is "zero" evidence dems are losing votes due to these reasons, isn't it possible that TDH is simply mistaken, as opposed to intentionally trying to mislead? And isn't possible you are mistaken? presumably, you don't know everything. My view, there are polls and polls, but the truth of who wins elections becomes known when the election occurs. [Unfortunately, lately, the war between the tribes has resulted in disbelief in the actual election results].
DeleteNo, actual voting support by Hispanics is the same as it has been for 20 years. These are poll fluctuations that mean next to nothing. You are being taken in by disinformation. Your view about the truth being known when people vote is correct. Election returns have been audited in swing states, at Republican insistence, and have found no reason for you to distrust actual election results.
DeleteBy touting Blow's column (because it happens to suit his agenda), Somerby spreads disinformation that is harmful to Democrats. You have to ask yourself, why would a supposed liberal being doing that?
anon 10:29, I'm not being taken in by anything. I specifically said that what counts is the actual election. A pox on polls, I say. As to the charge that TDH is spreading disinformation by citing Blow's column, hardly anyone reads the Daily Howler, while Blow's column in the NYT is spread to thousands times more. Perhaps you should redirect your absurd crusade to expose TDH as a false 'liberal' [kind of like how true blue republicans scorn RINO's] to exposing Blow as a false liberal.
DeleteI agree with you and this is the abuse I get?
DeleteAC/MA apparently thinks it is OK for Somerby to pretend to be liberal and that no one should complain if he does.
Deleteanon 12:42, apology may be due, though it isnt possible to always distinguish between anons. You may not be the anon who is obsessed with counteracting the idea that TDH is a "liberal." I could have omitted the "absurd crusade" jibe, if that's not you. Seems the actual crusader might be anon 12:42. To anon. 12:42, I don't think it's ok for tDH to "pretend to be a liberal"; but of all the difficult answers to find in the world, that TDH fits the category of "liberal" to a virtual certainty. You don't know what a "liberal" is.
DeleteAc/Ma you are the sad lost soul who lies to try to win arguments. You are the poster boy for bad faith discourse. You have no credibility here.
DeleteIt is not Blow's assertion, but Somerby's assertion that Dems are losing voters due to wokeness; yet the evidence suggests the opposite. Somerby's agenda loses votes for Dems, regardless of his motive.
This is bone simple and obvious, your comments are nonsensical.
anon 2:56, what's simple and obvious is that you are a complete idiot.
DeleteYou would think there has to be at least one Hispanic who left the Democratic Party who cares about something other than bigotry and white supremacy.
ReplyDeleteAnyone who isn't a bigot, or isn't perfectly fine with bigotry, left the Republican Party decades ago.
DeleteOnce you get them to believe in supply-side economics, getting the Hispanics who are leaving the Democratic party in droves to believe they are not all black hearted, bigoted racists is child's play.
Delete"Let's Go Brandon!" is by far the smartest, most well thought out economic idea the Right has ever had.
DeleteThe Hispanics leaving the Democratic party are racists.
DeleteHispanics are becoming Libertarians.
DeleteThey want a government so small we have open borders.
"We leap at the chance to recommend Blow."
ReplyDeleteSomerby routinely criticizes Blow when he writes about race, but this time he is saying that Biden is going to lose (using the word bloodbath) so Somerby is recommending Blow. What kind of liberal behaves like that toward the leader of his party? Not someone who wants Democrats to win in 2024.
Biden has to get rid of that hot mess VP of his.
DeleteHe should pick a Republican to replace her. That way the VP can focus on punching down on minorities, while Biden and the other grown-ups in the Administration handle the economy.
DeleteDigby says that Democrats should fear what Republicans will do if they win...but even more what they will do if they lose:
ReplyDeletehttps://digbysblog.net/2022/04/20/democrats-need-to-fear-what-republicans-will-do-if-they-win/
Those who are predicting a bloodbath aren't talking about that much.
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