Concerned by the fires this time: Who will win Wisconsin this fall?
We have no way of knowing. Back in 2016, Wisconsin was one of the three states which swung to Candidate Trump by very small margins. This let him win the Electoral College and move on to the White House.
He did so despite losing the nationwide popular vote to Candidate Clinton by 2.9 million votes and 2.1 percentage points. Is it possible that some such disaster could occur again?
By most reckonings, Candidate Biden will need to win Wisconsin this fall. But several top experts are now saying that Biden's chances in the state may be fading this week.
"Goodbye, Wisconsin," several of these experts now warn. They refer to the recent shooting in Kenosha, and to its grim aftermath.
More specifically, they refer to the way those events are being presented to the nation's warring red and blue tribes.
For those who belong to our own blue tribe, we will, once again, make a peculiar suggestion. If you want a fuller picture of the events in question, we hope you've been watching the overwrought Fox News Channel program, Tucker Carlson Tonight.
Warning! If you watched this program the last two nights, you had to sit through Carlson's massive sense of grievance. You had to tolerate all sorts of wild, overstated claims, whether from Carlson or from some of his guests. There were some flat misstatements.
That said, there was also an upside. If you were willing to tolerate the less desirable aspects of this program, you were able to see the way events in Kenosha, and beyond, are being presented to the largest audience in cable news.
Also, there was this:
You were able to see the types of videotape, and learn the types of facts, which are generally being withheld from our tribe at the failing tribal news orgs we have long thought we could trust.
In other words, you can actually learn some things if you can just tolerate Carlson! And make no mistake:
According to several major experts, Candidate Biden may be losing Wisconsin this week. According to experts, this involves the types of events our own blue tribe are being shielded from.
What are these experts talking about? Let's start with the Sunday shooting of Jacob Blake by a Kenosha police officer.
The shooting of Jacob Blake:
In yesterday's report, we reviewed a remarkable set of Sunday night tweets by Wisconsin governor Tony Evers. Even as he noted that "details" of the shooting incident were still unknown, Evers seemed to condemn the action, seeming to say that police conduct had been "merciless" and racially motivated.
Some of those details are now known, but major news orgs of our blue tribe are keeping them under wraps. One such detail was reported by the Associated Press:
ASSOCIATED PRESS (8/25/20): Online court records indicate Kenosha County prosecutors charged Blake on July 6 with sexual assault, trespassing and disorderly conduct in connection with domestic abuse. An arrest warrant was issued the following day. The records contain no further details and do not list an attorney for Blake.Did that warrant play a role in Sunday's shooting incident? We have no way of knowing. But at least one Wisconsin news org has reported that police were attempting to arrest Blake on that warrant when the altercation which led to the shooting began.
It was unclear whether that case had anything to do with the shooting.
Was Blake resisting arrest when the shooting occurred? We can't tell you that either! That said, additional video footage now shows a physical fight between police and Blake before Blake broke away from police and tried to enter his vehicle.
Presumably, this footage increases the likelihood that Blake was violently resisting arrest at the time of the shooting incident.
We don't know if police had attempted to arrest Blake, but the existence of the warrant is a reported fact. And while we're at it, the Associated Press has also reported this:
ASSOCIATED PRESS: The man who said he made the [original] cellphone video, 22-year-old Raysean White, said he saw Blake scuffling with three officers and heard them yell, “Drop the knife! Drop the knife!” before the gunfire erupted. He said he didn’t see a knife in Blake’s hands.Was a knife involved in this "scuffle?" We have no idea—and sensible people try to do what Governor Evers didn't. Sensible people try to withhold judgment about serious matters like this when so few basic facts are known.
The governor said he had seen no information to suggest Blake had a knife or other weapon, but that the case is still being investigated by the state Justice Department.
That said, the arrest warrant and the physical fight are now matters of record. Unless you read the news reports in today's New York Times and Washington Post.
These news reports fail to report the existence of the warrant or the videotape of the fight with police, even as they quote pedestrians, bystanders and various local philosophers offering their speculations about what surely must have occurred and who was right and wrong.
Of course, resisting arrest is not a capital crime. If it were, the penalty would be imposed by a court, not by police officers on the scene.
That said, red voters are being told about Blake's fight with police, and about his apparent 2015 arrest for threatening people with a gun. The blue tribe is being encouraged not to hear about such matters—and red voters are being told about this selective reporting.
Rioting, looting, arson, assault:
According to our leading experts, it's the subsequent rioting, looting and arson which are most likely to cost Biden the state of Wisconsin. If you've watched Carlson's program the past two nights, you've seen extensive video footage of this gruesome conduct.
Last night, that included ugly footage of a physical attack on a 71-year-old man attempting to protect his store from arson.
Our own "blue tribe" news orgs have been disinclined to worry our heads about such matters. Experts say that these "protests"—downplayed by liberals, reported by conservatives—have a fair-to-middlin' chance of costing Biden the state.
Other videotaped misconduct:
These experts point to another part of last night's Tucker Carlson program which could cost Biden dearly. They refer to a segment in which Carlson interviewed Matt Walsh about harassment of people in Washington restaurants as they try to eat lunch.
The harassment is conducted by anti-racism warriors, black and white together. By normal societal standards, the conduct is stupid and ugly.
You can watch the segment in question here, though it was beeped and bowdlerized and rather poorly explained. For an unvarnished example of what we're talking about, we'll suggest that you just click this. But also, just click here.
Why did a Kenosha police officer shoot Jacob Blake on Sunday? We can't tell you that.
Was the conduct justified? Did the officer think or know that Blake was armed with a knife?
Was Blake armed with a knife? Was Blake resisting or fleeing from arrest? Did the officer think that Blake was reaching into his car for a weapon?
We can't answer those blindingly obvious questions. We can tell you this:
All reporting of all such incidents is now heavily propagandized. Members of our warring tribes are told and shown vastly different things.
It seems to us that it's our tribe which is often kept in the dark about these matters. But at any rate, the warring tribes are being taken down two different roads.
In our view, intelligent liberals should swallow hard and watch Carlson's program. Remember—you're watching for the videotape, not for the overwrought guff.
Concerning all these events, we can only tell you this:
Traditional systems have fallen apart as such events have been reported in recent years. A great deal more remains to be said about this very large problem.
At any rate, as our systems continue to fail, several major qualified experts are now saying, "Goodbye, Wisconsin." As Kenosha burns to the ground, so perhaps do Candidate Biden's chances—or so these top experts have said.
The propaganda is general within our blue tribe's major "news sources." As these systems fall apart, a famous experiment fails.
Tomorrow: LeBron's (important) concern