WEDNESDAY, JUNE 3, 2026
We Americans aren't built for such work: Yesterday, we discussed a perfectly sensible notion advanced by Henry Olden. Writing in the Washington, the conservative leaner said this:
How to escape the gerrymandering trap
[...]
No one doubts that popular majorities in states such as Texas and Florida would select a majority of Republican representatives under a fair map. Democrats should, however, be able to elect some 40 to 45 percent of those members, since that’s their usual share of the statewide vote. But Florida’s new map has 24 districts—86 percent—that would have been won by Donald Trump in 2024, while four would have been won by Kamala Harris.
Democrats practice these dark arts, too. Trump got 38 percent of Californians’ votes in 2024. The state has 52 House seats, so with fair districts, Republicans should elect about 20 members. But Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom’s Newsomander—so dubbed by Republicans—created just four seats the GOP can reasonably be expected to win, plus a couple more where they have a fair shot.
Olsen is seeking basic fairness. Later, he explicitly says how this whole thing, ideally, would work:
A proportional representation system limits the potential for distortion by ensuring that the share of seats a party wins is approximately the same as the share of votes it receives. If Democrats win 60 percent of a state’s votes, for example, they would be awarded 60 percent of the seats.
We agree—on its face, that does seem like a fair way to do things. It may not always be quite that easy, but that does seem fair.
Yesterday, we went to offer two basic points:
There is no political tradition, no established practice, in which the various states have tried to create their districts that way. Also, there is at present no federal law or constitutional provision which says that the states must do that.
We might have added a third point—under current circumstances, it's crazy to think that we'll be able to achieve some such reform around here. For starters, consider this:
In his column, Olsen goes on to describe some (fairly complicated) procedures which certain other countries have devised to produce something resembling proportional representation. This is his first example:
Switzerland’s election system would be the easiest to implement in the United States. The Alpine nation has a federal, bicameral legislature like America’s. Each Swiss canton—the equivalent of a U.S. state—elects members to the country’s lower house by proportional representation, with a canton’s total number of representatives determined by population. Parties put up lists of candidates, in order of preference, and they secure a number of seats corresponding to the percentage of votes their list wins: In a 10-seat canton, a party with 30 percent support would have its top three listed candidates seated.
Easiest to implement? Columnist Olsen, please! Switzerland is a nation of nine million people, divided into 26 cantons. The typical canton is extremely small as compared to American states.
What makes sense there wouldn't work here. Please don't make us explain it.
The same is true for Finland's system, which Olsen moves to next. Finland's population is even smaller—5.6 million. On its face, what works for low population, one culture Finland wouldn't make much sense here.
Olsen goes on to describe complicated systems currently employed by two larger nations—Japan and Germany. But at this point, you must remember this:
Given the current state of our nation's Red/Blue political warfare, there is zero chance—no chance at all—that any complex new way of creating House districts could ever get through the American Congress, let alone survive a battle with provisions of the Constitution, if any such roadblocks came to exist.
Given our ongoing status as a failed state, there is exactly zero chance that our Congress is going to devise and pass some miraculous plan which creates something resembling proportional representation in the House for our two political parties on a state-by-state basis. Dreaming dreams about 60/40 splits isn't going to get us there.
Meanwhile, the ongoing war about redistricting continues to provide daily fodder for people who might want to observe the way a failed state will aggressively fail to deal with its basic challenges.
A new decision about Alabama's congressional districts was released by the Supreme Court last evening. From NBC News:
Supreme Court allows Alabama to use congressional map that eliminates a majority-Black district
This brings us back to the ongoing American pursuit of something resembling proportional representation for Black citizens in the various states.
This topic has been a jumble for decades; it remains a tangled conceptual jumble today. Our parties fall back on their talking points—on their dueling agitprop—with each new bump in the long, winding road which has now come to this place.
We may visit this new decision tomorrow, but the jumble surrounding this highly fraught topic has prevailed for the past four decades. The jumble—the muddles; the conceptual confusion—has gone on and on, down through the many long years and the many thick muddles of language.
Simply put, we humans aren't built for this type of work, especially where, understandably, emotions and feelings are strong.
Tomorrow: We don't think she should have said it!
Somerby offers two views today:
ReplyDelete1. He says there is no point in Olsen's analysis because no one has every done redistricting the ways he proposes, and because it is never going to happen. So, Somerby emphatically does not believe in "dare to dream" optimism, and he apparently finds it a waste of time to consider better ways of doing things, even when fairness is a goal.
2. The Supreme Court is allowing AL to use racially unfair district maps. Somerby says that is A-OK because districting is a jumble (his word) and has been on-and-on throughout decades. So racism is allowed in complicated situations, according to Somerby. He expresses no dismay about this situation, as many Democrats would, but thinks that politicians being politicians justifies the ongoing racism.
Racism is OK because we humans aren't built for anyone, Somerby concludes and then he promises that tomorrow he will tells about something he doesn't think a woman should have said. Can't wait for that one!
Why does this man bother to write at all?
typo correction: anyone = anything
DeleteQuestion for Somerby: Is it better for humans to keep trying to be better people, or should we all just give up and let it all hang out? He seems to advocate the latter, but I find myself wondering whether he would give any human a pass for a negative outcome on the basis of "not being built for the job". If he would just go right on criticizing everyone for his idea of failure, what is the point of trying? I suspect that Somerby just loves to criticize everyone, because it makes him feel righteous and above us all to give up and not try anything he knows in advance will fail.
ReplyDeleteOn the other hand, I don't think Somerby believes that racial equality or fairness are valid goals. Most racists think racial minorities don't deserve any opportunities because they are ill-equipped to take advantage of them and will just fail, whereas someone better, a white person, would maximize those opportunities (especially when helped along by other white people).
What is the point of trying to implement racially fairer districting when (1) it cannot be done, and (2) it won't really help minorities anyway? This is the obvious advantage of nihilism like Somerby's. There is no point in attempting something you know in advance will fail, especially when you don't want to achieve it anyway.
Why does Somerby write essays that reveal him to be an absolutely complete and total asshole, on Democratic terms, an obvious Republican fellow-traveller in racism, and a do-nothing, know-nothing rotten human being? I would be ashamed, but Somerby seems oblivious. And that seems like a poor basis for calling others, including Trump, crazy. Somerby seems to live on pretty slippery ground himself.
Somerby sounds like a total piece of shit human. No wonder he objects when liberals try to make the world a better place.
Delete"We don't think she should have said it!"
ReplyDeleteThis is what feminists tend to complain about...men who tell women to sit down and shut up.
Somerby thinks it is cool and sly to hint at who he might be planning to discuss tomorrow, so he has left out the female person's name, who he is planning to criticize. The problem with that is that he has, perhaps inadvertently, generalized his sentence to any and all women. And that makes him sound like doesn't think women in general should say whatever he objects to, which also gets generalized to any and all topics that can be said. People use specific names and quote what was said for a purpose, to avoid being so vague that anything and everyone can be included in his critique. The only limitation is that pronoun "she," which excludes all males from Somerby's complaint tomorrow.
This kind of assholery makes Somerby annoying. He doesn't mind using Frank's name where it doesn't belong (in an essay about Krugman), but today he is too dainty to tell us who he is thinking about censoring tomorrow.