BREAKING: Drum spots thirteen-year-old "lie!"

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 7, 2018

The drama of full-throated claims:
Kevin Drum decided to steer for one of our pet peeves.

In this new post, he journeys back some thirteen years to accuse Steven Moore of a "lie." Here's the passage by Moore which Drum quotes, as highlighted by Drum:
MOORE (6/13/05): In the 1980s, President Ronald Reagan chopped the highest personal income tax rate from the confiscatory 70% rate that he inherited when he entered office to 28% when he left office and the resulting economic burst caused federal tax receipts to almost precisely double: from $517 billion to $1,032 billion.
Without any question, that presentation by Moore was grossly misleading and bogus. In Drum's post, this is his immediate assessment:
DRUM (following directly): This is wrong. Partly that’s because Moore didn’t even use figures from Reagan’s first and last years in office. But mainly it’s because he didn’t account for inflation or population growth. Once you do that, it turns out that federal tax receipts actually went up 14 percent on Reagan’s watch, or 1.7 percent per year.
For the record, Moore was using figures from 1980 and 1990. As such, his numbers covered a ten-year span. Reagan held office for eight.

As Drum notes, that was actually the lesser part of the problem with Moore's presentation! The larger problem was the fact that he didn't adjust for inflation. As Drum notes, comparisons like these come from a clowncar if you don't so adjust.

So far, so obvious. But uh-oh! Drum goes directly at our pet peeve in the text which follows:
DRUM (continuing directly): Moore’s statement isn’t just wrong. It’s a lie because he knew perfectly well it was wrong and said it anyway—and I savaged him for it at the time. But if it’s wrong for Stephen Moore, it’s wrong for everyone else too. And just like Moore, if you know better, it’s a lie. My goal is to make sure that everyone knows better so that we’ll all stop lying, either deliberately or otherwise.

Unless you have a very specific, technical reason for using nominal dollars—and they exist!—always adjust for inflation. Generally speaking, you should usually adjust for population growth too. Stop lying!
Was Stephen Moore "lying" in that passage? We're not sure, but saying that represents an extremely good way to lose an unloseable argument.

Moore's presentation was grossly misleading. It may well be that this was deliberate, though you can never quite know.

Presumably, Moore knew that, as a general matter, you have to adjust for inflation in making a comparison like this. Then too, you can never quite be sure.

That said, Moore's passage also contains some accurate information. When Drum says that Moore's "statement is wrong," he needs to say, at the very least, which statement he means.

We're always amazed when people like Drum want to make these dramatic claims of wrongdoing. We have no idea why he wants to make Statement A rather than Statement B:
Statement A: Stephen Moore is lying!

Statement B: Moore's presentation is clownishly misleading, presumably deliberately so.
As soon as you make Statement A, you're heading down the road of a debate you're going to lose. There are a hundred ways for a modestly-competent opponent to create a winning misdirection, given your fiery claim.

Is it really unsatisfying to make the alternate statement, in which you (accurately) say that Moore's statement is straight outta a gong show? His presentation was, in fact, clownishly bogus. Is it really insufficiently thrilling to start by saying that?

We live at a time of moral confusion and liberal loss and decline. We liberals seem ever-eager to make the most dramatic possible statements about the moral wrongdoing of the lying racist people we keep losing to.

In fairness, if we had ignored as much guild misconduct as Drum has over the years, we'd want to convince ourselves of our own moral greatness too. That said, this loud moral shouting on the part of our tribe increasingly strikes us as a signal of our ongoing defeat.

Moore made an absurd, gong-show presentation. If you want to lose an ensuing debate, you should loudly proclaim that he "lied."

Also this: We're puzzled by this formulation:

"My goal is to make sure that everyone knows better so that we’ll all stop lying, either deliberately or otherwise."

As every conservative pundit will know, a lie is a deliberate misstatement. We have no idea what that phrase "or otherwise" means.

This is the way we lose debates. In fairness, we've been at it a very long time, and we're highly skilled at the practice.

BREAKING: Woman found to be "part African!"

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 7, 2018

The world the slaveholders made:
Is Nicole Persley, age 46, actually "part African?"

That's what Tara Bahrampour says in a lengthy, front-page report in today's Washington Post. Bahrampour's report concerns the way some people react to results of genetic tests.

Bahrampour seems to say that Persley was very surprised by results of a recent test. Beyond that, Bahrampour seems to say that Persley's mother was "flabbergasted" by the genetic test.

That said, is Persley "part African?" Bahrampour's claim is found here:
BAHRAMPOUR (2/7/18): Nicole Persley, who grew up in Nokesville, Va., was stunned to learn that she is part African. Her youth could not have been whiter. In the 1970s and ’80s in her rural home town, she went to school with farmers’ kids who listened to country music and sometimes made racist jokes. She was, as she recalls, “basically raised a Southern white girl.”
According to Bahrampour, "a recent genetic test confirmed that Persley’s DNA is around 8 percent African."

What explains the big surprise for this former non-African? According to Bahrampour, Persley's paternal grandfather "moved away from his native Georgia and started a new life passing as white in Michigan."

Bahrampour doesn't reveal the extent to which this man was "African." At any rate, you can imagine what happened next! According to Bahrampour, "he married a white woman, who bore Persley’s father."

Let's return to our basic question. Would you be inclined to say that Nicole Persley, now a Florida resident, is "part African?"

We'd be disinclined to say that. But then, we remember how upset everyone got, or pretended to get, when the ludicrous Donald J. Trump angrily said that a federal judge from Indiana was "Mexican."

Our confused ideas about so-called race are among the many terrible legacies we've received in this general area from our benighted ancestors. Putin dreams of creating as much confusion as their conceptual frameworks do.

That said, is Nicole Persley "part African?" Spoiler alert:

It sounds like she was born in Virginia, Also, she grew up there!

We may discuss a range of such topics next week. That said, we thought Bahrampour's 1900-word report was full of poorly reasoned, unfortunate cant and ran on the unfortunate fuels of torment and misdirection.

These confusions and obsessions are all part of "the world the slaveholders made." At present, our own tribe loves these mounds of misdirection more than anyone else.

For extra credit only: Read Christine Emba's fascinating column concerning certain gong-show aspects of the next census report.

FISH AND FROGMARCH: Literal and figurative beasts!

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 7, 2018

Part 3—Monster versus monster:
The New York Times' A. O. Scott is a major mainstream film critic.

We have no doubt that he's a good decent person, like pretty much everyone else. That said, he may be the most "correct" of all our mainstream critics.

We draw on the phrase "politically correct," a term we've always rejected as a tool of right-wing propaganda. That said, the behavior to which the term refers has become so absurd in recent years that a fair-minded person will have to agree:

We liberals have managed to turn ourselves into the people The Others have long said we were.

How "correct" is Scott? Last Thursday, he penned his second recent long rumination about the need to rethink his lifelong love for Woody Allen.

Scott's piece appeared on page C1, the front page of Thursday Styles. This allowed his bosses to publish a large photo of Diane Keaton, echoing the way Maureen Dowd's front-page piece in last weekend's Sunday Review let them give us a large photo of "goddess" Uma Thurman.

In these ways, we Times subscribers get to pretend that we're thinking hard, even as we thumb the pages of our own movie mag.

Being heavily "correct" (and a Times employee), Scott can't stop ruminating on the need to rethink Allen. Last December, he also offered a fascinating review of The Shape of Water, the Cold War thriller cum monster movie he seems to have liked a great deal.

(In his year-end top ten list, Scott included The Shape of Water in his second group of ten, which actually numbered eleven. This means he rated it as the eleventh to twenty-first best film of the past year.)

Plainly, Scott seems to have liked The Shape of Water a lot, as did quite a few other critics. Online, the headline atop his review describes the film as "altogether wonderful." In hard copy, the headline said this:

"A Monster Worthy of Love"

That headline referred to only one of the film's two monsters, the one we're intended to see. In the part of his review shown below, Scott offered a weird assessment of the second, less literal monster. He also demonstrates the extent to which he is wildly "correct:"
SCOTT (12/1/17): The most obvious reference point for ''The Shape of Water'' is ''Creature From the Black Lagoon,'' a Cold War-era camp-horror classic about a strange beast, quasi-fish and sort-of human, discovered in the rain forests of the Amazon. In Mr. del Toro's update, such a creature is brought to Baltimore in the early 1960s and kept in a tank at a government research lab, where he is subjected to brutal torture in the name of science and national security.

“The Asset,” as his minders call him, poses no threat to anyone. He is, as wild things tend to be in movies nowadays, an innocent at the mercy of a ruthlessly predatory species, which is to say us. His particular nemesis is Richard Strickland, a government-issue, square-jawed square played with reliable menace by Michael Shannon. Strickland lives in a suburban split-level with his wife and two kids, drives a Cadillac, reads “The Power of Positive Thinking” and is into mechanical missionary sex (and workplace sexual harassment). His favorite accessory is an electric cattle prod, a detail that links him to the Southern sheriffs occasionally shown terrorizing civil rights demonstrators on television.

A caricature? Maybe. But also a perfectly plausible villain, and in his diabolical all-American normalcy a necessary foil for the film’s loose rebel coalition, a band of misfits who come to the Asset’s defense...
In that passage, Scott refers to the literal "monster," the one we're intended to see. He also describes the film's second monster, the cartoonized caricature we're apparently meant to see as something drawn from actual everyday life.

As Scott explains, The Asset is a literal "beast," or monster. We're supposed to think that he's half-fish and maybe almost half-man.

It's somewhat odd to be told that this beast "poses no threat to anyone," since he bites two fingers off somebody's hand early in the film. Whatever! The interesting part of the passage shown above involves Scott's account of the second monster, the one who isn't a familiar callback to "monster movies" of the 1950s.

This second monster is Richard Strickland, the "square-jawed" government agent who recalls the unfeeling bureaucrats who almost kill E.T. in Steven Spielberg's famous film.

Back in 1982, those government agents were merely blind and unfeeling. This government agent is something else.

This government agent is a fully deranged insane fascistic violent crazy monster. Let us count the various ways Strickland's status as a (figurative) monster is put on vivid, unending display in this childish, unfeeling film:

In the passage posted above, Scott rattles some of the ways del Toro paints Strickland as The Other. Good God! He lives in a suburban split-level house; buys a very large Cadillac; reads and quotes from “The Power of Positive Thinking;” and he even engages in mechanical missionary sex!

In these ways, the childish minds of our failing tribe will identify the pitiful Strickland as being unlike Us. That said, Scott glosses the deeper behaviors which identify Strickland as this film's sexond, non-literal monster. Let us count the many things this monstrous character does:

As Scott notes, he carries "an electric cattle prod." In fact, he uses this weapon, in plainly sadistic ways, at various points in the film.

As Scott notes (though only in parentheses), he engages in "workplace sexual harassment" at one point in the film. More accurately, he seems to be on the verge or committing a violent sexual assault before his target, one of our heroines, is able to wriggle away.

Near the end of the film, he shoots and kills one heroine and one monster, or at least he seems to or tries. He also sadistically tortures another hero who has been shot by someone else, convincingly saying he wants him to suffer before he is able to die.

These are some of the larger offenses committed by this federal worker. Now let's turn to the smaller behaviors which define him as what he is:

In his very first scene, he walks in on our two heroines as they're cleaning the men's bathroom at the government facility where they all work. Exhibiting his disdain for these women, he simply walks over and takes a leak while they're standing right there, embarrassed.

Before he takes his ostentatious leak, he puts his cattle prod down at the sink, telling the women that it's his "Alabama howdee-doo," The state is named so even the dullest among us will know what we're being told.

After Strickland takes his leak with the embarrassed women looking on, he engages in the first of the lunatic musings he'll offer throughout the film. After he has taken his leak, one of the women puts out a towel for him to use after washing his hands. But he washed his hands before taking his leak! And so he tells them this:
"A man washes his hands before or after tending to his needs. That tells you a lot about that man.

"He does it both times? Points to a weakness of character."
Already, we're being told that Strickland is nutcase crazy completely and totally out of his freaking mind. Later in the film, his crazy musings do of course start to include crazy Bible recitations, letting even the dullest among us know what we're being shown.

In E.T., the unfeeling bureaucrats were simply unfeeling bureaucrats, as Freud said they sometimes were. Since then, our tribe has come a long way. In del Toro's film, the top unfeeling government agent is now a full-blown Southern racist crackpot religious nut. Presumably, nothing less would be enough to please our childish minds.

Who the heck is this second monster, the one who isn't a literal monster? In reviews of the film, David Edelstein (he didn't like the film) described Strickland as "a God-and-country white fascist."

Joe Morgenstern, who called this film the best of the year, called him "spectacularly evil."

In The Daily Beast, Nick Schager called him "a military brute...whose rancid, rotten nature is plain for all to see." More significantly, Schager is one of the few critics who explicitly described Strickland as what he plainly is:
SCHAGER (12/1/17): Strickland, a military brute who prefers that his cheery domestic wife stay silent while he’s ramrodding her in bed, and who—courtesy of losing two fingers to the merman, and having them unsuccessfully reattached—is a beast whose rancid, rotten nature is plain for all to see.
It's absurd to think that Strickland became a beast because he got his fingers chewed off. Still and all, good for Schager!

Schager plainly liked the film, but he explicitly said that Strickland is The Shape of Water's second "beast." Indeed, right at the start of his discussion, Schager explicitly notes that this childish film actually features (at least) two monsters:
SCHAGER: Guillermo del Toro loves scary, slimy monsters—the sort that slither across dank floors and lurk in inky shadows. In addition to that creature-feature fandom, however, he boasts the eye of a sly social critic and the heart of a romantic, and that’s never been more apparent than in The Shape of Water, the Hellboy and Pan’s Labyrinth auteur’s entrancing fairy tale about a mute woman and a fish man whose interspecies love crosses all barriers.

Led by a phenomenal Sally Hawkins, it’s a fantasy cast in a familiar del Toro mold: all slick subterranean locales, affectionate classic cinema shout-outs, deftly detailed protagonists, and fiends of a decidedly human variety—and one that functions as a poignant parable about the ugliness of discrimination, and the transcendent beauty and power of “otherness.”
Good for Schager! He explicitly notes that there is more than one fiend in this film. Several of the fiends, but principally Strickland, don't get to cite the tired excuse of being half-fish.

Strickland is this film's second, non-literal monster! He's a monster of violent sadism and of crazy, cartoonish religiosity. He'll piss right in two women's faces as he names his howdee-doo stick. Later, he'll try to assault one of these woman, making weird remarks as he does.

Later, we'll see him shoot and kill her. He's just that kind of a guy!

Plainly, Strickland is the beast! But what does it mean to be "correct?" Scott somehow sat through this film and came away describing the fellow like this:
SCOTT: A caricature? Maybe. But also a perfectly plausible villain, and in his diabolical all-American normalcy a necessary foil for the film’s loose rebel coalition, a band of misfits who come to the Asset’s defense...
Strickland is all-American normal! So it seems to a decent person who is tragically "correct" to an astounding extent.

As Strickland was monstrous, so too was Scott, when it comes time to talk about monsters to our failing minds.

Tomorrow: More "caricatures" from this tribalized film

Friday: Michael Shannon, discussing The Others: It's time for Them to go

BREAKING: We disagree with Drum's advice!

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 6, 2018

The long, winding road not taken:
We disagree with Kevin Drum's view on the best way to deal with fake news.

Our society has been awash in such news for decades now. It has frequently come from the right. It has also come from the mainstream. Example:

"Al Gore has a problem with the truth" was a two-year campaign of fake news live and direct from the upper-end mainstream press.

That fake news didn't come mainly from the right. Mainly, it came from the Mainstream Press Elite Noise Machine—a noise machine careerist liberals know they must never criticize or even discuss.

At ay rate, we've been swimming in fake news for decades now. At present, gigantic amounts of fake news come from Donald J. Trump and the right-wing pseudo-press.

Here's how Kevin says to deal with this. This advice strikes us as faulty:
DRUM (2/6/18): At the moment, all I can suggest is the Hannity test: If Sean Hannity is going crazy over something, the rest of us should ignore it. He’s an almost perfect barometer of what’s news and what’s nonsense.
We disagree. Liberals have to learn how to talk to the people who get conned by people like Hannity. If Hannity's saying it, Trump is too. Should we just ignore him as well?

We have to learn how to talk to Those People. We have to tell them two things:
1) You're getting conned by people like Hannity.
2) You have a citizen's duty to stop accepting this.
It won't be easy to do this. As all Those People Over There know, we liberals have spent our time, for many years, telling them things like this:
1) You're a gang of racists and homophobes.
2) You are very, very dumb, unlike us very bright liberals.
The definitive example of this approach was the two weeks of dick jokes Rachel Maddow dumped on Tea Party heads in the spring of 2009, courtesy of guest star Ana Marie Cox—with Maddow (falsely) saying, night after night, that she was embarrassed by the off-color things Cox was surprisingly saying.

A tribe which keeps people like that around is a tribe which isn't real honest. Meanwhile, conservatives understand what terrible people we are.

For the most part, they don't understand how terrible Sean Hannity is. We aren't able to tell them because of who and what we are.

We tend to be stupid, unpleasant, dumb. People in the other tribe know this. Only we remain barefoot and clueless with respect to this basic fact.

Speaking very slowly now: No, you won't be able to convince all The Others that Hannity, and Donald J. Trump, are conning them. (Your lizard will quickly tell you this, urging you not to try.)

Persuading all of them isn't the goal. Persuading enough of them is.

BREAKING: Everyone knew, Tim Robbins tells Dowd!

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 6, 2018

So why didn't anyone speak:
In Sunday's editions, Maureen Dowd finally found her niche. She was reinvented as the New York Times' Hollywood justice reporter.

In the Sunday Review, she wrote a giant, sprawling report about Harvey Weinstein based on an interview with Uma Thurman. According to today's page A3, it was "the weekend's most read article."

Dowd also wrote a sprawling profile of Tim Robbins on page one of the paper's Sunday Styles section.

The Thurman piece ran 2800 words. Including both its parts, the piece with Robbins was slightly longer.

That represents a lot of copy. Let's start with something Robbins said—something Dowd failed to pursue:
DOWD (2/4/18): Asked about the tectonic shift for women in Hollywood, Mr. Robbins says he is happy that ''the incredibly libidinous atmosphere in Hollywood is changing'' so that men will be more afraid ''to intimidate women into compliance in horrible, rapey ways.''

''Everybody knew,'' he says in a disgusted whisper about Harvey Weinstein. ''Everybody knew.''

He thinks there might actually be a fundamental shift, ''not just on the man-woman thing but the male-male thing, too. That's been happening for a long time.''
In fact, Robbins discusses his interactions with Weinstein over the years in some detail. But his most striking statement appears in that passage:

"Everybody knew," Robbins said, referrng to Weinstein's sexual misconduct, which seems to have reached criminal levels over a substantial number of years.

"Everybody knew," Robbins said. We hapless liberals tend to lionize those who make such comments. To our tiny, small, withered minds, a comment like that helps make Robbins a progressive star.

"Everybody knew," Robbins said. Presumaby, everybody includes Robbins himself. Needless to say, Dowd didn't pose the obvious question:
Motherfrumper, why didn't you speak if you knew? Why did you, and "everybody" else, maintain the culture of silence?
People like Dowd know that, under industry rules, such questions mustn't be asked—not even of someone like Robbins, who is described, in the headlines above Dowd's piece, as a "veteran activist." She blew right past the same moral question in her tedious interview with Thurman.

Credit where due! Early on, Thurman is quoted suggesting that she herself might be to blame in the case of some "young girls" whom Weinstein attacked and assaulted. In this passage, she's discussing the public silence she maintained after she herself was attacked in a way she describes in the interview:
DOWD (2/4/18): ''Pulp Fiction'' made Weinstein rich and respected, and Thurman says he introduced her to President Barack Obama at a fund-raiser as the reason he had his house.

''The complicated feeling I have about Harvey is how bad I feel about all the women that were attacked after I was,'' she told me one recent night, looking anguished in her elegant apartment in River House on Manhattan's East Side, as she vaped tobacco, sipped white wine and fed empty pizza boxes into the fireplace.

''I am one of the reasons that a young girl would walk into his room alone, the way I did. Quentin used Harvey as the executive producer of 'Kill Bill,' a movie that symbolizes female empowerment. And all these lambs walked into slaughter because they were convinced nobody rises to such a position who would do something illegal to you, but they do.''

Thurman stresses that Creative Artists Agency, her former agency, was connected to Weinstein's predatory behavior. It has since issued a public apology. ''I stand as both a person who was subjected to it and a person who was then also part of the cloud cover, so that's a super weird split to have,'' she says.
According to Dowd, Thurman looked anguished in her elegant apartment. That may explain why no questions were posed by Dowd about the long public silence which let "young girls" be attacked.

Under industry rules, these bargains will always be struck when Hollywood stars agree to speak to tabloid stars like Dowd. People like Dowd will not push glorified people like Robbins and Thurman about their failures to speak and to act.

Instead, glorified people like Robbins and Dowd will be burnished in long, flattering profiles. A photo of Thurman will eat perhaps eighty percent of the front page of the Sunday Review, with these huge words next to a photo from her elegant flat:
A Goddess, A Mogul, And a Mad Genius
In this case, the person who didn't speak gets to be hailed as "A Goddess." In the case of Robbins, he gets to rattle at great length. No embarrassing questions get asked!

As Robbins rattles further, he's quoted offering this remark:

''It's really, really important that women have the floor now to talk about this because it has been so pervasive throughout every industry as long as I've been alive.''

In this way, we know that he's a veteran hero of activist labor. Dowd knows she mustn't ask the obvious question:

"So why did you refuse to speak up? And why did everyone else?"

In an early comment about the interview with Thurman, one poor soul suggested that Thurman is less a hero than those who actually broke the ice, speaking up when no one else had done so. ("I've mixed feelings regarding Ms. Thurman's story.") This poor soul was quickly assailed for making this vile remark.

Elsewhere in comments, everybody was praising the goddess for her transplendent courage. We modern liberals are simply unable to deal with the actual world.

FISH AND FROGMARCH: Four out of five mainstream critics agree!

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 6, 2018

Part 2—No cartoon left behind:
Stating the obvious, some major mainstream film critics loved and admired Guillermo del Toro's Oscar-nominated film, The Shape of Water.

At least two major mainstream critics selected The Shape of Water as the best film of the year. (Joe Morgenstern of the Wall Street Journal; Kenneth Turan of the Los Angeles Times.) At the New York Times, A. O. Scott's review appears beneath an upbeat headline:
‘The Shape of Water’ Is Altogether Wonderful
Scott included The Shape of Water on a list of eleven films comprising his "second ten" list. In hard copy, his review bore the type of headline which makes us go awwww:
A Monster Worthy of Love
For our money, Scott is the strangest of mainstream film critics when it comes to the political topics which flood del Toro's film. We'll consider his review before the week is done.

That said, some critics loved The Shape of Water. They discussed the more literal of the two monsters the film brought to the screen.

Critics who didn't love this film still tended to review it favorably At the Washington Post, Ann Hornaday gave it only three stars of a possible four—and no, we don't mean three-and-a-half, a grade the Post's system permits.

As such, Hornaday basically gave the film a B. But her review, as it began, seemed to promise more:
HORNADAY (12/7/17): Less a movie than a conjuring, “The Shape of Water” plunges viewers into a mossy, aquamarine world of dreams and taboo desires, its contours as a wistful fable adjusted more than slightly for very real, present-day concerns. As a creation of the groundbreaking filmmaker Guillermo del Toro, this fantastical allegory bears the director’s fetishistic hallmarks, which run to monsters and surrealistic environments, bloody body horror and meltingly tender romance. “The Shape of Water” may not achieve the aesthetic and thematic heights of 2006’s “Pan’s Labyrinth,” which still stands as del Toro’s masterpiece. But it’s an endearing, even haunting film from one of cinema’s most inventive artists, one who manages to bend even the hoariest B-movie tropes to his idiosyncratic, deeply humanistic imagination.
In a movie which was more like a conjuring, one of our most inventive artists had created an endearing film which expressed his deeply humanistic imagination. So why did it only get three stars? There must have been something about this film which Hornaday didn't like.

As it turned out, she didn't seem to like its caroonistic "stereotyping"—though that's a term she herself didn't use. (We'll see David Edelstein use it below.) Indeed, The Shape of Water might well bear a subtitle:
No demographic cartoon left behind
No demographic cartoon left behind—and the more blatant the cartoon the better!

Hornaday didn't seem to like the ridiculous way del Toro peoples his film. She voices this critique fairly early in her review, which otherwise seemed highly positive:
HORNADAY: But if the world that del Toro builds reflects his usual attention to surprise and detail, the characters that populate it too often feel rote, crammed into roles whose metaphorical meaning too often feels simplistic and bluntly at odds with the rest of the film’s subtlety. Starting with Giles and Elisa’s work friend Zelda (Octavia Spencer), and continuing through Shannon’s depiction of masculinity at its most malevolent and toxic, the message of “The Shape of Water” comes through too loud and too clear, as Elisa and her band of outsiders suffer under the yoke of homophobia, racism, intimidation and self-righteous intolerance. (At one point, when he’s talking about God with Zelda, Giles suggests that “He looks like me—maybe even you. But probably more like me.”)

Amid such obviousness, [Sally] Hawkins’s portrayal of Elisa stands out with gemlike beauty...
We agree with Hornaday's assessment of the portrayal of Elisa, the mute woman who falls in love with Scott's lovable monster—with a creature which is half-fish and (something resembling) half-human.

That said, even Elisa is part of the problem to which Hornaday alludes. Del Toro has peopled his film with easily-identified standard victims—victims of racism, of homophobia, and, appallingly enough, of lazy, shiftless black men who shuffle off, at the moment of truth, to cow-tow to The Man.

In fact, there's a fourth hero in this "simplistic" film beside the three Hornaday names. (More on that fourth hero later.) Beyond that, as Hornaday notes, the villains of the piece are cartoonized figures who act out cartoonized versions of "masculinity at its most malevolent and toxic."

This seems to be the part of the film which held Hornaday to three stars. That said, her complaint about the "obviousness" of del Toro's film is more explicitly expressed in a review from a major critic who seems to have liked The Shape of Water much less than Hornaday did.

In truth, del Toro's film is a clown car of cartoonized heroes and villains. Writing for Vulture, David Edestin calls the roll, then rolls his eyes at del Toro—and at the cartoonized thinking which increasingly typifies our own failing liberal tribe:
EDELSTEIN (9/14/17): The heroine, Eliza (Sally Hawkins), is a cleaning woman in a top-secret underground facility that’s the setting for [Cold War government] research. One day an Amazonian Gill Man (known as “the Asset,” played by Doug Jones) arrives in a tank in the custody of an agent named Strickland (Michael Shannon), who talks about how the creature is an affront to God, not “being made in His image.” He’s also fond of using an electrified cattle prod, which he refers to as his Alabama how-dee-doo. The way he used it reminded me of how southern policemen beat black civil-rights protesters. Perhaps what reminded me was footage on nearby TV screens of southern policemen beating black civil-rights protesters.

Did I mention that the heroine is mute and suffers from the feeling that she’s “incomplete?” She was apparently mistreated as a child.

[...]

I should mention that the lovable, mute heroine lives (above a movie theater) with a lovable, talkative gay painter (Richard Jenkins) who keeps trying to create Norman Rockwell–like illustrations for an advertising firm that has let him go (because he’s gay?). And that Eliza has another natural ally in her fellow cleaning woman, Zelda (Octavia Spencer), who chatters away about her lazy, good-for-nothing husband. So you have a poor mute woman, a poor black woman, a poor gay man, and a so-called freak of nature versus a God-and-country white fascist who buys a Cadillac because it represents “the future” and is shown in bed mechanically grunting over his impassive blonde Stepford wife. Did I mention that he and his five-star general boss want to dissect the Gill Man rather than keep him around? Talk about stacking the deck.

I didn’t fight The Shape of Water off—I tried to surrender to its romance...But the characters are always drifting back and forth over the line that separates archetypes from stereotypes...[T]he story goes exactly where you think it will. It’s an utterly lovely, complacent movie, too comfortable with itself to generate real dramatic tension.
In our view, even Edelstein is too kind in this review. He exhibits thinly-disguised scorn for the way del Toro "stacks the deck," giving us three lovable heroes and heroines who stand in opposition to "a God-and-country white fascist" with an "Alabama how-dee-doo" which he uses early and often. (The state is named in case someone's so dumb as to miss del Toro's pathetically cartoonized point.)

But despite his visible scorn for the "stereotyping" which Hornaday also criticized, Edelstein fails to capture the depraved extent to which del Toro stacks this deck. He fails to list the fourth hero, whose demographic qualification seems to take us to something resembling insanity. (More on this third man tomorrow.)

Beyond that, Edelstein fails to capture the sheer depravity of the second monster in this film, the monster we're scripted to hate. We're supposed to empathize with the "monster" who's only half-fish. At the same time, we're supposed to loathe the second monster, the one with the how-dee-doo stick.

In fact, that second monster's use of that stick is just one marker of his fantastical derangement. For today, let's end with Edelstein's call of the roll:

On the one hand, we have the gentle mute woman, the gay older man, and the hard-working black woman—the hard-working woman with the shiftless, cow-towing black husband. We also have that fourth Good Person/hero, whose demographic suitability takes us all the way to the ocean floor.

On the other hand, we have the southern fascist male with his Alabama cattle prod and his fondness for the missionary position. What else does that cartoonized figure do in this "utterly complacent" film?

Come back tomorrow to find out! For today, we'll only say this:

Four out of five mainstream critics agreed. There was something like "stereotyping" taking place in this film. (Other names might be employed—"cartooning" or "caricature.")

In fact, cartooning runs wild in this film. It's built around standard demographic groups; it's designed for small, childish minds, especially those of the defeated.

The cartooning represents the way we flailing, failing progressives tend to explain our ongoing defeats. This film adopts the shape of blame. All the blame is aimed at a hateable monster, the monster who, predictably, is found all the way Over There.

Tomorrow: The shape of monster

BREAKING: Todd seems or pretends to question Priebus!

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 5, 2018

Actually fails to do so:
Back in June 2017, did Donald J. Trump order Don McGahn to fire Robert Mueller?

In the past two weeks, the New York Times and the Washington Post have each reported that he did. Each paper reported that McGahn then told "White House officials" or "West Wing staff" that he would resign before he would comply with that order.

Did those events actually happen? On yesterday morning's Meet the Press, Chuck Todd's first guest was Reince Priebus, Trump's chief of staff at that time.

Almost surely, Priebu would have known if these events occurred. And sure enough! Todd raised this topic right at the start of his interview:
TODD (2/4/18): Let me start right on an issue that happened near the end of your tenure as White House chief of staff.

The Washington Post reported late last month the following:

Trump's ire at Mueller rose to such a level that then White House strategist Stephen K. Bannon and then Chief of Staff Reince Priebus grew, quote, incredibly concerned that he was going to fire Mueller and sought to enlist others to intervene with the president, according to a Trump adviser who requested anonymity, to describe private conversations.

This was all in that report that White House counsel Don McGahn said he'd resign if ordered to do this.

What can you tell us about this event?
To watch this exchange, click here.

Did Don McGahn threaten to resign, as the Post and the Times reported? Todd's first question, which was remarkably fuzzy, set the tone for the discussion to come, in which Todd seemed to go out of his way to avoid seeking specific answers from Priebus.

"What can you tell us about this event?" That's an absurdly fuzzy question to pose to a fuzzy talker like Priebus. And indeed, in his initial fuzzy reply, Priebus told us remarkably little.

That seemed OK with Todd. Throughout the discussion, he avoided such obvious questions as these:
Fairly obvious, fairly specific questions:
Did McGahn ever tell you that Trump had told him to fire Mueller?

Did you ever hear McGahn say that he would resign before he would follow that order?

Did anyone else ever tell you about any such statements by McGahn?

Did anyone ever tell you that McGahn had been given that order?

Did anyone ever tell you that McGahn had refused such an order? That he had said he would resign instead?
Those seem like fairly obvious questions. They're also fairly specific.

Instead of asking such questions, Todd let an extremely fuzzy non-discussion unfold. Consider this worthless early exchange:
PRIEBUS: I never felt, of all the things that we went through in the West Wing, I never felt that the president was going to fire the special counsel. So, I never felt the level of—

TODD: Feeling and what people heard, it's possible the president uttered the words, "I want Mueller fired, I want Mueller gone."

PRIEBUS: I never heard that.

TODD: But you never took it—

PRIEBUS: No, I never heard that.

TODD: You never heard those specific—

PRIEBUS: I never heard that, no.

TODD: The sentiment was expressed?
Note the instant failure by Todd. The Post and the Times didn't report that Trump had said such things to Priebus. The papers reported that Trump gave a specific order to McGahn.

Already, Todd was letting Priebus dispute a claim the newspapers hadn't made. As the non-discussion continued, so did the failure to get specific answers to specific questions:
TODD (continuing directly): The sentiment was expressed?

PRIEBUS: I think it was clear by the president's own words that he was concerned about the conflicts of interest that he felt that the special counsel had. And he made that very clear. Perhaps someone interpreted that to mean something else.

But I know the difference between "Fire that person," "Why isn't that person gone" to what I read in the New York Times piece. So when I read that, I'm just telling you—

TODD: Right.

PRIEBUS: —I didn't feel that when I was there.
We don't even know what to highlight. Priebus didn't "feel" something when he was there? Todd still hasn't asked the basic question: Did McGahn ever tell him about that alleged order from Trump?

Finally, Todd mentioned McGahn. But his question was extremely fussy, and so was the bullroar which followed:
TODD: Did Don McGahn express that concern?

PRIEBUS: Not in particular. But I'm, but again—

TODD: Is this story wrong?

PRIEBUS: Um, I think—I didn't think it was right. I mean, put it that way. I mean, I didn't, I didn't believe it was accurate.

TODD: But you're not, but you're not ready, you're not disputing it in full. Why?

PRIEBUS: I'm disputing it from my point of view, right, because I never heard that.

TODD: From your point of view. You never heard it, but you're not—it's possible he did express this?
By now, it isn't even entirely clear who "he" is supposed to be. Indeed, this whole exchange had adopted a "Who's On First" quality by this point. This was especially true watching this jumbled discussion in real time, rather than by poring over the NBC transcript, which we've had to correct in many ways.

Did Don McGahn ever tell Priebus that he'd been ordered to fire Mueller? It's very easy to ask that question. If you're going to raise this topic, the question is blindingly obvious.

Instead of asking specific questions, Todd stumblebummed his way along, as he always does when speaking to Priebus. It's hard to believe that this is really the best Chuck Todd can do.

We live in a nation of 330 million people. It's hard to believe that this is the best our big corporate news orgs can do. Again and again, one has to assume that they don't really want to do better.

FISH AND FROGMARCH: The shape of anger!

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 5, 2018

Part 1—A monster designed for Us:
Why did we go to see The Shape of Water? Let us count the ways.

Had we gone to see a movie all year? We don't think so! Mainly, we hadn't gone because they charge admission.

This day, though, was different from all other days. On Saturday, January 27, there was no football game on TV! What was a person to do?

We went to see The Shape of Water, our curiosity having been piqued in at least two ways.

First, the film had received 13 Oscar nominations, the fourth highest total ever. It had been showered with Oscar nods despite appearing on the "top ten" lists of amazingly few mainstream critics.

We were curious about that apparent contradiction. We were curious for another reason too:

Reviews of the film sketched an obvious resemblance to E. T., the 1982 Spielberg fantasy which became the highest grossing film of all time (to that date). In the earlier film, a group of children discover a being from another realm. In The Shape of Water, a lonely woman who's unable to speak makes a similar discovery—and she falls in love.

We've been fascinated by E.T.'s appeal since the night we saw it, long ago—a night on which a packed theater rocked with emotion. In the film's two waves of loss—first when E.T. seems to be dead, then when he famously phones and goes home—the audience in which we sat was racked by audible sobbing, including loud bellows from the sensitive fellow with whom we were in attendance.

That fellow was the late Jimmie Miller, a Baltimore artist and a sensitive soul. He too had sometimes been seen as a type of "other," as the Baltimore Sun explained in a lengthy obituary at the time of his death:
BUTLER (8/15/05): Throughout his life, Mr. Miller suffered from ataxia, a neurological condition that affected his balance and speech. The condition can make people appear intoxicated, and Mr. Miller was at times denied access to public transportation, restaurants, bars and social gatherings because of his disability, according to his longtime friend and caregiver, Gracie Thompson Claxton.

"It got worse as he got older," she said. "People were prejudiced. They thought he was intoxicated."

As a longtime resident of Federal Hill, near Cross Street Market, Mr. Miller came to be called the mayor of South Baltimore, Mrs. Claxton said, because he was frequently seen walking his Bedlington terriers.

"He was a friendly and entertaining artist," Mrs. Claxton said. "He had many friends."
In a famous earlier film, George Bailey was blessed with many friends too. Famously, these friendships ended up making George Bailey "the richest man in town."

The artist known as Jimmie Miller had a lot of friends. The entire theater was under water the night the two of us saw E.T., but amid the astonishing volume of sobs, his wrenching clearly stood out.

We remain astounded, to this day, by the reaction to that film in that theater that night. We wondered how The Shape of Water would handle a story line resembling the one which produced that outpouring of empathy and grief.

In our view, The Shape of Water handles that story line very poorly. On the other hand, we'd say the film helps us identify a curse afflicting our current progressive tribe—our incessant need to create The Monster, our need to have others to hate.

Let's start with those top ten lists. The Shape of Water received 13 Oscar nods, even though it appeared on amazingly few mainstream lists.

At the New York Times, it wasn't listed among the year's top ten by A. O. Scott or by Manohla Dargis—and Dargis listed the thirty best films.

At the Washington Post, it wasn't picked by Ann Hornaday. Out in Chicago, it wasn't picked by the Tribune's Michael Philips or by the Sun-Times' Richard Roeper.

It didn't make the "best film" lists at Slate, Salon, or Vox. (Slate listed the year's 15 best films; Vox listed the top 21.) It didn't make the top ten list at USA Today or at the Christian Science Monitor. It didn't appear on either list from the AP's two film critics.

The Shape of Water didn't appear on NPR's three lists. It didn't make the best films list at Time or at The Daily Beast, or at Vanity Fair, Esquire or The New Yorker. (Esquire included 25 films; The New Yorker 35!)

At rogerebert.com, thirty critics published lists. The Shape of Water appeared on just five. To peruse top ten lists, click here.

For a film which received a near-record number of Oscar noms, that was a lot of top ten lists to miss! That said, such lists are subjective, of course, and The Shape of Water certainly did make some best movie lists.

It was picked as best movie of the year on the Wall Street Journal list. It was fifth best at The Atlantic, seventh best at Rolling Stone.

Meanwhile, how odd! Way out west, along a parched coast, the film was widely favored. At the Los Angeles Times, it was the year's best film on Kenneth Turan's list; Mark Olsen picked it second. (Justin Chang, not at all.) All in all, The Shape of Water appeared on 10 of 14 top ten lists in Tinseltown—those from the Times, the Los Angeles Daily News, Variety or the Hollywood Reporter.

Go figure! The film was a runaway favorite in Industryville, much less so everywhere else.

We can't explain the geographic distribution of these mainstream lists. We did wonder how a film could rate no many nominations while appearing on so few lists.

For ourselves, we haven't produced a top ten list; we've only seen one film so far. That said, we came close to being disgusted by The Shape of Water the first time through, and we didn't like it a whole lot better when we went to see it a second time, trying to double-check our initial perceptions.

(After reading its pretentious screenplay last night, we like it even less.)

We didn't much like The Shape of Water. On the other hand, we think this absurdly jumbled Cold War creature-feature fantasy film holds a mirror up to the face of our floundering, flailing modern progressive tribe.

As we've noted for some time, we liberals love to loathe The Others; it may be our floundering tribe's least attractive, least helpful trait. We think Guillermo del Toro's peculiar film holds the mirror up to this destructive impulse, which plays a large, increasing role in our failing political lives.

The Shape of Water tells the story of a lonely woman who falls in love with a creature who is half-fish and half-man. This creature is viewed as a monster by certain figures in the film. Like the children in E.T., the woman played by Sally Hawkins sees with a keener eye.

We liberals are inclined to praise ourselves for such moral goodness. Del Toro's film is drawn from this destructive, self-flattering script.

Alas! In order to let us praise ourselves, del Toro creates an alternative monster in his film. This monster, who isn't human at all, is a monster for Us to hate.

This second monster is a creature from a very familiar lagoon. As our floundering tribe routinely makes clear, we long to frogmarch this monster into the sea for reeducation and death.

Almost surely, this hatred of ours won't turn out well. Beyond that, our need for The Monster is inhumane, if also all too human.

Tomorrow: No stereotype left behind

BREAKING: Lithwick gets the memo right!

SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 3, 2018

Rachel [HEART] Fox & Friends:
Except for one gross overstatement, we sadly judge that Dahlia Lithwick may have gotten the memo right.

Lithwick followed in Andrew Sullivan's gloomy, perceptive footsteps. Her analysis piece for Slate appeared beneath these gloomy headlines:
The Nunes Memo Is a Big Win for Donald Trump

It’s incomprehensible and deeply misleading and it will give Trump the tools he needs to stymie the Mueller investigation.
Gloomily, we'd have to say that this gloomy assessment may well be right. That said, Lithwick's significant overstatement occurs in thia gloomy passage:
LITHWICK (2/2/18): The memo is so silly, and technical, and logic-defying on its face that it’s easy to miss the fact that its genius lies in precisely that. Unless one ambles comfortably in the murky weeds of the Trump-Russia collusion investigation, this will all be just arcane and confusing enough to mean nothing. For the vast majority of Americans, it will be enough that the president has now declared that his own federal intelligence apparatus is corrupt and out to get him, and has conveniently produced an enemies list that conveniently sweeps in all the villains, from Christopher Steele to Dana Boente to Sally Yates to Andrew McCabe, who have declined to play on the president’s “team.” If the point here is to raise doubts about every investigatory agency capable of scrutinizing Trump, it has been achieved. As John McCain responded, when the memo was released, “If we continue to undermine our own rule of law, we are doing Putin’s job for him.”
Uh-oh! Lithwick reflexively gives a failing grade to "the vast majority of Americans." In Lithwick's assessment, Mencken's booboisie will be swept along by the silly, logic-defying memo and by the loud shouting of Trump.

In our view, Lithwick should wash her keyboard out with soap and rethink her view of Trump's strategy. Most likely, the current effort is not intended to convince a majority of the electorate, let alone a vast majority. Most likely, it's intended to convince a share of the electorate sufficient to make Trump's removal from office impossible—ideally, to make mere impeachment impossible, even should be whack Mueller.

Once we talk Lithwick down in that way, we think her gloomy assessment may well be right on target. If you watched Fox last night, you saw the brilliance of the memo being praised to the skies. If you watched C-Span's Washington Journal this morning, you heard enthusiastic viewers calling in to affirm that view.

Are Sullivan and Lithwick right in their gloomy assessments? There's a very good chance that they are! Partly, that's because of the very large Stupid viewers encountered at the start of last night's Maddow Show, where the liberal world's top-rated corporate clown danced a remarkable Western Massachusetts three-step.

This dance included the claim that her various friends at Fox are simply "doing their best."

For the record, we're referring to just the first two minutes of last night's Maddow Show. That's all you'll have to watch on this tape to see this multimillionaire corporate idiot dancing her latest jig.

What goes into the Western Mass Three-Step? This is what you'll see if you watch the first two minutes of that tape:

First, you'll see Maddow instantly start talking about herself. This starts exactly fifteen seconds into her monologue. Maddow can't breathe without pointless self-reference. This was last evening's first step.

After that, you'll be treated to a burst of Maddow's virtuosity as a comedic entertainer. She'll mug and clown and make us laugh as we head toward our warm milk, cookies and bed.

At this point, you''ll encounter the remarkable third part of last evening's three-step. You'll see Maddow tell us about the good intentions of her various friends at Fox.

Rachel Maddow talks about Fox in much the way Donald Trump talks about Putin. Yes, she actually said these things. No, we aren't making this up:
MADDOW (2/2/18): I don't really believe in the whole "cable news wars" idea.

I know people who work across the street at the Fox News Channel. I've got friends who work there. I think we're all doing our own thing in our own way, best we can. I wish everybody the best.
As Maddow utters these words, you'll see your screen divide into quadrants. Four photos let you see who she's talking about:
People who are doing their own thing in their own way, best they can:
Sean Hannity
Tucker Carlson
Laura Ingraham
The three chimps (Fox & Friends)
Good God! That ridiculous visual helps define what this weirdo said.

No really—she actually said it! According to Maddow, Sean Hannity and Tucker Carlson are just "doing their own thing in their own way, best they can." The same way Rachel is!

From there, Maddow went on to ridicule the presentations her various well-intentioned friends have been making over at Fox. As she did, she mugged and clowned as she always does, even sharing the fun of playing the "sad trombone" (we're quoting Maddow), the highly entertaining sound from the old Charlie Brown TV specials.

"We only bring that out for very special occasions," this gigantic corporate clown entertainingly, stupidly said.

She only plays the sad trombone on very special occasions! She played it last night because, in her view, the memo was such a gigantic bust.

Lithwick said the ridiculous memo was "a big win for Trump." Mugging and clowning and weirdly grinning, Maddow adopted the opposite stance all through her program.

Sadly, we think Lithwick may be more right. We're inclined to think that Maddow cast herself in the Pauline Kael role—in the role of the cosseted pseudo-liberal who doesn't know anyone who voted for Richard M. Nixon.

Mainly, though, we want to focus on Maddow's remarks about Fox.

They're just doing the best they can, Our Rhodes Scholar weirdly said. This isn't the first time she's done this.

As it turned out, one of her best friends at Fox was allegedly Greta Van Susteren. For years, Van Susteren had cast herself in the role of Donald J. Trump's prime enabler in his drive to be King of the Birthers.

Van Susteren disgraced herself as she played this role at Fox. But so what? As it turned out, she had been one of Rachel's favorite drinking pals during that gruesome period.

Who chooses their friends that way? Beyond that, we're so old that we can remember what Maddow said on June 15, 2015—the night before Donald J. Trump announced his run for the White House.

I have nothing against Donald Trump, our useful idiot said. He'd been King of the Birthers for four years at that point.

(More precisely: "It is not at all that I dislike Mr. Trump...It's nothing like that. It's not qualitative at all.")

The next morning, Trump made his "Mexican rapists" speech. Finger presumably in the career and political winds, it took Maddow several weeks to challenge what he had said.

Maddow is a high-IQ self-absorbed child, a clown. Her presence as Our Leading Liberal helps define the danger of the current situation:

On the one side, we have grasping pre-Enlightenment conduct in its most naked form. Over Here, within our own tents, we have the consultant-prescribed phony laughter which constitutes this latest version of "Why England Slept."

Maddow thinks the memo flunked. Not unlike Pauline Kael, she doesn't know anyone who doesn't think that!

We'll suggest that Lithwick's fear represents a more perceptive reaction. That said, whatever happens, we'll always have The Maddow Show with its endless fun, even its sad trombone.

Go ahead! Watch the first two minutes of last night's TV show. Hannity is just doing his best! So are the chimps on Fox & Friends, the most horrific TV propaganda show of all time.

Maddow got her start on Carlson's previous cable show. He's just doing his best!

Let's take a look at the numbers: On Thursday night, at 9 PM Eastern, 4.154 million people watched Hannity doing his best. At the same time, 3.044 million people were watching Maddow.

The fact that he got more doesn't matter. To enable the downfall of the republic, he just has to get enough.

BREAKING: Tailgunner Joe visits liberal cable!

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 2, 2018

Tailgunner Rachel's prime target:
We're often struck by Rachel Maddow's strong McCarthyite tendency. There's no one she pursues more strongly in this disreputable old way than she does Carter Page.

Has Carter Page been in league with the Russkies? Like Maddow, we have no way of knowing.

That said, Maddow loves to string Page up. Consider one of the ways she conned her viewers last night.

Maddow noted the fact that Page gave a speech in Moscow in the summer of 2016. Here's what Our Own Tailgunner said:
MADDOW (2/1/18): In July, now as an announced senior foreign policy adviser to Donald Trump, Carter Page took a trip to Moscow. And he gave what was basically an anti-U.S., pro-Vladimir Putin speech in Moscow at a Putin-connected university. He denounced U.S. sanctions on Russia.

He would later admit that while he was there, he met with high-ranking Russian officials, including the deputy prime minister of Russia, as well as at least one official from the Russian gas company Rosneft. He later admitted that he had those meetings when he went to Moscow that July, although he had initially denied them.
To watch this presentation, click here, move ahead to the 8-minute mark.

Let's try to ignore that Tailgunner language about giving an "anti-U.S. speech." Believe it or not, Page is entitled to his views about US-Russia relations. Some major figures on the left and the right agree with his general drift.

(We ourselves hold no particular views on such topics.)

Ignore that Tailgunner language. Focus instead on Maddow's claim that Page "would later admit that while he was there, he met with high-ranking Russian officials, including the deputy prime minister of Russia."

For what it's worth, there's no law against meeting with the deputy PM of the Russkies. That said, did Page "later admit" to such a meeting?

Well actually, no, he didn't. Consider the games Rachel played:

As Maddow made the statement we've quoted last night, the text shown below appeared on the screen. It comes from this news report in the Wall Street Journal:
ON SCREEN:
while in Moscow, be "briefly said hello" to Arkady Dvorkovich, depity prime minister of Russia, and met with Andrey Baranov, head of investor relations at Russian oil giant PAO Rosneft.
As these killing machines will happily do, Rachel transformed a "briefly said hello" into a "meeting." Meanwhile, just for the record, how brief was the "brief hello" which Page later "admitted?"

The Journal report is referring to Page's testimony before the House Intelligence Committee last November. He testified that the "brief hello"—a brief handshake on his way from the stage—lasted five to ten seconds, "probably closer to five."

(To read the testimony, click here, see page 38. That testimony is the "later admission" to which Tailgunner Rachel referred.)

The killing machines have played it this way all through the annals of time. Page testified to a five-second handshake; for purposes of locking him up, Maddow transformed it into a "meeting." In this way, she shows her contempt for her millions of liberal viewers, and her love of the age-old instincts of a Tailgunner Joe.

Rachel Maddow has terrible instincts, a fact she's good at hiding. She's extremely good at selling the car, and she shouldn't be on the air.

Was Carter Page allied with the Russkies? We don't know, and neither does Maddow. (Warning! Other sleights-of-hand occurred in last night's segment.)

We do know tailgunners when we see them. Maddow has played it this way, in various instances, down through the long clowning years. Her instincts tell her that The Bad People badly need getting locked up.

BREAKING: The shape of fact-checking at the Times!

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 2, 2018

Go ahead—try to explain this:
The New York Times is the best known, allegedly brightest newspaper in the U.S., a nation of 330 million people.

The paper has chosen Linda Qiu to serve as as its fact-checker. We thought you might want to see what fact-checking looks like at the Times.

In today's hard-copy editions, the Times features a FACT CHECK report concerning Democratic responses to the State of the Union.

In a bit of a sign of the times, Dems delivered five such responses. Qiu started with Joe Kennedy's official Democratic Party response. This is the statement she fact-checked:
MR. KENNEDY
“Top C.E.O.s making 300 times the average worker is not right.”
"True but misleading," Qiu strangely ruled. In doing so, she ignored the fact that the overall statement is a values judgment, not a factual claim.

In Qiu's actual analysis, she considered Kennedy's factual claim. She began with an accurate, if minor, complaint:
QIU (2/2/18): Mr. Kennedy is likely referring to a 2014 study from the left-leaning Economic Policy Institute. It found that compensation for chief executives at the top 350 American firms was about 300 times more than their employees.

To start, that figure is out of date. The institute’s most recent study on the matter, released in 2017, found a smaller—but still high—ratio of 271 to 1.
We'd be inclined to call that a quibble, but at least that claim isn't wrong. Sadly, though, Qiu continued as shown below. The analysts writhed and howled:
QIU (continuing directly): Also, the employment compensation research site PayScale conducted a 2016 survey across 168 companies with revenues over $1 billion. That research found executive cash compensation was, on average, about 70 times the median salary of their employees, though some broached the 300 to 1 mark.

Looking at wages alone—and not counting other forms of compensation like bonuses or stock options—chief executives made an average salary of $194,000 in 2016, about four times what the average worker made, according to even broader data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Truly, that's amazing. According to Qiu, the CEOs receive substantially less compensation if you only consider their cash compensation, or if you only consider their "wages." (Warning! Technical terms!) This lowers the giant CEO-to-worker ratio which results if you consider the total compensation of the CEOs.

According to Qiu, that CEO-to-worker ratio shrinks if you consider only some of the CEOs' earnings. Presumably, that statements is true. It's also true that the Red Sox won all their games last year if you don't count the games they lost.

How absurd is Qiu's analysis? Consider that PayScale survey of cash compensation, to which Qiu offers a link.

It's true! If you only consider "cash compensation," PayScale found that the CEOs only made 70 times as much as their average employees. But PayScale's text makes it clear that the bulk of CEO compensation doesn't lie in "cash compensation."

PayScale quickly links to this chart,
which shows what the CEOs in question received in total compensation. In almost every case, the CEOs earned three to four times as much, overall, as they did in cash compensation.

As such, nothing in that PayScale survey contradicts or calls into question anything Kennedy said. You could almost say that Qiu was providing some (irrelevant) "alternative facts!"

Seriously, who would "fact-check" Kennedy's statement on the basis chosen by Qiu? According to Qiu, CEO compensation isn't so high if you only count some such compensation!

Qiu has engaged in some very strange reasoning here. But on the basis of this consideration, Kennedy's statement was judged "misleading." This is the way the fact-checking works at your nation's brightest newspaper. Or at least so the Times branding claims.

The Red Sox won every game last year, not counting the games they lost! This is the way the reasoning works at our nation's brainiest newspaper.

When you see a newspaper's fact-checker working this way, what do you expect to find in its front-page bombshell reports? We'll continue with that topic tomorrow. But Qiu's puzzling work helps us ponder the puzzling way our upper-end culture now works.

Did an editor read Qiu's piece? Why did it go into print?

BOMBSHELLS AWAY: A tale of two stories regarding Trump!

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 2, 2018

Part 5—Did the New York Times get played:
What actually happened last June concerning Donald J. Trump?

Did he try to fire Robert Mueller? If so, how did the whole thing go down?

By last Friday night, in the 10 PM hour, we were involved in a tale of two stories concerning this particular claim. In a front-page report on Friday morning, two major stars at the New York Times had seemed to tell the world one story.

On Friday evening, Michael Wolff, speaking to Lawrence, had seemed to tell the story a very different way.

Which of the stories was actually true? Is there any way to know? Let's start with the story the New York Times seemed to tell. In the hands of Michael Schmidt and Maggie Haberman, that story had seemed to go like this:
The story as the Times seemed to tell it:
Donald J. Trump ordered Don McGahn to fire Robert J. Mueller. McGahn refused to follow the order and threatened to resign instead. In the face of this threat from McGahn, Donald J. Trump "backed down."
That story felt really good. Instantly, the report which seemed to tell that tale was declared a "bombshell report."

Josh Marshall thought he had read that story in the New York Times. Presumably, many other people thought they had read that story there too.

In fact, the writing in the New York Times was fuzzier and less precise than that. Had anyone directly faced Trump down as part of this "West Wing confrontation?" In their usual slippery way, Schmidt and Haberman hadn't exactly said.

Whatever! The story the Times had seemed to tell was met with widespread acclaim. But uh-oh! On Friday night, Michael Wolff sat down with Lawrence and seemed to suggest a possible different tale:
The possible story suggested by Wolff:
Donald J. Trump ordered Don McGahn to fire Robert J. Mueller. Because this was something that Donald J. Trump pretty much did every day of the week, McGahn rolled his eyes and ignored the order. Trump never followed through.
That actually happened last June? Which of those stories might be more true? At this point, is there any real way to know?

We would suggest that there pretty much isn't. This is another way of saying that Haberman, Schmidt and the New York Times are not a reliable source, a fact which has been abundantly clear for decades.

(Sardonicaly, Wolff seemed to suggest as much when he spoke to Lawrence last Friday night, rolling his eyes at the way the Times had presented the story.)

On Sunday, the Washington Post added to the fun. Deep in a front-page report, Ashley Parker explicitly said that McGahn had not directly confronted Trump as part of this fandango.

In this blog post, Marshall said that contradicted what he thought he had read in the Times. "This Is A Very Big Difference," he wrote in his headline. He suggested the possibility that the Times had perhaps been played by Don McGahn and his lawyers.

So it goes when the clowns employed by the New York Times pretehd to file news reports. Having said that, we should also say this about the clowns of cable:

Last Thursday evening, in the 8 PM hour, the New York Times news report suddenly appeared online. At CNN, star pundits rushed on the air to declare how brilliant and important it was.

They'd had little time to read the report, let alone to think about it. But so what? "Cable news" runs on instant judgment, and on enthusiastic adherence to preapproved story lines.

The Times report made Donald J. Trump look like a weak girly-man. On a channel like CNN, such reports will be applauded. And so it was last Thursday night. The Times report was "stunning," "a huge report," the cable clowns quickly declared.

In fairness, we should temper that claim. Soon after the Times report appeared online, CNN pundits were able to interview Haberman, who doubles as a CNN political analyst, about her front-page report.

They spoke with her telephonically. Needless to say, none of them challenged her fuzzy writing or asked about her murky sourcing. Dearest darlings, it just isn't done! Especially not with a CNN colleague!

The clowns of cable showered their colleague with praise. That said, one experienced CNN reporter did voice a potentially discouragin' word. Within minutes of the report's first sighting, Dana Bash was saying this to the useless Anderson Cooper:
BASH (1/25/18): The one thing that I want to add here, just by way of context, Anderson, is in all these months and year-plus of talking to people in and around the president, people who are still in the White House, people who are not in the White House anymore, in the campaign, one of the themes that I hear over and over is the desire by the president to fire X, Y or Z person, depending on the hour, depending on the minute, depending on the story he's watching on cable TV. Obviously, the special counsel in charge of investigating Russia collusion, and now potentially obstruction of justice, is a whole different league. But it is in keeping with kind of how he operates that he gets frustrated, he gets angry, he gets annoyed, and he threatens to fire somebody, and it has been, I'm told, there have been several instances where his senior staff have—they've had to sort of stand in front of the train and say "No, Mr. President, you can't do that."

That did not happen with James Comey. it did happen, according to Maggie's reporting, with Robert Mueller. And I just think that that is very telling. But it is important to—

COOPER: Yes.

BASH: —piece of evidence—

COOPER: Yes.

BASH: —to talk about in terms of thousand preside how this president operates.
We apologize! Thanks to the clowns of cable transcription, Bash's statement stops making sense at the end of that transcript chunk. Bash's statement turns into the familiar garble of cable news transcriptspeak.

We no longer have access to video (through On Demand) which would let us clean that up. That said, Bash had quickly suggested the theme which Wolff would cite the next night:

Trump "fires people" all the time,
the experienced scribe seemed to say. His staff is then required to talk their crazy boss down.

A more talented group might have asked Haberman a question at this point. Did she feel sure that the occasion to which her news report referred was really different from all the other possible firings? On what basis could she offer this assurance? Did she feel sure that she was describing a unique and serious event?

The pundits should have asked Haberman that, but that sort of thing isn't done on cable. On cable news, overpaid clowns recite and play. So it went Thursday night.

Eventually, Marshall suggested the possibility that the brilliant Haberman and Schmidt may have gotten played. He suggested the possibility that McGahn's legal team had fed the Times a pleasing tale to make their client seem heroic—perhaps, to insulate him against the possibility that he too could be charged with obstructing justice.

Haberman should have been asked about that. Indeed, last Thursday night, Rachel Maddow suggested the same possibility, though only in the most fleeting and general way:
MADDOW (1/25/18): I don't want to overstate this too much, but to be honest with you, this is something that I've noticed. There have been a lot of stories that have broken over the past week or two that cast White House counsel Don McGahn as the superhero who is saving the republic. This is one of those stories where Don McGahn, White House counsel, is the only man standing between America and the abyss.

Here's how it plays in this story night. Quote: "After receiving the order to fire Robert Mueller, the White House counsel Don McGahn refused." He refused to ask the Justice Department to dismiss the special counsel, saying that he would quit instead.
In the hands of a serious person, this might have led to the question Marshall later asked: Is it possible that Haberman and Schmidt got played by Don McGahn's lawyers?

Maddow isn't that person! She quickly reverted to high praise for the New York Times "blockbuster" report. ("This is amazing stuff.") Soon, she was interviewing Schmidt—he's an NBC/MSNBC contributor—and praising him for "an incredible scoop tonight. Thank you so much, Michael. Congratulations on this scoop."

Was the report a scoop or a con? We have no way of knowing. We will say this:

Yesterday morning, another bombshell report appeared on the front page of the New York Times. The lead reporter was the horrific Jo Becker, of Uranium One infamy and shame.

This new report, about Hope Hicks, was also wonderfully pleasing. Tomorrow, we'll note the ways this new report, not unlike last week's report, has the slight stink of a con, even as it became the day's "most-read article" at the glorious Times.

Question:

Can you believe the things you read, or think you've read, on the front page of the Times? If you plan to be a child forever, the answer is pleasingly yes.

Tomorrow: The latest from the horrific Jo Becker of Uranium One "bombshell" fame

BREAKING: Amanda Hess gets it right!

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 1, 2018

In the New York Times, no less:
We were nauseated by the Streep-Hanks "blathering tour" concerning Harvery Weinstein. Basically, Hanks would mug and defer while Streep would change the subject, offering watery bromides.

Interviewers would gaze away. These are industry rules.

For these reasons, we were gratified by Amanda Hess' essay in Sunday's New York Times. It topped page one of Arts & Leisure. We strongly recommend it.

Coming next week: "Fish and frogmarch," a record-shattering, award-winning homage to the shape of film

BREAKING: Selling Hope Hicks and other excitements!

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 1, 2018

What "human beings" are like:
Last night, Lawrence spotted the latest bombshell. We refer to the alleged BREAKING NEWS which appears in this New York Times front-page report.

(The lead writer on that report is Jo Becker. Horrifically, Becker was the lead reporter on the Times' 4400-word pseudo-report in 2015 concerning the Uranium One deal and Hillary Clinton's vast appalling treasonous and evil misconduct.)

That latest front-page report strikes us as rather flimsy. We expect to discuss its contents tomorrow. For today, let's discuss the way it was peddled last night.

The Times report concerns Hope Hicks, a 29-year-old former model who strongly resembles a 29-year-old former model. If you watched Lawrence burn last night's hour away discussing this latest front-page report, you might have noticed an obvious point:

On "cable news," they love love love love love love love to show you their photos of Hicks. MSNBC has about a dozen smokin' hot photos of Hicks. They rotated their smokin' hot photos all through the program last night.

They love to air their photos of Hicks! Put a slightly different way, they love to sell youngish female flesh. This type of peddling is quite widespread on "cable news"—and no, we don't mean just on Fox. If you haven't noticed this fact, there may be more you don't notice.

Let's skip from there to this morning's column by the late Gail Collins. Despite her retirement, which occurred years ago, Collins still writes several columns per week. Today, she wanted to write a column about Donald J. Trump having sex.

More specifically, she wanted to write about Stormy Daniels while pretending she wasn't. Meanwhile, her editor wanted to run a photo of Daniels with her bosoms hanging out.

On line, as you can see, that's what her editor did. In a way that's more and more blindingly obvious, this is who and what the Times, and its readership, actually is.

Collins spent the first half of her column talking about Donald J. Trump having sex, offering periodic gibes about the fact that she was doing so. At that point, she finally pretended to discuss an actual topic. This is the way upper-end members of our laughable species actually want to behave.

Across the page, Nicholas Kristof was engaged in his usual high-minded moral musing. To accomplish this task, he found the craziest (marginal) candidate in the country and began discussing this person's various crazy statements..

Soon, this led him to muse about Donald J. Trump. At that point, he just couldn't help himself. He decided to spend some time poking the gentleman's wife:
KRISTOF (2/1/18): Sykes doesn’t seem to acknowledge the personal wreckage of his idol, our president, a serial adulterer who appears to have cheated on his three wives. Sykes is not alone in his myopia there: A new Quinnipiac poll finds that 72 percent of Republicans consider Trump a good role model for children.

(It’s tough to know whether Betrayed Wife No. 3 agrees; she wore to her hubby’s State of the Union address a white pantsuit of the kind that Clinton made a symbol of feminism.)
Sad. But what do they really want to discuss? They want to talk about clothing and haircuts. They want to talk about people having sex. They want to poke and prod the wives of politicians of whom they disapprove.

This is what they're actually like.

This is what they're actually like inside the flaps of our own liberal tents. Just so you'll know, people are dead all over the Middle East because they did this for two years to Candidate Gore, who, they said, among so many things, had "hired a woman to teach him how to be a man."

Last night, Our Darling Rachel closed her show with another of her appalling performance segments designed to make us adore her more fully. We liberals simply aren't bright enough to see through this ridiculous person's growing dementia. Worse, we seem to like her mugging and clowning, along with her bottomless self-involvement.
.
Our nation is sinking into the sea. These are some of the ways our liberal tribe has enabled this rather obvious process.

The Times does this much more than the Post. By law, though, you can't be told.

Credit where due: There was no mention today of Seamus the Irish setter. For many years, these have been the sorts of things these consummate upper-class overpaid burnouts actually want to discuss.

BOMBSHELLS AWAY: Did Donald J. Trump try to fire Mueller?

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 1, 2018

Part 4—The best-selling author's tale:
Long ago and far away—in June of last year, to be exact—did Donald J. Trump, the American president, try to fire Bob Mueller?

We're not sure how to answer your question. For the record, the New York Times explicitly made that claim in a recent front-page report.

Despite its fuzzy, air-filled prose, the report was deemed a bombshell. With respect to Trump's alleged attempt, here's what the Times report said:
SCHMIDT AND HABERMAN (1/26/18): President Trump ordered the firing last June of Robert S. Mueller III, the special counsel overseeing the Russia investigation, according to four people told of the matter, but ultimately backed down after the White House counsel threatened to resign rather than carry out the directive.

The West Wing confrontation marks the first time Mr. Trump is known to have tried to fire the special counsel.

[...]

After receiving the president’s order to fire Mr. Mueller, the White House counsel, Donald F. McGahn II, refused to ask the Justice Department to dismiss the special counsel, saying he would quit instead, the people said. They spoke on the condition of anonymity because they did not want to be identified discussing a continuing investigation.

Mr. McGahn disagreed with the president’s case and told senior White House officials that firing Mr. Mueller would have a catastrophic effect on Mr. Trump’s presidency. Mr. McGahn also told White House officials that Mr. Trump would not follow through on the dismissal on his own. The president then backed off.
The bombshell report explicitly says that Trump tried to fire Mueller. Indeed, on two ccasions, it explicitly says that Donald J. Trump "ordered" the firing.

It also says that McGahn refused to act on Trump's request. It seems to say that Trump "backed down" and "backed off" in the face of this refusal, though that claim is somewhat less explicit. (It's explicit about the chronology, less so about the cause.)

That's what the bombshell report explicitly says. Here are some the things the bombshell doesn't report or explain:

Did McGahn ever state his refusal directly to Donald J. Trump? Did anyone ever tell Donald J. Trump that McGahn was refusing to act?

Did Donald J. Trump come to know at some time that McGahn was refusing to act? Also, in what sense can Trump be said to have "backed down?" Did someone tell him his order was a bad idea, in the face of which he "backed off?"

In truth, Schmidt and Haberman authored the latest of their patented air-filled reports. The report seems to tell an exciting tale, unless you read it with care.

Two days later, the Washington Post explicitly reported that McGahn didn't directly state his refusal to Donald J. Trump. Did anyone ever confront Donald J. Trump? The Post report didn't say.

The Times report was full of air, but it was deemed a bombshell. It seemed to tell an exciting tale—a dramatic tale which aligned with preferred narratives on CNN and MSNBC, the two cable channels on which its brilliance was instantly hailed.

In part for that reason, excitable pundits on those channels were soon describing the piece as a bombshell. Instead of questioning Schmidt and Haberman about the fuzzy parts of their report, colleagues at the two cable channels praised them for their brilliance.

(Haberman is an employee of CNN, Schmidt of NBC/MSNBC. This may help explain the lazy analytical work of their corporate colleagues, though such work is admittedly typical.)

Let's return to our original question: Did Donald J. Trump "try to fire Bob Mueller?"

We're not sure how to answer that question. We do feel inclined to venture this thought: If he tried to fire Mueller, he may not have tried very hard.

Did someone tell Donald J. Trump that McGahn was unwilling to proceed? If so, Trump could have proceeded on his own. He could have made the requisite phone calls to the Justice Department.

The bombshell report seems to say that Trump took no such action. Schmidt and Haberman describe this as "backing down." But last Friday night, a best-selling author offered a different idea.

The man in question is Michael Wolff, author of Fire and Fury: Inside the Trump White House, the somewhat slippery bombshell best-selling of just a few weeks ago. Here's how the action went down:

All over cable, everyone was saying that Schmidt and Haberman had delivered a bombshell report. But uh-oh! Last Friday night, Wolff appeared with Lawrence on The Last Word. He suggested a possible alternate account of what may have occurred.

Uh-oh! Without exactly saying as much, Schmidt and Haberman suggested that a dramatic "confrontation" had occurred. And how cool! In the face of this confrontation, Donald J. Trump had "backed down!"

Not long before, Wolff had been hailed as the undisputed oracle of All Things Inside the Trump White House. Now, Lawrence wanted him to share oracular musings about the alleged attempt to fire Mueller. To watch the whole segment, click here.

Lawrence read a passage from Wolff's bombshell book. This was the cable star's reading:
O'DONNELL (1/26/18): I want to go to a passage about Don McGahn that's in your book because, I have to the say, for readers of this book, the detail that the president specifically ordered the firing is just one more little piece that fits into this story completely. And the characters behave in the way we understand them from your book.

Here is a reference to Don McGahn at page 212 of your book:

"McGahn tried to explain that, in fact, Comey himself was not running the Russia investigation, that without Comey the investigation would proceed anyway. McGahn, the lawyer whose job was necessarily to issue cautions, was a frequent target of Trump rages.

"Typically, these would begin as a kind of exaggeration or acting and then devolve into the real thing: uncontrollable, vein-popping, ugly face tantrum stuff.
It got primal. Now, the president's denunciations focused in a vicious fury on McGahn and his cautions about Comey."

And that's just Comey. So we can presume that something similar to that went on with Mueller, with the attempt to fire Mueller.
Lawrence assumed that there had actually been an "attempt to fire Mueller." He pictured a furious, vein-popping confronted with McGahn.

That's where Lawrence wsnted to go. Cuffing the bombshell report to the curb, Wolff had a better idea:
WOLFF (continuing directly): Let me give a slightly different context than the New York Times gives. The New York Times makes it sound like Trump thought about this, sat down, determined that this was—that he should fire—that he should fire Mueller, that he should act on this, and then told McGahn to carry this out.

And that's not untrue, but the difference is he does this constantly. Every day, the president is saying he's going to fire somebody. Anybody who he feels is—has annoyed him, irritated him, gotten in his way, disagreed with him is going to be fired.

The firing of Mueller was talked about by Trump, especially in this June, July period, before his legal team really got in and took over. This became an obsession with the president. He had to get rid of Mueller.

Now, but an obsession with this president becomes—instead of an order, it becomes kind of like wallpaper. It just goes on and on and on. He repeats and repeats and repeats.

And is it serious? Is it just him spouting off? Ultimately, that's what the special prosecutor will have to decide. And it's a key, key thing because the special prosecutor has to prove intent.

If he's just a crazy person—which, in part, he is—it's going to be very hard to prove intent. So was there a moment in which he directed this to happen? Well, actually, yes, but there were hundreds of moments in which he does that and in which everybody sort of deflects.

And, equally, you know, the Times has McGahn threatening to quit. McGahn has probably threatened to quit a hundred times.

I mean, actually, what they say in—even now, McGahn would like to get out of there. They just can't find somebody else to replace him, so they have to come and essentially, each time, beg him to stay.
Oof! According to Wolff, Trump angrily orders somebody fired every day of the week! It gets to be like wallpaper! Everyone knows that they should ignore this "crazy person's" rantings.

That was a very different picture compared to the one the Times drew. When Lawrence ventured a follow-up, Wolff continued along in that vein:
O'DONNELL (continuing directly): You have Bannon in here saying—quoting him now and attributing it to him. It is not one of the unacknowledged quotes here. It says—Bannon is saying to you, if he fires Mueller, it just brings the impeachment quicker.

Was that the widespread view in the White House?

WOLFF: Completely. I mean, everybody believed firing Mueller would be suicidal. And everybody had to deal with this every day because it was always "Fire Mueller, we got to fire Mueller, how can we fire Mueller, get rid of this guy."

And again, this was kind of regarded as something less than real. It was just the stuff that comes out of the president's mouth uncontrollably
and often meaninglessly.
The bombspeople at the New York Times had told an air-filled but pleasing story. They pictured Trump as a girly-man, wimpily backing down from a confrontation with a principled aide. Two days later, the Post reported that the principled aide never confronted Trump.

Wolff pictured something different. He said Trump is, in part, a "crazy person" who orders such firings every day. He said that people like McGahn all agree to disregard the crazy man's crazy orders.

Pathetic wimp or crazy person? Is there any reason to put our faith in one picture versus the other? By Sunday, Josh Marshall was expressing doubt about what he thought he had read in the Times. He also posed a question that others had asked:

Is it possible that Don McGahn's lawyers had toyed with Haberman/Schmidt?

Tomorrow: Is the Times getting played?