FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 10, 2023
The facts we ignore during war: If you have the time today, we'll suggest that you give it a try:
Stop a thousand people on the street. Ask them to explain the nature of the so-called "two-state solution."
(By the way, does "the State of Palestine" currently exist? You could even ask them that!)
It's a very familiar phrase, but what does the concept entail? We ask in part because of the way a certain news report begins in today's New York Times.
Principal headline included. Mark Landler's report starts like this:
Palestinian Authority Open to Gaza Role if U.S. Backs 2-State Solution
The Palestinian Authority has told the Biden administration that it is open to a governance role in post-Hamas Gaza if the United States commits to a full-fledged two-state solution to end the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, according to a top official of its parent, the Palestine Liberation Organization.
The official, Hussein al-Sheikh, the P.L.O.’s secretary general, said he had told Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken last week that the Palestinian Authority sought “a commitment from the U.S. administration, with a comprehensive political decision that would include the Gaza Strip, the West Bank and East Jerusalem.”
[...]
His message is both a relief and a challenge to the White House, which has been groping for a path out of the worst violence in decades between Israel and Hamas, the extremist group that controls Gaza...
According to Landler's report, the Palestinian Authority might play a role in post-Hamas Gaza if the U.S. commits to a two-state solution.
Check that! According to Landler's formulation, it would have to be a full-fledged two-state solution! You have our permission to interrogate your thousand respondents concerning that new turn of phrase.
How well do we, the people of North America, follow the tragic and deadly events which constitute this long-running human disaster? Perhaps unfairly, consider this:
In this morning's print editions, Vanessa Friedman's report about the Trump family's wardrobes sits on page A1—on the front page—of the New York Times. Landler's report about this possible approach to a post-Hamas Gaza is found on page A6.
We'll have more on Friedman's detailed wardrobe frisking this afternoon. For now, we're asking you about the way we the people follow the basic events involved in such long-running wars.
This takes us back to what Mustafa Barghouti said back on October 11.
As we noted yesterday, Barghouti was interviewed that evening on the PBS NewsHour. Once again, we'll show you a chunk of what he said:
BARGHOUTI (10/11/23): I, as a person, always say that I am against any killing of any civilian, whether Palestinian or Israeli. And we're sorry for all those people who were killed, Palestinians and Israelis.
But, unfortunately, everybody keeps avoiding the root cause of the problem.
[...]
JOHN YANG: You talk about the root cause, and there are—there's a generation of Palestinians who reject your call for nonviolence, who feel that this is how they have to respond. What do you say to them?
BARGHOUTI: I say to them, and I try to prove to them, that nonviolence is a much more effective way of achieving our freedom. That's the best way of doing that.
But one should ask the question, why these young people go in that direction? It's simply because they see no hope.
Eighty percent of young educated people in Gaza are under siege and are unemployed. The poverty is unbelievable.
The GDP per capita in Israel is $56,000 per year, while it is less than $1,000 per year—per capita per year in Gaza. Yet, Gazans are obliged to buy products at Israeli market price. These people don't see a hope, don't see a future.
Was Barghouti excusing the killings and the hostage-takings which had occurred just a few days before? Was he evading the question of who is responsible for the poverty to which he referred?
Following Barack Obama's advice, we'll advise ourselves to briefly sidestep our outrage. For ourselves, as we watched the NewsHour that night, we wondered how accurate Barghouti's highlighted statement was.
Please note! "Per capita GDP" is not the same thing as "per capita income." Also, there are two major ways to measure GDP and per capita GDP—PPP and nominal.
(With statistics, it's rarely comes easy.)
That said, per capita GDP is a basic way to measure the prosperity of a jurisdiction and its people. Could it really be possible that per capita GDP of three such groups actually look something like this?
Alleged per capita GDP, 2022
United States: $75,269
Israel: $57,758
Gaza: "Less than $1,000"
The first two figures are drawn from this source. As it turns out, it's hard to locate figures for the GDP of Gaza.
Over at Axios, Felix Salmon recently scored the data as shown below. Warning! As you can see, he provides no figure for Gaza alone:
Per capita GDP, 2021 / 2022
Israel: $53,000
West Bank and Gaza: $3,500
That second figure plainly exceeds "less than a thousand dollars." But that number is for the West Bank and Gaza combined—and as he continues, Salmon notes that "per-capita income in Gaza is now just half the amount seen in the West Bank."
This suggests that per capita GDP for Gaza alone would have been well less than $3,500 during the period in question. As part of a larger overall view, Salmon offers this:
Palestinian GDP is likely to shrink by 3% in 2023, with per-capita income falling by 5%, per estimates from the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics.
The big picture: Even before the current conflict, more than half of the people in Gaza lived in poverty, and 60% suffered from food insecurity. The combination of war and recession will only exacerbate Gaza's humanitarian crisis.
Where it stands: Per-capita income in Gaza is now just half the amount seen in the West Bank. As a result, Gaza accounts for less than 18% of Palestinian GDP, down from 34% before a strict blockade was put in place by Israel in 2007, according to the statistical bureau.
How reliable is the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics? We have no idea.
That said, Salmon was willing to go with the claim that, as of the start of this year, "more than half of the people in Gaza lived in poverty, and 60% suffered from food insecurity."
Also, he mentioned some sort of "strict blockade" which has made matters much, much worse. Could all that have something to do with the highlighted part of Barack Obama's recent "disgusting" remarks?
OBAMA: If there’s any chance of us being able to act constructively to do something, it will require an admission of complexity and maintaining what on the surface may seem contradictory ideas:
That what Hamas did was horrific, and there’s no justification for it.
And what is also true is that the occupation, and what’s happening to Palestinians, is unbearable.
And what is also true is that there is a history of the Jewish people that may be dismissed unless your grandparents, or your great-grandparents, or your uncle or your aunt, tell you stories about the madness of antisemitism.
According to Obama, what Hamas did was horrific—one might even say irredeemable. But he also said that we the people need to keep an additional fact in mind:
And what is also true is that the occupation, and what’s happening to Palestinians, is unbearable.
The "occupation" [has been] unbearable? Were GDP figures of the type we've presented part of what the former president had in mind?
For ourselves, we have a dream! We'd like to see a future where Israeli citizens and Palestinian citizens live in peace and prosperity. We want to see Palestinian children and Israeli children born into a world like that—with news of their moral and material success spreading elsewhere in the world.
In search of some such better world, Obama said that we the people need to keep a wide range of basic facts in mind. We can't simply stick to the set of facts which valorizes the population we may tend to identify with or favor, for whatever perfectly understandable reason or set of reasons.
Barghouti's figure may or may not have been perfectly accurate. That said, how often do you see any such matter discussed at all?
Joe Scarborough went off again on this morning's Morning Joe, offering a selective array of facts as he grew red and shouted. That's the way we humans are inclined to behave at times of war, or so the major top experts have all repeatedly said.
Obama said we have to consider a range of relevant facts. In response, a Newsweek editor went on last Sunday's Fox & Friends and said the former president's remarks had been "absolutely disgusting."
Astonishingly, she even seemed to say that he should have a yard sign in his yard—a sign which says, "Kill the Jews." And yes, that's what she said.
By the norms of our own blue tribe, the Fox & Friends guest is "highly educated." She's a Berkeley PhD, with an emphasis on the role played by cannibalism in the early novel in Britain. You can't get much smarter than that!
On that morning, she adopted another identity as her friends on Fox maintained a strategic silence: She became the latest member of the demographic long known as "humans at war."
Her behavior was truly astounding that day. Then too, we have our own Morning Joe program. What should we think about that?