Comic relief: How Reince Priebus explained Trump's landslide!

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2016

Why you don't hear "one county, one vote:"
In a front-page report in yesterday's Washington Post, Miller and Entous addressed some of the points about Russian hacking we ourselves raised on Monday.

They noted the confusion which has arisen from inconsistent use of the term "hacked." Beyond that, they added a fourth possibility to the three we'd listed:
MILLER AND ENTOUS (12/13/16): U.S. intelligence officials said that the Russian government appears to have succeeded in penetrating computer systems associated with both parties but "prioritized" Democratic institutions in a campaign that culminated with the posting of thousands of sensitive emails on the WikiLeaks website.

The CIA briefed the administration that it thinks the Russians "breached" the RNC systems, according to a senior U.S. official, who like others spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the issue. "Obviously there haven't been the same sort of leaks and pilfered documents spread about from this intrusion as there were from the various DNC and related incursions."

Other officials familiar with the CIA's assessment said there is "high confidence" that the RNC was targeted but less certainty that the Russians got inside the committee and stole material.

The explanation for the lack of damaging Republican leaks remains a source of debate across the U.S. intelligence community, but officials think it may reflect in part an allocation of resources and effort by Russian-backed actors who have been tied to the hacking campaign.
Why didn't the Russians release Republican materials? We don't know, but we'll call this "Possibility 4:"
Possibility 4: The Russians may have targeted both major parties. But they may have directed more attention at the Dems.
Whatever! Of one thing we can be certain. Tremendous efforts will be made to create confusion about these matters. Absent skillful work by journalists, these efforts will succeed.

Our journalists are rarely excessively skillful. On Sunday, Reince Priebus ran circles around Chuck Todd on Meet the Press. At one point, he seemed unwilling to affirm any Russian involvement at all. In all the confusion, he even seemed to suggest that the intelligence community hadn't made any such formal statement.

Todd failed to note the October 7 statement in which the intelligence community formally said the Russians were the agents. In the course of all the confusion, Todd seemed to support Priebus' suggestion that no one except anonymous sources has made any such claim.

On Monday night, Brian Williams got waylaid in an even more ridiculous fashion by neocon kingpin James Woolsey.

For unknown reasons, Williams featured Woolsey as a guest on his MSNBC program, The Eleventh Hour. With considerable vigor, Woolsey devoted himself to denying that the Russians interfered with American voting systems—an allegation no one has made.

Williams seemed to have no idea that Woolsey was attacking a straw man; either that, or the handsome anchor simply didn't want to challenge his high-ranking guest. Whatever! Woolsey created tremendous confusion during his solo interview segment. Williams showed no sign of understanding how far afield he'd been taken by his guest.

Priebus was gifted this Sunday by Todd's apparent lack of preparation. That said, Priebus is a determined dissembler. For a bit of comic relief, let's recall the way he tried to support the ridiculous claim that Candidate Trump won a massive "landslide" last month.

Priebus released his ridiculous statement on November 25—exactly one month before Christmas. Here's part of what he said:
PRIEBUS (11/25/16): Nearly three weeks after the presidential election, the numbers showing President-elect Donald J. Trump's commanding victory are coming more fully into focus. He won 306 electoral votes, the most for a Republican since George H. W. Bush in 1988. He carried 9 of 13 battleground states. Millions of Americans rallied behind his message of rebuilding our country and disrupting the status quo. This was a truly national victory.

Here are some other stats on the scope of his win:

I. A groundswell of popular support:

President-elect Donald J. Trump won over 2,600 counties nationwide,
the most since President Reagan in 1984. Additionally, he won over 62 million votes in the popular vote, the highest all-time for a Republican nominee. Voters everywhere wanted Donald J. Trump as their president.
The foolishness continued from there. Let's consider the highlighted statement, which got a fair amount of play over the next few weeks.

Did Donald J. Trump really win 2600 counties? Yes, he pretty much did, though that doesn't necessarily indicate "a groundswell of popular support."

You see, not all counties are created equal. Here's a list of the nation's six largest:
Population of six American counties
Los Angeles County (Calif.): 9.8 million
Cook County (Ill.): 5.2 million
Harris County (Texas): 4.1 million
Maricopa County (Ariz.): 3.8 million
San Diego County (Calif.): 3.1 million
Orange County (Calif.): 3.0 million
Those are the nation's six largest counties. By way of contrast, here are the population figures for six other counties:
Population of six other American counties
Blaine County (Neb.): 478
Arthur County (Neb.): 460
Kennedy County (Texas): 416
King County (Texas): 286
Kalawao County (Haw.): 90
Loving County (Texas): 82
For the record, we may be overstating the size of some counties. Those figures all come from the 2010 census. By 2012, Loving County's population had dropped to 67.

Not all counties are created equal! There's a good reason why you've never heard the battle cry, "One county, one vote!"

We live in a time when there's nothing so silly, so bogus or so stupid that people like Priebus won't say it. On Sunday, he took Todd to the cleaners concerning Russian involvement in hacking.

One night later, there was Woolsey, eating Williams alive.

For figure filberts only: According to the leading authority on county size, fourteen U.S. counties top two million in population.

Thirty-five counties have a population under one thousand. Just over 700 counties check in at less than 10,000.

There's nothing a player like Priebus won't say. He'll often say it to a TV star, which means he'll live to make another ridiculous statement on some other day.

22 comments:

  1. Unless he's just trying to say the RNC has better firewalls and nerdier techs than its counterpart, Mr. Priebus' feiry insistence that it wasn't hacked lends credence to the assertion that the Ruskies were trying to help the Rs by hurting the Ds. Does he understand that?

    And God bless Turner Classic Movies everyone. Soon they'll devoting an entire evening to Nuclear Holocaust films from the Cold War Era. Maybe among themselves the programmers are calling it John Bolton Night.

    In recent weeks they ran "Dr. Strangelove..." and it inspired me to hope some magazine will take the opportunity to Photoshop Energy Secretary-designate Rick Perry riding an H-bomb down to Ground Zero Slim Pickins-style. YEE HAW!!!

    Despite their unmistakably liberal bent, the TCM programmers are guilty of some curious omissions, however. While Christmas day will present a lineup of Preston Sturges classics, the touching "Christmas in July" will not be among them. And while they're favoring us with just about every other Christmas movie imaginable, including a version of Scrooge I'd never even heard of, they won't be running perhaps the best Christmas movie of all: "Miracle on 34th Street."

    But keep watching TCM to see how its lineup can often amount to sly commentary on these changing times. Maybe they'll be running a new one called "Miracle on 5th Avenue."

    ReplyDelete
  2. Amen, Bob:

    We live in a time when there's nothing so silly, so bogus or so stupid that people like Priebus won't say it. On Sunday, he took Todd to the cleaners concerning Russian involvement in hacking.

    One night later, there was Woolsey, eating Williams alive.

    ReplyDelete
  3. As a statistics professional, I am sadly resolved that for most people, statistics are not techniques to understand reality. They're techniques to be abused in order to make whatever point one wants to make. Kudos to Bob for not accepting Priebus's deceptive county count.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If someone is willing to lie, why should statistics be exempt?

      Why do you assume that "most people" are like Reince Priebus? Do you think it excuses him when you blame "statistics"? There is nothing inherently deceptive about statistics, any more than there is something inherently deceptive about words.

      It may be that it is easier to deceive people using statistics because so few people have training in their use and because so many people are math-phobic and don't understand much about numbers in general.

      Delete
    2. There's an old saying, perhaps a cliché by now: "there are 3 kinds of lies: lies; damned lies; and statistics."

      Delete
  4. David, are you sadly resolved or sadly resigned?

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  6. Sounds like rural counties need the electoral college in state elections so their votes will have greater weight within states too. Why not--its the American way? After all, The Founders were geniuses who shat marble, right?

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    ReplyDelete
  18. How to get your Ex Boyfriend back after a breakup, I’m extremely happy that me and my ex-boyfriend are living together again.
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    ReplyDelete
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    ReplyDelete
  20. Hey!I was in a relationship for quite along time almost 7 years, he cheated with a girl almost 11 years younger than him I took him back because I love him so much. He promised me the world never to leave me never to let me go to make me happy and to make it up to me everyday. 7 weeks later he has broke up with me after a few arguments .. he told me he can’t do it that I’ve ruined everything I deserve it all I’ve treated him bad he gave up his job overseas but he only gave it a week afrer he quit. he has left me in bits and is 1 week later out with other girls please help I don’t know what to do he is telling me he will never ever get back its over and he will never give it a go I have begged and I don’t know why I don’t no why he has done this to me I feel so lifeless… one day in my office going through the internet i saw a post of a lady giving testimony on how she got her husband back,i also come across a blog site on how to reunite and get your ex back with a love spell it was really amazing to see this so i copy his email id on http://happyspelltemple.webs.com/ i explain my situation to him and gave him all the details he requested from me, he give me 3 days assurance that my boyfriend will come back after the spell i was so overwal to hear that so i just keep calm and follow up his order coz i really love my boyfriend and want him back. on the third day after the spell as he promise me, my ex call me also show up in my office begging me to forgive him and accept him back with out no delay, i lift him up with a kiss and was so very happy to have him back all my happiness was from Dr happy he is indeed a true man a father and a god sent. plz contact Dr happy on his email id direct at happylovespell2@gmail.com or call his mobile number on +2348133873774

    ReplyDelete