FRIDAY, AUGUST 14, 2026
But here's what this one poll says: As with any poll, it's just one poll. Still, here's what this new poll has said:
...New Fox News Poll Sounds Alarm Bells In Michigan For Democrats
A new set of Fox News polls set of alarm bells for Democrats in Michigan’s key Senate race this week, while also highlighting how Republicans could lose their majority in the chamber.
“Tonight we have the first look at new Fox polling. The battle for Senate control in the midterms is leading to nationwide attention on really only a handful of races across the country that could decide the balance of power next year. Of course, Fox’s Alexis McAdams is in New York with a look at the new numbers. Good evening, Alexis,” began Fox’s chief political anchor Bret Baier on Thursday night.
“Bret, good evening. So, according to a brand new Fox News poll, Republicans have a slight edge in Michigan, in one of the most expensive and competitive Senate races in the country. So tonight, Republican Mike Rogers has 51 percent of the vote, and far-left Democrat Abdul El-Sayed has 47 percent. So Rogers has a four-point edge, which is still within the poll’s margin of error among Michigan’s registered voters,” McAdams reported.
Oof! That four-point lead for Candidate Rogers suggests only "a slight edge," McAdams politely (and correctly) reported. Still, Democrats pretty much need to win that seat—and this morning, we ourselves said this:
"[Candidate El-Sayed] delivered a prickly response to the president's ugly insults. Assuming he wants to win in November, that struck us as possibly the wrong way to go, though of course there's no way to be certain."
We Blues! Why would a prickly response possibly be the wrong way to go? The wrong way to go if you're trying to win the seat, that is?
You're asking an excellent question—though for now, we must hurry off, with McAdams noting El-Sayed's prickly suggestion that he and Rogers should stage "a tackle football showdown."
Every poll is only one poll, but we aren't thrilled with that one poll. That said, Candidate Brown is ahead by eight points in Ohio, McAdams also says.
(Fox News polls have largely been respectable polls, down through the many long years.)
Poor Abdulrahman.
ReplyDeletePoor, poor Maotroll.
DeleteSee, when the president calls you a piece of shit, you’re not supposed to be “prickly” in return. You’re supposed to thank him for his kind words, convene a panel of carefully chosen mental health experts to weigh in on Trump‘s mental state, assume Trump is mentally ill, pity him, and then and only then call him a piece of shit, but you have to phrase it like “regrettably I hate to have to say it, but Donald Trump is possibly a piece of shit.”
ReplyDeleteMaybe you should rise above it all, like Gore. That was successful.
It’s important for Somerby to disapprove of the “prickly” el-sayed, since that tracks with Republican attacks on him.
ReplyDeleteI can’t recall, but it seems like the gop thought Obama winning the democratic nomination was a godsend for them : politically relatively inexperienced, black, Muslim seeming, etc. How did that work out for them?
ReplyDeleteDonald Duck would have won for the Dems in 2008. They were running against the two-term incumbent party, and the economy was in complete meltdown. Nobody thought Obama was a godsend except the press corps, which looked forward to endless drama about the first Black president, which they got, and are still getting.
DeleteDon’t forget Katrina.
DeleteIs Roger’s current lead because el-sayed is prickly?
ReplyDeleteof course not
DeleteWe need to win all the seats we can, not just this one.
DeleteThe El-Sayed part is 100-1 more important than the "prickly." As you watch this race unfold, realize that the dynamics you observe are EXACTLY why we, as a country, can't have nice things.
Delete“ polling in Senate races generally changes significantly after the primaries”
ReplyDelete— AI
"Changes can happen in either direction."
Delete--Random internet dude
I’ll be remembering this column the Wednesday after election day come November. Democratic landslide in Michigan on election day
ReplyDeleteSomerby's pretense that El-Sayed has been doing something wrong by defending himself from Trump's attacks is annoying. I have decided to donate to El-Sayed's campaign on every day that Somerby says something negative about him, beginning with today,.
ReplyDeleteSomerby is a bit dishonest by reporting only the info that El-Sayed is 4 pts behind Rogers. It is also not true that the Piker attacks have affected his lead. The models show him the same amount behind Rogers for several weeks now, after being ahead for a few continuous months before that.
ReplyDeleteEl-Sayed sees money as the key to winning, because the Republicans have poured $51 million into the primary race and are spending huge amounts to save the seat. El-Sayed has been refusing AIPAC and corporate PAC funding, in keeping with the progressive platform. Hong similarly was grassroots funded.
The idealism of not accepting tainted funding puts a limit on Democratic candidates that does not exist for Republicans. They have huge amounts of billionaire, corporate and PAC money. The left sees that as corruption of our political process. It remains to be seen whether voters agree.
Nate Silver said this at 10:06 this morning (on X):
"Today's model update. El-Sayed would be an underdog in an election held today and is an underdog in our "Lite" (polls-only) version. The fancy versions look at the fundamentals and are more convinced he'll come back."
The lite version draws only on NY Times polling.
Somerby cited the Fox News polling.
Delete