ALL AGAINST ALL: We Blues keep looking for ways to lose...

MONDAY, MAY 11, 2026

...this war of the all against all: Why does a person watch Fox & Friends Weekend? Perhaps for the chance to see presentations like the we'll link to below.   

It was quite a presentation! Here's the way it went down:

Yesterday morning, in the 6 o'clock hour, the friends were discussing the sudden turn of events in the redistricting wars.

For one thing, the state of Virginia's Supreme Court had rejected Virginia's proposed redistricting mapthe map which was designed to let Virginia's Dems win ten of eleven House seats.

Also, the United States Supreme Court had ruled that co-called "racial gerrymandering"the deliberate construction of so-called "majority minority" congressional districtsviolates constitutional strictures.

With that pair of judicial decisions, the tide does perhaps seem to have turned against the Democrats in the ongoing, highly unusual, mid-census redistricting war. As our former nation slides toward the sea, it's turning into a "war of the all against all"something resembling the kind of war Thomas Hobbes once described:

Bellum omnium contra omnes

Bellum omnium contra omnes, a Latin phrase meaning "the war of all against all," is the description that Thomas Hobbes gives to human existence in the state-of-nature thought experiment that he conducts in De Cive (1642) and Leviathan (1651)...   

In Leviathan itself, Hobbes speaks of "war of every one against every one," of "a war of every man against every man" and of "a perpetual war of every man against his neighbor," but the Latin phrase occurs in De Cive.

And so on from there.

In Hobbes, it's every individual for him or herself without the various protections afforded by the state. In fairness, that isn't quite what we're facing today, as the nation's governors change district maps like hockey teams changing lines in the fly.

This isn't quite "the war of the all against all." But if you throw in cable news and the nation's podcasts, it starts to come pretty darn close!

In the current redistricting war, it's a war into which two tribes may descend when one or both has abandoned all adherence to prevailing societal normsand sure enough:

We're now suck in a deeply consequential partisan war. And, though your mileage may differ from ours, it seems to us that those of us in Blue America keep looking for ways to lose it!

We return you now to the conversation we watched on yesterday's Fox & Friends Weekend:

Yesterday morning, there they sat! Two of the regular weekend friends were present, joined by substitute friend Kevin Corke. 

As you can see by clicking our link, a festive atmosphere prevailed. 

The friends were chuckling about the recent turn of events in the redistricting rampage. We'll start with Rachel Campos-Duffy, who chuckled as she said this:

CAMPOS-DUFFY (5/10/26): It's so crazy. They always go back to this!

First of all, we've been talking about the freakout on the side of the Democrats. We haven't been talking about the elation that's been happening on the Republican side, because this is not

They weren't sure how this was going to turn out, and it really did come up roses for them.

Briefly, let's be fair:

At this point, it does look like the Republicans may emerge as winners of this race-to-the-bottom redistricting warof this Red versus Blue tribal war which pits the all against all.

Maybe it won't turn out that way! But maybe it actually will. 

Imaginably, the GOP could retain control of the House in November's midterm elections! But plainly, that's the way it seemed to the friends as their presentation continued:

CAMPOS-DUFFY (continuing directly): Look at this map. It really couldn't have been worse for the Democrats, but they started this war. 

It's just that the Republicans ended up looking like they're going to be winning this one.  And it's going to save them in the midterms, Kevin!

CORKE: I think so, for sure. 

Say what? It was the Democrats who started this highly unusual mid-census redistricting war? That's what Campos-Duffy said, and no one challenged her statement.  

Full disclosure! As our nation continues to split in two, we the people, Red and Blue, tend to hear differing sets of factual claims:

In Blue America, we hear that President Trump started this highly unusual war when he insisted that the state of Texas rework its House map.  

That's what we Blues hear. But over on the Fox News Channel, viewers tend to hear that it really started in New York, or possibly up in the New England states, where no Republican House members currently exist. 

(The New England states have twenty-one House members. At present, all twenty-one are Democrats.)

For better or worse, those are the dueling presentations our two tribes tend to hear. Whatever she may have meant by her statement, you can see what Campos-Duffy now said. 

Moments before, she had played tape of five liberals and Democrats allegedly bemoaning the newly emerging state of play in the redistricting wars. Speaking of the last person shown, this is what Campos-Duffy, interrupted by Corke, had laughingly said:  

CAMPOS-DUFFY [laughing]: They're going back to that one! It's not gonna work!  You started this

CORKE: I was looking this up, and I can't believe he actually said that! I've got it in my notes. Come on!

CAMPOS-DUFFY (as shown above): It's so crazy. They always go back to this!...   

And so on from there. The friends were chuckling about what had been saidbut what were they laughing about? 

They were chuckling about what Elie Mystal had said. On Saturday, he had appeared on the Velshi show on MS NOW. 

It isn't going to work, Campos Duffy saidbut what was she laughing about? As you can see on the Fox & Friends Weekend tape, here's (a tiny part of) what Mystal had said:  

MYSTAL (videotape, 5/9/26): It is being framed as a Democrat versus Republican issue, as a battle for the soul of the House of Representatives. It is not. It is an attack by white people against the very concept of black representation. It is Jim Crow 2.0.

CAMPOS-DUFFY [laughing]: They're going back to that one! It's not gonna work!   

So it went as the friends played a brief excerpt from Mystal's extensive remarks. Rightly or wrongly, the friends all thought that Mystal's approach wasn't going to work for Dems.

You can see Mystal's full remarks on the Velshi program simply by clicking this. Regarding his extensive remarks, we would offer this:   

Except at one brief point, Mystal didn't criticize President Trump, or Republican pols, for the new redistricting surge in some southern states. Instead, he seemed to criticize "white people." 

In fact, he seemed to frame the situation that way again and again and again. By clicking, you can see Mystal's full remarks, with Velshi nodding along:

Rightly or wrongly, he said the United States Supreme Court had issued "a white supremacist decision." He said the decision by the Court was "an attack on black people specifically" in search of "a reconstituted apartheid state." 

He compared the Supreme Court's decision to Plessy v. Ferguson (1896), adding this:  

When white people get it in their heads that they are allowedto use Trump's word, that they are "entitled"to be this racist, that's the kind of generational-long timeline we're talking about.

Soon, he added this remark about These White People Today:

White people aren't going through a phase right now. They have decided, since 1964, that the project of a multi-racial, multi-ethnic democracy, based on fairness and justice, is not a project they want to be in.

At one point, he did refer to"the few whites of good conscience" which our country apparently contains. He said they've worked in favor of that project, but then he added this:

Unless white people get over themselves, unless they reverse themselves and their ancestors and their voting habits since the passage of the 1964 Civil Rights Act, they will get exactly the racist country that they have long desired.

These White People Today! Mystal went on at substantial length, with Velshi seeming to agree with his striking generalizations. 

Mystal was speaking about the peregrinations of the venerable Voting Rights Actabout its absurdly complex and incoherent political / judicial history. But mostly, it seemed that he was speaking about These White People Today.

Over the weekend, we saw several chunks of peculiar commentary on several MS NOW programs. That said, Mystal's presentation, which on one occasion seemed downright delusional, pretty much took the cake.

On this campus, reaction was instantaneous:

There we go again, one young analyst cried. The youngster then took a guessa guess with which we're inclined to agree: 

There we go again, she cried. This isn't going to work!

Campos-Duffy most likely had it right! Or so this youngster surmised.

Tomorrow: Pathways to defeat


33 comments:

  1. Redistricting claims rest on the belief that previous Republican voters will remain Republican voters in an upcoming redistricted election. But what if Republicans who are disgusted with Trump and Republican misbehavior do not continue to support Republican candidates? What if they switch and vote Democratic in the midterms. This factor is not being included in models based on redistricting at all.

    Republicans have not flipped a single special election since Trump took office. Democrats have been overperforming relative to the districts that went for Harris in 2024 and gaining substantially more votes in red districts in special elections. That is why a blue wave is being predicted, not the traditional voting patterns behind redistricting which are the basis for Somerby's gloomy predictions.

    After Texas redistricted, predictions appeared that Texas may have shot itself in the foot because it could not count on red districts staying red. The voters do not like what Trump has been doing. That is the unknown factor in the upcoming midterms. How much will red votes swing to blue as the people refuse to support MAGA and Trump in the upcoming elections? The worm has turned.

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  2. Somerby defends racism today by attacking Mystal and calling efforts to protect black people's right to vote "absurdly complex and incoherent." He says:

    "There we go again, one young analyst cried. The youngster then took a guess—a guess with which we're inclined to agree:

    There we go again, she cried. This isn't going to work!
    Campos-Duffy most likely had it right! Or so this youngster surmised."

    Somerby has no analysts, young or otherwise. This is how he distances himself from his personal opinions, which he states via a made up voice, without owning. To add insult, he makes his nonexistent analyst young and female. But why should a long-time racist like Somerby change under this threat to our Constitution, when he has not defended democracy against any of the other threats posed by Trump and his supporters?

    Republicans may be going all out to have their way under Trump, but Democrats still believe in the rule of law and still support our nation and its Constitution. We will win because the people of our country are not all crooks and liars and do not want the USA to become an authoritarian state, even to avoid giving equal rights to diverse people. We are better than that.

    Trump is a demented old man who is executing Putin's will in our foreign policy, encouraging corruption, giving authority to incompetent and lazy appointees and ignoring the needs of citizens of our nation. The people see that. As long as there will be elections, Trump is going to lose power. Republicans have been retiring (not seeking reelection) in record numbers because they see the writing on the wall.

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    1. The cutesy invention of some random young analyst (called "she") isn't funny. It is a kind of lie that is entirely consistent with Somerby's pretense at being liberal. Somerby doesn't have Democratic interests at heart when he advises us to abandon black voting rights to gain Trump defecting voters. Somerby is not a Democrat, doesn't hold Democratic values, doesn't support Democratic candidates and is not working to help Democrats win. He is advancing right wing talking points today -- urging us to laugh along with Fox at Mystal, the way Somerby himself does, because Democrats don't have a chance at the polls because we always lose. What kind of Democrat says that? Assholes like Somerby and Bill Maher.

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    2. Hillary beat Trump in 2016 by 3 million votes nationwide. How is that losing? The Republicans used Russian influence to rig the electoral college. That is cheating (along with the other ways in which Trump broke election laws and cheated). Republicans must cheat in order to defeat Democrats, like they did in 2024 using social media algorithms that skewed media in favor of Trump. Cheating isn't winning.

      Democrats can and do win in fair elections. That's why Republicans are cheating again with their mid-census redistricting and biased Supreme Court. More cheating.

      Cheats and lying cheaters in cheating elections are not the Democratic party way, because unlike Republicans, we believe in rule of law, defending the Constitution, not being traitors, and governing for the people instead of for the wealthy or to gain personal wealth.

      Cheaters never prosper because a sense of fairness and justice is part of human nature too. Democrats have that. Republicans do not.

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  3. Somerby points out that the Republicans on Fox do not agree with Mystal's ideas. Why would they? Does that make Mystal wrong and Fox right? Why should it? These are not criticisms of Mystal's views, which Somerby mostly name-calls with adjectives like "delusional". Somerby characterizes Mystal's thoughts as a reframing of redistricting as an attack on the voting rights of black people by white people. Somerby seems to believe that white people will reject that framing (because Fox does), not react well to being called racist and that white people will not defend the Constitutional rights of blacks, especially in the South. This is what he means when he says Mystal's approach will not work out well for Democrats.

    Obviously, it won't work for those whites who join Fox and Friends in their desire to disenfranchise black voters, a traditional Republican effort in Southern states where there are concentrations of black residents. It will also not work for defensive white bigots like Somerby himself, who do not support black voting rights but also dislike being called racist themselves. This is the same argument Somerby has raised all along, complaining whenever liberals call right wing assholes bigots, racists, xenophobes, sexists and misogynists. Somerby says we must be nice to those we despise in order to attract right wing votes. Meanwhile, Democrats are disinclined to water down our party's values, abandon the targets of right wing hate in the hope of gaining votes. There is nothing new in this argument that Somerby has been making for years -- don't insult the right or they won't vote for our candidates, even while they engage in racist tactics to steal an electoral advantage at black voters' expense.

    Somerby suggests Democrats are not genuinely supportive of civil rights and that white Democrats will not support equal rights in upcoming elections. I see no reason for that to be true given the historical support for the Civil Rights Act and for black candidates in our party. AI says:

    "White Democrats today largely support civil rights and are major proponents of racial equity, voting rights, and LGBTQ+ rights, representing a significant shift from the party's pre-1960s history. Polls show high support for progressive racial initiatives among this demographic, with 92% supporting the Black Lives Matter movement in 2020."

    Racism is at the heart of Republican appeal to white voters. That isn't going to change on their side, so why should our opposition to racism (including that exhibited in redistricting) change in order to lure Republican voters away from Trump? That would be akin to abandoning the principles upon which our nation was founded merely to gain political power, at the expense of values that are important to us on the left, if not to Somerby. That isn't going to happen.


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  4. I am afraid we may be engaged in a war of all against all. The reason is that victories and defeats for our political parties may not translate into victories and defeats for us as individuals.

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    1. AI is very useful when it comes to listing arguments against Hobbes:

      "Key arguments against Hobbes include:

      Inaccurate State of Nature: Historians and anthropologists argue that human beings in a state of nature were not in a "war of all against all." Instead, early human societies often operated based on cooperation, shared resources, and social connections.

      Problematic Human Psychology: Hobbes’s assumption that people are entirely driven by selfish fear and aggression is seen as oversimplified, ignoring traits like altruism, empathy, and social cooperation.

      The Problem of Absolute Power: Critics argue that granting absolute power to a sovereign does not solve the problems of the state of nature, but merely concentrates them, allowing the ruler to tyrannize subjects with no recourse.

      Confirmation Bias: Many critics, such as those in the Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy, believe that Hobbes’s personal fear of chaos—influenced by the English Civil War—caused him to see the world as more dangerous than it was.

      Psychological Egoism is Tautological: His belief that every action is selfish (psychological egoism) is criticized as an empty claim that cannot be proven or disproven.

      Neglect of Social Bonding: Hobbes overlooks the fact that humans have a natural, non-selfish tendency toward community, seeing only the transactional aspect of forming a state."

      These arguments can be extended as criticisms of the Republican/Conservative world view in general, good reasons not to support Republican candidates and not to buy the arguments Somerby tends to advance here either.

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    2. Pastor denies statue of Trump is a golden calf:

      Burns, who led the dedication ceremony, posted on X the same night: “Let me say this plainly: this is not a golden calf.”

      The golden calf is an idol described in the Old Testament’s book of Exodus, whose construction by the Israelites enraged Moses upon his return from receiving the Ten Commandments. Idol worship is expressly forbidden under the Commandments.


      go take a flying fuck, dickhead, you fascist freadk

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    3. I'd still vote against the government garnishing everyone's paycheck 10% and giving it to me.
      But that's because I live in the USA, not The Republic of Anonymous at 11:18.

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    4. Why does David need political victories and defeats when he said yesterday he is self-sufficient, even in case of an earthquake? His best option is to not vote at all, because it is an inconvenience and he is going his own way regardless of others.

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    5. Scratch an "everyman for himself" proclaimer, and find someone bitching because you didn't stand-up during the playing of the National Anthem at a ballgame.

      Pro tip:
      They don't believe in anything they say except the bigoted parts.

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    6. Here's how you can tell that victory for the party may not mean victory for its supporters. The Democratic Party won complete victories in cities like SF, Oakland, Seattle, and Portland. Yet, life stinks for actual people living in these cities: high crime, limited stores and shops available, mediocre education, high taxes...

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    7. Obviously victory for Trump was not victory for his supporters. No one is arguing against that, David.

      I went to San Francisco for 2 weeks earlier this year. It is not a hellhole but a beautiful city full of people who are living good lives there. So fuck off with that argument.

      I am unhappy with the election of Republicans everywhere and they do not meet any of my needs. But other people get to vote too. That is how our system works. You do not get to have your own personal elected officials.

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    8. The only reason it's so expensive to buy a house in those cities, is because way more people want to live in them than there are houses (i.e. Capitalism).

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    9. Life stinks in SF. That is why dickhead has chosen to make it his home. go fuck yourself, dickhead troll boy

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    10. 12:42 I do not live in SF. I go there less frequently than I used to because of the crime. Street parking anywhere is risky. Some neighborhoods are not safe. E.g., I used to go to a live theatre on Market Street. This theatre employs a watchman to protect its patrons. Also, that section of Market Street is fairly disgusting.

      You are correct that SF home prices remain high.

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    11. If you are avoiding SF because of crime, you are an idiot. Street parking is expensive and hard to find, but not "risky". It is hardly surprising to find a bad area in any town of any size. No one is saying there is no crime, but calling SF a hellhole because of it is ridiculous, a major untruth. I lived in Berkeley for several years and commuted to work in SF, taking Bart and streetcars. I never felt unsafe or was "disgusted" by anyone, including the homeless people. If David's tolerance for diversity extends only to people exactly like himself, instead of finding interest in others who are different, he is not going to feel comfortable anywhere except at home, and perhaps not even there,.

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    12. You are correct that SF home prices remain high, due to the overwhelming number of people who want to live under San Francisco values.

      Addended for clarification.

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  5. What have we won if we sacrifice the rights of others to win an election? That's a bad bargain.

    Of course Democrats fear losing again to someone like Trump and the truly awful people attracted to his administration. Even Marjorie Taylor Greene cannot stand them. That doesn't mean we should take advice from our opponents (or try to be more like them) out of fear. We are the party of the people; they are the party of billionaires and Nazis and Putin. People will choose us, if they are allowed to vote in fair elections not manipulated by tech-bro algorithms to favor racists like Trump.

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  6. Somerby suggests that Democrats are not willing to stick our necks out to support diverse people who are the targets of disenfranchisement in Southern states. Historically, we fought a civil war in which 360,000 died to preserve the union and free the slaves. If people were willing to die to eliminate slavery, why would they not be willing to vote to defend our Constitution with its guarantee of voting rights to all (including black people)? That is not a sacrifice at all compared to people giving their lives to defend the union and freedom in the Civil War?

    Somerby's cynicism causes him to underestimate the will of the Democrats to fight against racism, and the willingness of the majority to fight against the bad old days of Jim Crow.

    There are rumblings on the right about taking away women's right to vote too. The Civil War did not guarantee women's suffrage -- it took the 19th Amendment 60 years later to do that. Does anyone believe that if Democrats sell out racial civil rights, they won't do the same when women's rights are challenged? This is where we must draw the line. Trump has broken laws and ignored the Constitution long enough. We need to elect representatives to Congress who will stand up to Trump, release the Epstein files, prosecute corruption and do the right things!

    Somerby is cynical about this because he doesn't respect women or minorities or Democrats. He thinks badly about himself (no doubt with good reason) then generalizes that to the rest of us. My selfish reason for defending black voting rights is that I could not regard myself as a good decent person if I didn't stand up for others. I believe there are many Democrats who feel the same and thus will not bow to Republican manipulation using fear and bribery.

    This election is about defying Trump. We can all find the spine to do that over here on the left. If Somerby cannot, that is his problem, but we are not all like him.

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    1. @11:41 imagines that s/he lives in world that ended long ago. Nobody is taking the right to vote away from blacks and women. On the contrary, blacks and women are in the ascendency. A black woman was VP and almost President. Many top universities are headed by black women. A majority of college students are women.

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    2. It is like the Grand Wizard John Roberts said, blacks will still have the option of voting for a black republican in Memphis.

      Go take a flying fuck, dickhead, you racist bastard.

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    3. David in Cal,
      Akin to illegal immigrants being hired over citizens in the job market which, like the black and women's success in America, you never hear the Right whine about being victimized by.

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    4. "A black woman was VP and almost President."

      I challenge anyone to show me one person who isn't an asshole, that said she got where she was just because she was a black woman or through DEI.

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    5. I hope my comment wasn't misunderstood. I used Harris as an example to show that Jim Crow no longer exists. I didn't discuss how she came to become VP.

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    6. Jim Crow was always disguised as across the board poll taxes and voting tests. Its purpose was never publicly stated as disenfranchising black voters.

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    7. But disenfranchising black voters is precisely what the GOP wants today.

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    8. 6:28,
      My company is owned by a Jewish person, so I know firsthand that anti-semitism isn't real.

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  7. Somerby says Campos-Duffy has it right. What more proof do you need that Somerby is advancing right wing talking points?

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  8. Somerby was anti-BLM. He didn't believe white voters would support black causes back then. He thought supporting BLM would drive white voters into Trump's arms. Then Biden won the election. Somerby's cause after that became "Biden is too old and Kamala has a nice laugh but doesn't know how to be interviewed."

    Now Somerby is saying the same thing -- that white voters will not vote in support of black voters and their right to equality under the law. Trump is not allowed to run again, but Somerby claims we will not be able to elect sufficient Democrats to hold him accountable in the midterms. We'll see what happens. So far, the special elections are proving Somerby wrong.

    My question is why a supposed Democrat is consistently so anti-black.

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  9. We blues are not looking for ways to lose but the press sure wants to bury us. Steve M says:

    https://nomoremister.blogspot.com/2026/05/democrats-shouldnt-cooperate-when-press.html?m=1

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  10. Redistricting Won’t Protect Republicans from a Blue Wave

    May 11, 2026 at 3:34 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard

    Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “The House map has taken on a larger GOP bias as a result of redistricting, although when it’s all said and done, the bias by one measure may essentially be the same as it was in 2018, when Democrats easily won the House.”

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