THE RATIONAL ANIMAL'S SYSTEMS: Political systems fall apart!

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 17, 2020

In search of what Credico thought:
Just think how different the landscape would be if our (ridiculous) presidential primary system had been ridiculous in a different way in this particular year.

Within our current (ridiculous) system, the caucus/primary nomination system starts in Iowa, then moves on to New Hampshire. After that, it's on to Nevada. South Carolina comes next.

Imagine a different system this year. In this different (ridiculous) system, South Carolina would have gone first.

What would have happened had South Carolina gone first? Let's make a sensible guess:

Almost surely, Candidate Biden would have racked up a win, possibly by a strong margin. Inevitably, the nation's pundits would then have staged one of their standard stampedes, hailing the way the candidate had enhanced his pre-existing front-runner status.

As the children staged this stampede, polling results in Nevada, Iowa and New Hampshire would perhaps have started to change in Uncle Hoe's direction. Biden's numbers in those states would have improved, further fueling the pundit stampede.

Almost surely, this is what would have happened if our (ridiculous) nomination system had been ridiculous in a different way this year. None of this would have made any sense—and yet, this is us.

Our primary system makes little sense. The same is true of other leading political systems which have started to fail.

Over the course of our last five elections, our electoral college system has sent two candidates to the White House who lost the popular vote. There's little sign that this emerging pattern is necessarily going to change. It may already be "the new abnormal."

Other systems are failing to hold at this point in time. Our system of "Senate math" is becoming increasingly ludicrous, giving the smallest, least populous states an inordinate amount of power. Here's Gerald Seib in the Wall Street Journal, just a few years back:
SEIB (11/21/17): David Birdsell, dean of the school of public and international affairs at Baruch College, notes that by 2040, about 70% of Americans are expected to live in the 15 largest states. They will have only 30 senators representing them, while the remaining 30% of Americans will have 70 senators representing them.
Thirty percent of the nation's people will hold 70 percent of the Senate's seats. So that system keep trending.

As for our two-party system, that system is failing in a somewhat comical way, with each party struggling to nominate presidential candidates who belong to the party in question!

There's a comical element to these breakdowns, but they suggest that our political system may be coming apart. That said, the largest ongoing breakdown may involve the system by which we the people receive information, advice and guidance from the press corps and the academy.

Everyone knows what the press would have done had South Carolina gone first with Joe Biden scoring a win. They would have staged one of the famous stampedes. They do such things every four years.

That said, does any system lie in shambles the way our information system does? In the past few days, we found ourselves asking this question again and again and again.

We think of what we saw last Friday night, as Rachel and Tucker each told millions of viewers that we're living in a banana republic, with their own tribe getting the shaft as the breakdown continues.

We'd had the same reaction that morning when we read the latest column by the Washington Post's Monica Hesse. The essay is a parody of political analysis, but it's standard fare at the Post.

Perhaps most strikingly, we were struck by the journalistic breakdown when we read Michelle Goldberg's most recent column in the New York Times.

The column appeared in yesterday's Sunday Review. It concerned the kind of question which can now divide our warring political tribes. The question at issue was this:
Should Roger Stone be sentenced to 7-9 years in prison, as the Justice Department originally recommended? Or should his sentence be only 3-4 years, as Justice is now recommending?
In our view, Stone has resembled a crackpot throughout his adult life. On the other hand, viewers of Carlson's Friday night program were told that Stone is currently the victim of "a two-tiered justice system."

We'll review what Carlson's viewers were told as the week proceeds. Yesterday, Goldberg considered this matter. Here's how her column began:
GOLDBERG (2/16/20): Randy Credico is the witness from Robert Mueller’s investigation whom Roger Stone, Donald Trump’s longtime adviser, has been convicted of threatening. A few months ago, Credico texted me, “If Stone goes to jail I’m a walking dead man.” On Thursday, after the president’s intervention to get Stone a lighter sentence convulsed the Justice Department, I spoke to Credico, a left-wing comedian and activist, and he elaborated on what he’d meant. “The guy goes to prison and I’m to blame, and you’re being called a rat, you’re worried about somebody with a red hat, a MAGA hat, doing a Jack Ruby on you,” he said.

His fear has national implications, because a central question in the Stone sentencing is whether Credico truly felt endangered when Stone promised to cause him harm. Despite what the administration’s defenders say, the answer is yes.
For the record, we once knew Randy a tiny tad too. Back in the 1980s, we hired him to perform at Baltimore's award-winning Charm City Comedy Club.

Did Randy "truly feel endangered when Stone promised to cause him harm?" Goldberg assured her readers that the answer is yes. We were struck by the frustrating way she tried to establish this point.

Goldberg is a very high-ranking journalistic thought leader. Watching Tucker and Rachel, and reading Hesse, we were truck, as we often are, by the way our information/opinion systems are falling apart.

The woods are lovely, dark and deep, but our intellectual skills are quite slight. We have a much stronged drive toward tribal belief. We'll examine this system all week.

Tomorrow: Listening to Tucker and Rachel

Also this: Did Goldberg start with a factual error? We tried to fact-check the point yesterday, but we still aren't sure.

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  3. “Should Roger Stone be sentenced to 7-9 years in prison, as the Justice Department originally recommended? Or should his sentence be only 3-4 years, as Justice is now recommending?”

    First of all, DOJ did not make a specific recommendation in their new sentencing memo. Somerby is wrong, and there is no such number (3-4 years) in Goldberg’s column. DOJ said something “far less” than the original number would be “reasonable.” It remains, as before, at the discretion of the judge. (The same judge that Roger Stone threatened, by the way).

    At any rate, when Somerby reduces the issue at hand to what he implies is a ludicrous non-distinction, a petty squabble over a prison sentence recommendation, ie
    “the kind of question which can now divide our warring political tribes”, he continues doing his damnedest to convince either himself or his readers that the present dispute is all a ridiculous and petty political game.

    Far from it. He, as usual, ignores all of the context in which this decision occurred. He ignores the withdrawals of 4 prosecutors from the case, and the recent list of over 1100 former DOJ officials from both sides of the aisle calling for Barr to resign. It would seem, to a sane individual, that these events are prompted by something a bit more worrisome than simple partisan games.

    ReplyDelete
  4. “We'll review what Carlson's viewers were told as the week proceeds.”

    This is what results when clicking the link:

    Access Denied
    You don't have permission to access "http://www.foxnews.com/transcript/adam-carolla-comedians-will-bring-pendulum-back-from-being-overly-politically-correct" on this server.
    Reference #18.6f071060.1581960847.a8cd92a

    It is to be hoped that Somerby will do more than simply “review” Carlson’s program. It deserves critique, at least as much as Maddow’s. It is especially to be hoped that Somerby will comment on the cognitive dissonance and unintended irony of Carlson claiming that Stone is the victim, and not beneficiary, of "a two-tiered justice system."

    ReplyDelete
  5. “Back in the 1980s, we hired him to perform at Baltimore's award-winning Charm City Comedy Club.”

    This was during the time that “liberal” Bob Somerby was truly focused on the poor, and their education.

    ReplyDelete
  6. For the record: In 2020, 51% of Americans live in the 9 largest states. They have just 18 senators representing them, while the remaining 49% of Americans have 82 senators representing them.

    ReplyDelete
  7. "In the past few days, we found ourselves asking this question again and again and again."

    Poor Bob.

    Hmm. Zombie grievances structured as a stream of consciousness. Not bad, but I've seen it before.

    ReplyDelete
  8. It doesn't matter whether Credico felt threatened or not, what Stone said was clearly a threat.

    It doesn't matter what the Justice Department recommended as a sentence for Stone, the judge will decide his sentence.

    These kinds of questions are red herrings.

    ReplyDelete
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  20. I have used spell casting to get my ex wife back to me and also she got pregnant with twins through the help of a great and trusted spell caster. When I came online last year, I met a testimony about Prophet Abulele who has been helping people and I decided to contact him. We spoke on email at prophetabulelehealingtemple@gmail.com and he said he would also help me get DIANA back in three days after 3 years of no contact and also he told me he send me some herbs to make her get pregnant for me. You know when your spouse leaves you; you feel your whole world start crumbling down. There is nothing that seems right anymore. When I met Prophet Abulele, he is the best spell caster I must say. My wife called me after 3days and when I received herbal medicine for fertility, she became fertile. I and my wife reconnected, had sex and she became pregnant. I am happy today to be the father of twin’s girls and this is ALL THANKS TO Prophet Abulele. If you need help, you are saved with this spell caster, contact his email at prophetabulelehealingtemple@gmail.com or directly on whats App him +2349022406159 and you too will give a testimony too to help others.

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  21. I Want To Appreciate Dr.OYAGU for hs great deeds, I Was Diagnosed With type 2 Herpes Virus Last year,And Was Looking For Solution To Be Cured Luckily I Saw Testimonies On How Dr.OYAGU Cure Herpes Virus I Decided To Contact Dr.OYAGU I Contacted Him He Prepared A Herbal Medicine Portion And Sent It To Me,I Started The Herbal Medicine For My Health.He Gave Me Step By Step Instructions On How To Apply It, When I Applied It As Instructed, I Was Cured Of This Deadly Herpes Within 2 weeks, I Am Now Herpes Negative.My Brother And Sister I No That There Are So Many People That Have There Same Herpes Virus Please contact Dr OYAGU To Help You Too,And Help Me To Thank Dr.OYAGU For Cure Me, I’m Cured By Dr. OYAGU Herbal Medicine,His Contact Email:oyaguherbalhome@gmail.com

    Or Cell Whatsapp Number +2348101755322 thank you

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  22. Getting pregnant is not as difficult as we all think, i wasn't able to have my own baby for over the years i was married, i got so depressed because i saw myself crashing everyday. i visited different doctors just known what the problem is and i got a result that i was having ovarian cysts and i will not be able to have a child again, it really got to me and i met a friend of mine whom i talked to about my problems and she introduced me to DR ORIANE. 
    I spoke with him and he encouraged me not to worry about anything that everything was gonna be fine , i doubted DR ORIANE at first but i decided to go with what i believed. I got his product and he directed me on how to use it. Today i can categorically say that i am a happy mother of two children and i have a good family now . MY story is not just like any other story, i went through a lot of hell and DR ORIANE made me smile again with his Herbs.
    I know there are a lot of women out there around the world seeking for solution to get pregnant and that is why i had to share this story of mine to you all. contact DR ORIANE for your infertility issues or Fibroid cure on droriane6@gmail.com or contact him via his business line on whats App +2349031652461, i hope this message gets to you all, Have a nice day  

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  23. Everyone wanted a relationship that lasts forever, you have to respect your husband, because your relationship will last forever, just as you want me to respect my husband so much that I follow his rules. But after many years of marriage, my husband came home from work and was very sad. I tried to talk to him to leave the house and he told me that you want a divorce. I was very frustrated and confused because I love my husband so much. when we have two children together, I don't know what to do by luck. I met a friend of mine who referred me to a kind and powerful man named Dr. Winner, who cast a love spell that took my husband home successfully. very grateful for the help of Dr. Winner Email him now Winnersspellcast@gmail.com or you can also whatsapp him +2348138289852 or view his website:https://winnersspellcast.blogspot.com in my family, all thanks to you for saving my marriage, my husband, now he loves me more than ever

    ReplyDelete
  24. How to have your husband back home with your kids again

    I'm a lady with 2 kids i am from Houston Texa, my husband leave me and his 2 kids for about 10 months i go through a lot of pain i do all i could to make him returned to me and to his kids but nothing works out. it was really a stressful period to me because i could dint go through the heartbreak. i was told to get a love spell doctor contacted to help me out which i did i was lucky to get DR.PEPOKO Contact who was able to help me out, he cast up a love spell that brought back my husband to me and to his kids thanks so much DR. PEPOKO I really appreciate what you have done for me. here he his contact if you may required for it by solving your relationship email. Pepokospiritemple@gmail.com call whatssap +2348156148821
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    ReplyDelete
  25. I have to say wholeheartedly I believe Oniha is a gifted individual and gentle in his second nature. I have received the most rewarding and spiritual experience whilst conversing with him on the telephone. I heard and saw an angel in my mind-eye it was so overwhelming. I knew at the moment finally my difficulties were over. He deserves recognition for his power and talents as a beautiful individual who brings spirit close to those in need. I have been touched deeply,nothing has come as close to me before. I am in total awe and have a great deal of respect. Thank you Dr Oniha for reuniting me with my estranged husband. Anyone who needs relationship help should contact this man and he will help you. 
    EMAIL: ONIHASPELLTEMPLE@GMAIL.COM
    WHATSAPP: +16692213962

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  26. Lottery spells that works immediately to win large sums of money at any lotto jackpot. Get the lottery winning numbers with the help of Dr winner
    Is a great thing to announce to the general public for I have been saved and redeemed by winning a power ball lottery with a spell and a winning number from via Email: Winnersspellcast@gmail.com or via his website:https://winnersspellcast.blogspot.com I heard he has helped lot of people until he helped me this month to win my first $500,000 from power ball. You too can try for your self today is just a spell and a winning number. His WhatsApp number +2348138289852. This just a beginning I will win  more,
    Good luck. visit website https://winnersspellcast.blogspot.com..

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  27. I just want to share my experience with the entire world on how i got my husband back and saved my marriage… I was married for 5 years with 2 kids and i have been living happily with my family until things started getting ugly with me and my husband that leads us to fights and arguments almost every time… it got worse at a point that my husband filed for divorce… I tried my best to make him change his mind & stay with me cause i loved him with all my heart and didn't want to loose my husband but everything just didn't work out… He moved out of the house and still went ahead to file for divorce… I pleaded and tried everything but still nothing worked. The breakthrough came when someone introduced me to this wonderful, great spell caster called Dr Oniha, Who eventually helped me out… I have never been a fan of things like this but just decided to try it because I was desperate and left with no choice… He did the spell for me and things really work out as he promise and my husband have a change of mind and come back home to stay with me and the kids. And promise never to hurt me again. we are living happily as it was with the help of Dr Oniha. If you are in need of help you can contact Dr Oniha.
    Email :onihaspelltemple@gmail. com
    Website: http://onihaspells.com
    Call/Whatsapp:+1669223962 

    ReplyDelete
  28. How I get my joy back into my life I want to thank Dr Akhere who help me get my ex lover back under 24hours max Dr Akhere is one of the best spell caster in the world and he is trustful and a man of humility and harmony he can also help you with whichever problem you are facing Email : Akheretemple@yahoo.com  or add him on Whats-app: +1(315)3161521...

    ReplyDelete
  29. My husband and I have been married for over 10 years. We met when I was 18 and he was 21. We’ve been through a lot emotionally together. There were several HUGE fights and painful situations in our marriage, but we always seemed to come out stronger on the other side. Out of the blue my husband just sprung the divorce talk on me, I was totally depressed until I found Dr.Todd website online and I ordered for a Love spell. You won’t believe my husband called me at the exact time this spell caster finished his spell work in 48hrs. I was totally amazed! He is wonderful and his spells work so fast. His Email: manifestspellcast@ gmail. com manifestspellcast.wordpress.com
    WhatsApp:+1 604 901 9747

    ReplyDelete
  30. My Bitcoin Investment  Experience. No doubt Bitcoin has been the trend of today and it's doing a lot in the world of business because people prefer saving  up money in their wallets rather than banks,   I lost about  $54,000 USD last summer due to the fall in the price of bitcoins. A colleague at work who knew my ordeal on bitcoin savings  introduced me to a platform  (cryptoforex345.com)  where I can save and invest my bitcoins with more than 100%  profit  margin.  At first I was skeptical about it so I decided to try it out with just  few dollars. I was amazed after 12 hours I earned an additional more dollars  and I was able to make an instant withdrawal and ever since I have been investing and making more money.  Bitcoin investment with cryptoforex345.com  has changed my life as I have made over $176,000 USD. You all can sign up and earn at:          
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  31. After being in relationship with him for seven years, he broke up with me, I did everything possible to bring him back but all was in vain, I wanted him back so much because of the love I have for him, I begged him with everything, I made promises but he refused. I explained my problem to someone online and she suggested that I should rather contact a spell caster DR ISIKOLO that could help me cast a spell to bring him back but I am the type that never believed in spell, I had no choice than to try it, I mailed the spell caster, and he told me there was no problem that everything will be okay before two days, that my ex will return to me before three days, he cast the spell and surprisingly in the second day, it was around 4pm. My ex called me, I was so surprised, I answered the call and all he said was that he was so sorry for everything that happened, that he wanted me to return to him, that he loves me so much. I was so happy and went to him, that was how we started living together happily again. Since then, I have made promise that anybody I know that have a relationship problem, I would be of help to such person by referring him or her to the only real and powerful spell caster who helped me with my own problem and who is different from all the fake ones out there. Anybody could need the help of the spell caster, his email: isikolosolutionhome@gmail.com or his WhatsApp/Viber him on: +2348133261196.

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