Nationwide, daily deaths on the rise!

TUESDAY, JULY 21, 2020

Let's take a look at the record:
Yesterday, the New York Times finally reported that daily deaths from the coronavirus are in fact on the rise nationwide.

On that basis, Slate also announced the change.

In fact, nationwide deaths have probably been on the rise since the start of the month, though the three- to four-day July 4 weekend created reporting anomalies that continued to skew 7-day averages right into last week.

Where do daily deaths currently stand? For the Washington Post's data, just click here. In a nutshell, the story is this:

For a couple of weeks in April, nationwide deaths were averaging over 2000 per day. Then, a fairly rapid decline began.

By the end of May, the average number of daily deaths had dropped to just over 900. The average continued to drop, bottoming out right around 540 before the July 4 weekend.

With yesterday's data, the 7-day rolling average is back up to 763.0 deaths per day nationwide. We're nowhere near where we were back in April, but the rise has been fairly substantial just in the past few weeks.

The July 4 weekend created reporting anomalies. By the look of things, artificially low numbers were recorded through July 6, with artificially high numbers recorded for several days thereafter. Those artificially inflated numbers continued to skew 7-day averages into the following week.

That statistical bump now lies in the past. The picture looks like this:

For the last week in June, the average number of daily deaths stood at 538.7 (June 24-June 30).

At present, the number stands at 763.0 (July 14-20). As such, we're looking at a substantial increase in daily deaths just in the past three weeks.

Luckily, two things work in our favor:

First, the commander will be holding a task force briefing later this afternoon. By that time, he will almost surely have figured this whole thing out.

The other saving grace is this—we have the world's lowest mortality rate! Based on a paper from Kayleigh and Birx, that's what the commander in chief continued to claim as he spoke with Chris Wallace on Sunday.

According to the genius Wallace, Johns Hopkins says that isn't correct. That was as far as Wallace took it. Viewers could choose who was right.

20 comments:

  1. A GREAT SPELL CASTER (DR. EMU) THAT HELP ME BRING BACK MY EX GIRLFRIEND.
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    ReplyDelete
    Replies
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  2. "Luckily, two things work in our favor:

    First, the commander will be holding a task force briefing later this afternoon. By that time, he will almost surely have figured this whole thing out.

    The other saving grace is this—we have the world's lowest mortality rate! Based on a paper from Kayleigh and Birx, that's what the commander in chief continued to claim as he spoke with Chris Wallace on Sunday."

    This, from the man who hates sarcasm when Anderson Cooper does it.

    ReplyDelete
  3. "Viewers could choose who was right."

    Isn't this how it always works?

    ReplyDelete
  4. You choose your statistic based on your goals/purposes.

    Today, the Surgeon General said:

    “The biggest determinant of whether or not we can go back to school actually has little to do with the actual schools,” Adams said. “It is your background transmission rate.” Adams acknowledged that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has released recommendations for reopening schools safely, but cautioned that “the most important thing is what we do outside of schools before we reopen to lower the transmission rate.”

    If Somerby were actually interested in education, he might be concerned about transmission rate, but I have never heard him mention that here. I think his goal is to embarrass journalists, not talk about the virus, much less talk about the impact of the virus on education, or its impact on those beautiful, deserving black kids who are not being educated and thus will reduce our NAEP scores even more.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think his goal is to embarrass journalists, not talk about the virus....

      TDH has been at it for about a quarter of a century, single-mindedly, repetitively, obsessively. It's not like he hides his goal of talking about public discourse in general and journalistic practice in particular. And you're just now tumbling to this fact?

      Better late than never, I guess.

      Delete
    2. "Better late than never, I guess."

      Do you think there's a chance Somerby will someday realize corporate mouthpieces mouth the corporate line?

      Delete
    3. History says he's not going to stop writing about it.

      Delete
    4. His archives show he hasn't started writing about it yet.

      Delete
  5. My children aged 8 and 10 are white and I have been uncomfortable with these disparate scores for some time.

    Keeping the schools closed might not help them advance but it might help them become more equal with their African-American counterparts.

    I tell them they cannot do anything about their white skin but they can understand that because they live in it, they cannot be purely "not racist" in this society.

    We all have to be willing to sacrifice, even things we might think are at an "expense" to our children, for the greater good.

    ReplyDelete
  6. “ We all have to be willing to sacrifice, even things we might think are at an "expense" to our children, for the greater good.”

    Finally some better trolling!

    ReplyDelete
  7. Thank God we all know what Good Liberals prescribe for this malady: more mass riots and full economic shut-down.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hard to find trolling as slimy as this Anonymouse.

      Delete
    2. You can say that in a response to Mao???? Are you serious?

      Delete
  8. I want to quickly crave your indulgence and bring to your notice a powerful spell caster called Dr LOVE0 who in just 3 days of contact was able to bring back my lost love am short of words to thank him and i have resort to this medium of telling the world at large about him. His truly amazing and kind contact him today via Email: doctor0lovespell@gmail.com or check his blogs: https://doctorlovespell0.blogspot.com/ or visit his FB page: https://www.facebook.com/Lovespellthatworkfastusa  .He is also able to cast spells like
    1:Pregnancy Spell
    2:Jail Release
    3:Prosperity Spell
    4:Lottery Spell
    5:Cancer cure ETC......

    ReplyDelete
  9. A GREAT SPELL CASTER (DR. EMU) THAT HELP ME BRING BACK MY EX GIRLFRIEND.
    Am so happy to testify about a great spell caster that helped me when all hope was lost for me to unite with my ex-girlfriend that I love so much. I had a girlfriend that love me so much but something terrible happen to our relationship one afternoon when her friend that was always trying to get to me was trying to force me to make love to her just because she was been jealous of her friend that i was dating and on the scene my girlfriend just walk in and she thought we had something special doing together, i tried to explain things to her that her friend always do this whenever she is not with me and i always refuse her but i never told her because i did not want the both of them to be enemies to each other but she never believed me. She broke up with me and I tried times without numbers to make her believe me but she never believed me until one day i heard about the DR. EMU and I emailed him and he replied to me so kindly and helped me get back my lovely relationship that was already gone for two months.
    Email him at: Emutemple@gmail.com
    Call or Whats-app him: +2347012841542

    ReplyDelete
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    ReplyDelete
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