In theory, information is good: In theory, information is good.
With that in mind, we extend a discussion from last week with some information about coronavirus deaths this month.
On a national basis, daily deaths continue to drop. That doesn't mean they won't go back up—but according to the Washington Post, these are the most recent numbers:
Coronavirus deaths, nationwideThe current seven-day average stands at 710.9. That represents an ongoing improvement. For example:
June 8: 498
June 9: 959
June 10: 843
June 11: 897
June 12: 758
June 13: 626
June 14: 395
Current seven-day average: 710.9
The seven-day average at the end of May was 925.6 (May 25-31). The seven-day average at the start of June was 803.4 (June 1-7).
These national numbers are dropping. That doesn't mean they won't go up again. Then again, maybe they won't.
At this point, have we had "the worst epidemic in the world?" At this point, we certainly have—if you refuse, forget, or simply don't want to adjust for size of population.
If you do adjust, some of the numbers look like this. We're using Kevin Drum's numbers:
Coronavirus deaths per million, as of June 14Does it look like we've had it worse than everyone else?
United Kingdom: 633
United States: 352
At some point, we may surpass everyone else, but we haven't gotten there yet. Meanwhile, according to Worldometer data, Spain isn't far behind the U.K., and Belgium still has the worst death figure (834 per million).
In theory, information is good. None of these statistics are perfect, but there's more information where that came from, especially if you don't turn to cable!
You should always insist on reasonable data when you visit the data store. Also, you should assume that everything you read or hear is quite probably wrong.