THURSDAY, JULY 11, 2024
Could this be the latest fail? Long ago and far away, Al Pacino made a famous statement.
"This whole trial is out of order," the gentleman famously said.
He was denouncing a fictional trial, one part of a fictional movie. The film's official title was somewhat odd:
...And Justice For All
Those three little dots are often forgotten. And according to the leading authority, Al Pacino's famous speech is often flatly misquoted.
According to the leading authority, Al Pacino didn't say, "This whole courtroom is out of order," as people often claim. He only denounced that one trial.
Question: How could a famous speech end up being misquoted? Given the way our imperfect cognition works, it happens all the time!
In fact, our national discourse is driven by widespread "cognition fails." Consider the incident Nicholas Kristof cites at the start of this morning's column.
In his new column for the New York Times, Kristof calls for President Biden to step aside as a candidate. For ourselves, we don't have a firm, finished view on that particular matter.
We do have a hard-and-fast view concerning a type of incident Kristof describes near the end of his column.
Late in the column, Kristof takes us back to one part of the 1976 White House campaign. As he does, he describes a fairly serious fail—a serious cognition shortfall:
President Biden, Voters Want Change
[...]
Perhaps Biden might recover his political footing, but I suspect it’s more likely that he’ll face a steady drip-drip of troubles. That’s partly because of biases that lead us to highlight information that buttresses pre-existing narratives.
Gerald Ford, for example, was one of the most athletic and graceful of presidents, but he took one tumble and the story took hold (quite unfairly!) that he was a klutz. From then on, every time he slipped, tripped or fell—even while skiing—a clip of it made television news and confirmed the narrative. And because cameras are always on the president, slips on camera are inevitable.
Likewise, fair or not, Biden is under a microscope: Every time he misspeaks or has a senior moment, voters will see clips of it, amplifying the discussion of whether he is infirm. And that’s without another disastrous episode like the presidential debate last month; if something like that happens again, God help the Democrats.
In that passage, Kristof describes a tendency to submit to "biases that lead us to highlight information that buttresses pre-existing narratives." (We'd call that a jumble of words!)
In the specific incident Kristof cites, he mainly seems to refer to the tendency of the mainstream press corps to submit to such "biases." In fact, a second branch of American discourse was also strongly involved in that particular incident.
At any rate, it's true! As a college student, President Ford was a football star at the University of Michigan.
The young Gerald Ford was a football star, but let's not overstate it! According to his presidential library, he "did not earn All-America honors as popularly believed."
He actually wasn't an All-American! That was another one of those bogus stories which somehow got all around.
That said, President Ford was a highly accomplished college athlete. As a senior, he played in several post-season all-star games. He turned down contract offers from the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions in the NFL of that time, opting for Yale Law School instead.
Ford wasn't a world-class athlete, but he was surely one of the most accomplished athletes in the history of the White House. Having said that, so what?
On one utterly meaningless occasion, in June 1975, he slipped while descending the stairs from Air Force One. For whatever reason, a certain type of "bias" pretty much took over from there.
In the passage we've quoted, Kristof refers to the conduct of "television news," but the spreading of this particular "narrative" was also accomplished by an endless series of performances by pratfall expert Chevy Chase on Saturday Night Live.
In this report from CNN in 2008, Chase acknowledges that he behaved in the way he did because he wanted Jimmy Carter to get elected. So it goes when the giants of the journalism and comedy worlds submit to their penchants for "bias."
Down through the years, our mainstream press corps has routinely submitted to this penchant for "bias." In the case of our presidential elections, they've cast various candidates in certain stereotypical roles. They've then begun disappearing and inventing "facts" to support the silly, novelized stories they've apparently wanted to tell.
So it will go with a Candidate Biden, Nicholas Kristof now says. Almost surely, what he says is correct. This is a type of cognitive "fail" which has routinely occurred within our elite mainstream press.
This very evening, at 6:30, President Biden is now scheduled to engage in a freeform press conference. For those who would like to see President Biden remain a candidate, it could be much as Nestor says in the wake of one of Agamemnon's meltdowns:
This is the night that rips our ranks to shreds or pulls us through.
It could be like that tonight. Or then again, maybe not!
Will President Biden remain a candidate? We have no idea.
Should be remain a candidate? To a large extent, that depends on what you think about his performance at the June 27 debate.
Was that a single, inexplicable, weird event—in modern parlance, a "one-off?" Or was that terrible performance the result of some ongoing condition—one in a series of such events, with more of the same to come?
Based on lots of videotape from the past, we'll guess that it wasn't a "one-off." Also, and for whatever it's worth, George Clooney, in today's New York Times, has now offered this:
George Clooney: I Love Joe Biden. But We Need a New Nominee.
[...]
Last month I co-hosted the single largest fund-raiser supporting any Democratic candidate ever, for President Biden’s re-election. I say all of this only to express how much I believe in this process and how profound I think this moment is.
I love Joe Biden. As a senator. As a vice president and as president. I consider him a friend, and I believe in him. Believe in his character. Believe in his morals. In the last four years, he’s won many of the battles he’s faced.
But the one battle he cannot win is the fight against time. None of us can. It’s devastating to say it, but the Joe Biden I was with three weeks ago at the fund-raiser was not the Joe “big F-ing deal” Biden of 2010. He wasn’t even the Joe Biden of 2020. He was the same man we all witnessed at the debate.
That was the event where it seemed, to some people, that Barack Obama had to step in to help President Biden find his way off the stage.
You can see what Clooney has said about that particular night. He seems to be saying that President Biden was "lost in space" that evening too, just like at the later debate.
On today's Morning Joe, Mika Brzezinski seemed to say, without providing any evidence, that President Obama wrote that essay and Clooney merely signed it. That's the way these things tend to go when people start picking up teams.
On that same Morning Joe, a fascinating moment occurred when Senator Coons (D-Del.) was asked if he has ever seen President Biden behave the way he did at that debate.
This afternoon, we'll tell you what Coons said. For now, we'll offer this:
President Biden seemed to have a substantial cognitive fail at that ersatz debate. Having said that, we'll also add this:
Candidate Trump's basic cognition seemed to be AWOL too.
Candidate Trump made many inaccurate claims that night. Some were crazily so.
A wide array of other claims barely qualified as "claims" at all. All in all, this takes in the slightly deeper end of the conceptual pool, where our nation's sunbathing journalists may not be inclined to go.
Full disclosure! All in all, our upper-end, mainstream press corps just isn't highly skilled. Indeed, the distinctions we're talking about take us well beyond this group's normal level of functioning. At any rate, they've been involved in quite a few fails of the type Kristof describes.
Four days before that fateful debate, E. J. Dionne issued a prescient warning. He said the two candidates might not be judged by the same standards in the aftermath of the debate.
Dionne had predicted that Candidate Biden would exceed expectations that night. This Monday, in another column, Dionne has described that prediction as an "epic fail."
That said, the columnist pretty much called his shot when he spoke about double standards.
Cognition fails are not unknown among our upper-end press corps. In the matter of Candidate Trump, our journalists been engaged in a type of fail for some time.
Tomorrow, we'll start to discuss that fail. It might even rate as an epic fail.
It starts with a simple word:
LIE.
Tomorrow: What's in a word?
This afternoon: Senator Coons, on the phone
DiC - CPI 3% YoY. How can the good news just keep coming month after month after month?
ReplyDelete
ReplyDeleteGeorge Clooney is on Putin's payroll. So is Obama. They are not liberals.
Four more years!
Chuck Todd sounds like he’s Biden’s vengeful ex-•lover.
DeleteLiana Isakadze, Carol Bongiovi, and Mary Martin have died.
ReplyDeleteDIC repeated Trump's claim about not having anything to do with the Heritage Foundation's Project 2025. A (partial) reality check:
Deletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xbGUGba0PPY
Shelley Duvall has died.
ReplyDeleteSayonara, Shelley.
DeleteDrum:
ReplyDeleteThe Guardian describes Donald Trump's latest rally:
[The Guardian:] It was a standard Trump stump speech, full of evidence-free claims that his 2020 election defeat was fraudulent; baseless accusations that overseas nations were sending to the US “most of their prisoners”; and a laughable assertion that a gathering of supporters numbering in the hundreds was really a crowd of 45,000.
It also touched on the surreal. Biden, he insisted, had raised the price of bacon four-fold. “We don’t eat bacon any more,” Trump said.
[Drum:] This might be the most trivial Trump falsehood ever, but that's sort of the point. He'll literally make up anything.
The price of bacon is up a mere 14% since Trump left office, and if you adjust for wages it's cheaper than when Trump left office. Meanwhile, total bacon production is 13% higher than it was when Trump left office. For better or worse, the American love affair with bacon is far from over.
Why would anyone make up lies as frivolous as this? Because Trump lives in a fantasy world where everything has to be the worst ever in history unless he was personally involved with it. His brain is so badly beyond repair that I suspect he literally can't help himself, and he's surrounded by sycophants who will never confront him with the truth. This is not a man fit to be president of the United States.
Suppose there was serious consideration of applying the 25th Amendment to remove Biden as President right now. Then, a competent press conference would be good evidence that he shouldn't be removed.
ReplyDeleteI will be watching Biden's presser tonight to see if exceeds expectations. But, are the expectations an appropriate benchmark for a Presidential candidate? Of course not. Giving an adequate, unscripted press conference hardly demonstrates that someone is qualified to serve as President until early 2029.
Being under indictment is also a predictor for poor performance.
DeleteWhataboutism. Boring. Trite.
DeleteWatching Biden and commenting endlessly on small gaffes (where it is obvious what he meant) is not the way to assess the performance of a presidential candidate. Look at what he has done on the job. Giving an adequate unscripted press conference IS the way you assess the president's current functioning. It is pretty much what the word "adequate" means. Tomorrow will take care of itself. If Harris ever needs to take over for Biden, or if Biden dies suddenly, she has the vote of Democrats along with Biden. That is what being VP is about. The voters have certified her on the ticket along with Biden.
DeleteThere is nothing that is going to satisfy the people trying to push Biden out of office. They have different goals than merely being sure he is doing the work. This stream of endless criticisms of Biden and pleas for him to step aside when he has clearly stated he is running, all show that this has nothing to do with his competence and everything to do with other people's ambitions, including Trump, Republicans, Russia, and corporations running the media. There is no grassroots groundswell to remove Biden. The voters are happy with him -- he is our pick. If he is removed through some machinations, I am thinking seriously about moving out of the USA, because democracy will have been subverted and when that goes, so do the rest of our freedoms.
Somerby used to argue that the will of the voters couldn't be set aside. It was his argument against impeaching Trump, back in the day. Now he doesn't seem to care what the voters want and what they have chosen. That suggests it was never about the will of the voters back when Somerby was defending Trump -- it was just about getting him off.
DeleteIt's interesting that American consumption of bacon at breakfast is a result of a deliberately deceptive propaganda effort in the 1920's.
ReplyDeleteAs for myself, I'm hoping for "pulls us through."
ReplyDeleteAnonymouse 12:38pm, correct.
ReplyDeleteThis repetition is getting so boring no one is bothering to refute it.
ReplyDeleteNo one cared about Gerald Ford slipping on steps because athleticism has nothing to do with being president. Ford lost because he wasn't a good president, not because Chevy Chase mocked him by falling down at every opportunity.
Biden is continuing to make public appearances and do the job of president well, despite the various media and others holding their breaths waiting for him to fail. Biden's debate was part of his job (as is climbing the stairs to board Air Force 1), but not an important part. Just a visible part. Biden is not failing at any of the things that matter to being a good president. That is why the rest of us are standing with him and will vote for him in Nov.
There are so many strengths to be mentioned about Biden that it is hard to know where to start listing them. He is a labor president and unions have become stronger under his administration. He is continuing to help relieve student loan debt, when he could have been discouraged by the courts. He is changing airline regulations to force them to treat customers bettter when flights are canceled or delayed. His IRS just caught a bunch of wealthy people evading taxes and added $1billion to the US Treasury. So what if he stutters? This is my kind of president and I am voting for him in Nov.
What's more, all the economically anxious Republican voters are now backing Biden.
DeleteWow - a whole billion dollars??
DeleteThe U.S. military budget costs taxpayers approximately $2.35 billion per day.
3 days ago the Wall Street Journal reported that private insurers in the Medicare Advantage program made questionable diagnoses from 2018 to 2021, leading to $50 billion in extra taxpayer payments. Some diagnoses were for serious conditions like AIDS, without subsequent care, often unknown to patients and doctors.
DeleteAnd there’s this:
DeleteWaldo Lydecker: Have you ever been in love?
Mark McPherson: A doll in Washington Heights once got a fox fur outta me.
Did you know that Laura owned a baseball autographed by Cookie Lavagetto?
DeleteThat baseball is in the book, not the film. But an interesting thing in the film is Waldo reciting a poem with the line “They are not long, the days of wine and roses.” The author of that poem, Ernest Dowson, wrote another which contained the phrase “gone with the wind.”
DeleteDowson is mostly forgotten, but he lives on, quoted in one film, and providing the titles of two others.
Thank you, Anonymous 11:59pm.
DeleteVery much.
You’re welcome. Across the red/blue line, we’re friends.
DeleteThe author of Laura, Vera Caspary, wrote other novels revolving around women who are menaced, but who turn out to be neither victimized nor rescued damsels.
Delete