ROCKMAKERS: Aristotelian assumption destroyed!

TUESDAY, AUGUST 14, 2018

Part 2—These professors today:
At tribalized times like these, can you believe a thing you hear, even from tribal leaders?

Plainly, the answer is no. At times like these, the "Aristotelian assumption"—the assumption that we the humans will tend to behave in rational ways—gives way to the "Harari heuristic," which suggests that gossip, and affirmation of fictions, will more likely characterize the conduct in the town square.

A heuristic is a mental shortcut, a provisional rule of thumb. It tells us where we can most sensibly start in assessing, characterizing or explaining a given state of affairs.

A heuristic may turn out to be wrong in some given case. But alas! At tribalized times like these, the Harari heuristic is likely to serve us quite well:

Just consider the new Fact Checker post by the Washington Post's Glenn Kessler.

Oof! Kessler awards a full four Pinocchios at the end of his new fact check. These "Nokes" are awarded to Nancy Pelsoi, on the basis of a recent statement which, in one form or another, we've all heard a million times.

Pelosi made her statement to guest host Jonathan Capehart on Sunday's Morning Joy. As transcribed by Kessler, here's what Pelosi said:
Let me re­mind you that when the Re­pub­lic­ans took pow­er when President Obama was president of the United States, what Mitch McConnell said is, "The most im­port­ant thing we can do is to make sure he does not suc­ceed." If that wasn’t a rac­ist state­ment. That is un­think­a­ble.
We must make sure he doesn't succeed! Every liberal has heard that statement attributed to McConnell about a million times.

On Sunday, Pelosi seemed to say or suggest that the alleged statement had carried a racist motive. Suggestions of racism to the side, Pelosi's basic assertion here is extremely familiar. Here's a fuller transcript of Sunday's Q-and-A:
CAPEHART (8/12/18): I’m going to ask you the same question that I asked my previous panel in terms of, we focus a lot on President Trump and his culpability in sort of worsening race relations. But you’ve been on Capitol Hill for a long time. You’ve worked with Speaker Ryan, you know Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell. Why haven’t they spoken up as leaders in the United States against something as pernicious as white supremacy and racism?

PELOSI: Let me remind you that when the Republicans took power when President Obama was president of the United States, what Mitch McConnell said is, the most important thing we can do is to make sure he does not succeed. If that wasn’t a racist statement—that is unthinkable.

We worked with President Bush, although we had our differences. You don’t make a statement, "make sure the president doesn’t succeed."

Why did he say that? Why did he say that?
So I think that when you ask that question, you’re attributing a higher set of values to the speaker and to leader McConnell than is worthy of their actions.
They had to make sure that he didn't succeed! Why did McConnell say that?

Almost surely, you've heard that statement attributed to McConnell a million times by now. Today, we're setting Pelosi's attribution of motive aside. We'll focus instead on the basic statement Pelosi attributed to McConnell.

We were struck by Kessler's fact-check of that alleged statement by McConnell, in large part because we've heard the attribution from tribal tribunes about a million times.

We offer a brief aside. We've cautioned liberals, again and again, against believing everything we hear from our own tribal leaders. We've offered that basic warning for years. That said, even we were surprised by what we read in today's fact-check.

Put aside Pelosi's suggestion concerning McConnell's alleged racist motives. Focus instead on Kessler's review of what McConnell actually said, back in the old by-and-by.

Like you, we've heard McConnell's famous statement paraphrased, described and assailed again and again and again. Despite our awareness of the fact that our own tribal leaders will sometimes misstate, it had never occurred to us to go back and review what he actually said.

Go ahead—read the Kessler fact-check!
We'll admit that we were surprised by the actual chronology, and by the actual content, of McConnell's actual statement. As a matter of fact, we were so surprised that we bumped today's planned post, which would have concerned These Professors Today.

Tomorrow, we'll plan to start with the frightening headline on Ed Kilgore's recent post for New York magazine. The headline was already wrong when it was posted last Friday, but so what—these are parlous times! At any rate, neither the headline nor the article has ever been corrected:
A Study Says That 24 Million Americans Have Alt-Right Beliefs. What Does that Number Mean?
That headline was already wrong when it was posted last Friday. As of today, it remainss uncorrected. Why do you think that is?

At times like these, the errors and hustles comes thick and fast, even from those within our own flawless tribe. In our view, the op-ed page in today's New York Times contains a couple of absolute dillies.

This front-page news report in the Times also helps us see that Aristotle, at least as quoted, may perhaps have been wrong.

Long ago and far away, the far-seeing people at Bally produced Wittgenstein's pinball machine. Its iconography portrayed a humanoid species which did only one thing:

The humanoids pictured on Bally's RockMakers spent their whole day making rocks. That was their form of life!

As those humanoids banged out rocks, our species tends to bang out gossip and group fictions. Or at least, so the Harari heuristic now says. Is it clear, in any serious way, that this heuristic is wrong?

At times like these, the Harari heuristic helps explain the intellectual chaos around us. The Kilgore headline, and the Kilgore post, involve an avalanche of embellishments and errors.

It all began with a youngish professor. It's much as the later Wittgenstein said:

These professors today!

Tomorrow: One thing after another

40 comments:

  1. "can you believe a thing you hear, even from tribal leaders?"

    Even? Not even - especially. Seriously, Bob. Why would anyone pay any attention (let alone believe) to anything your zombie death-cult leaders say?

    ReplyDelete
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    2. I URGENTLY NEED MY EX BACK WITH THE HELP OF A POWERFUL LOVE SPELL CASTER EMAIL PRIEST WISDOM ON SUPERNATURALSPELL@YAHOO.COM OR WHATSAPP HIM +2348124644470

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  2. Well, Somerby is getting closer to the mark.

    He says: "the "Aristotelian assumption"—the assumption that we the humans will tend to behave in rational ways—gives way to the "Harari heuristic," which suggests that gossip, and affirmation of fictions, will more likely characterize the conduct in the town square."

    The idea that people find survival benefits in gossip and the creation of group narratives (fictions) is not exactly a heuristic (a term usually applied to reasoning or problem solving). But, it is a way to enable people to make judgements about others (who to trust, who to share food and shelter with) and a way to explain events in one's life. But that isn't what Aristotle had in mind when he talked about reason. Nor is it what Harari had in mind (probably).

    So, once again Somerby bends someone else's ideas to fit his own narrative, that people are dumb, especially liberals. But it looks like he is making some attempt to link his criticism to words used by those who study cognition (heuristic, for example). Will he ever stop borrowing things piecemeal and actually think about other people's ideas? I wouldn't bet on it.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I think Kessler is technically right about McConnell's statements, but Pelosi is correct that the Republicans have behaved as if they wish to erase every achievement by Obama's administration, repeal every executive order, fire every eppointee, and so on. Beginning with Trump but aided by McConnell and the Republican Party, they have rolled back much of Obama's work. That strikes me as trying to prevent him from succeeding, irrespective of the obstruction of the Republicans during Obama's two terms in office.

    If the goal was to prevent Obama from having a second term, what was the point of the obstruction during his second term? The racist part comes because Pelosi is seeing McConnell as a fellow-traveler of Trump, attributing the same motives to him and Trump has made obvious. Trump's pettiness extends to undoing everything Obama did, small and large. What is the motive for that? Personal animosity. Trump feels belittled by Obama because of jokes Obama made about him and Obama's failure to take him seriously, but what is McConnell's excuse?

    The actions are racist because they are aimed at our first African American president, seem to have no ideological motivation, have an animus that is personal, and come from people who have no history of supporting civil rights (McConnell's coerced statement about Charlottesville aside). McConnell has shown himself to be unable to consider Obama as a politician, on his own merits, and in light of shared goals (McConnell sees none). That is racism is surely as shouting the n-word from a rooftop would be. You judge a person by their actions, not their words.

    ReplyDelete
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  4. "As those humanoids banged out rocks, our species tends to bang out gossip and group fictions. Or at least, so the Harari heuristic now says. Is it clear, in any serious way, that this heuristic is wrong?"

    Harari didn't say anything like that. But now we get to Somerby's main point -- professors are doody-heads.

    What is the main Republican talking point of the day? It is an attack on Nancy Pelosi. What does Somerby do today? He attacks Nancy Pelosi, under the guise of criticizing Capehart. What a fine team-player Somerby is!

    What is his motive in attacking professors? Aside from the FACT that the first act of all authoritarians is to remove professors from their positions, since professors teach young people to think and those thinking young people tend to be the mainstay of resistance and opposition to dictatorship. The kids are the ones one the bulwarks, the ones mobilizing against misuse of power. And professors inspire those kids and send them out to do battle, armed with wit and knowledge.

    Can't have that, can we Bob? So, his main goal is to portray professors as idiots, to undermine whatever influence they might have in the classroom. This is fully in line with attacks on the university from the right. And it doesn't hurt that Somerby appears to have some simmering grievances against his own Harvard professors, maybe that one that gave him a D and made him go to summer school? Maybe the ones who didn't consider him brilliant?

    Some professors are good, some bad, most are just people trying to do their jobs as well as they can. They do have influence and that makes them a target, but Somerby takes this to a ridiculous extreme, with hints of right-wing accusations that professors are impostors and charlatans feeding at the public trough. A liberal would be ashamed to write the kind of crap Somerby has been pushing here.

    ReplyDelete
  5. It's likely that Nancy Pelosi knows McConnell just a tad better than Somerby does. Perhaps she is correct about McConnell's motives.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. "Perhaps she is correct..."

      "Perhaps" every person on the planet is a racist.
      "Perhaps" every person on the planet is a Nazi.
      "Perhaps" every person on the planet is a bigot.

      You can "perhaps" your way to any ridiculous assertion!

      "Perhaps" Pelosi is feeding red meat to her political base, ginning up political contributions in the process.

      Delete
    2. Trump is a racist. No perhaps.
      The Republican party is racist as LBJ predicted. No perhaps.
      And all you racists do not have the balls to admit it. Chickenshits.
      Then here comes Bob to parse his ass off.
      Trump, if my memory serves, called the Nazis and racists "nice people".
      You're running away, but you can't run away from yourself.
      Chickenshit.

      Delete
    3. "Political red meat" and "McConnell may be a racist" aren't mutually exclusive. Pelosi didn't say McConnell was a racist by the way. But it is far from ridiculous to wonder about it.

      Delete
    4. If liberal zombie-death-cult is not calling you 'racist', then you're doing something wrong.

      Delete
    5. The following is chickenshit...

      Trump is a racist. No perhaps.
      The Republican party is racist as LBJ predicted. No perhaps.
      And all you racists do not have the balls to admit it. Chickenshits.
      Then here comes Bob to parse his ass off.
      Trump, if my memory serves, called the Nazis and racists "nice people".
      You're running away, but you can't run away from yourself.
      Chickenshit.

      Delete
    6. You are obviously knowledgeable.

      Delete
    7. Introduce me to your mother. Then you will know for sure.

      Delete
    8. Obviously Obama is not an anti-black racist, yet Trump's policies have been better for black Americans than Obama's. President Trump’s black approval rating has grown from 8% to 21%, because he’s making life better for black Americans everywhere you look while his predecessor fumbled.

      The loudest Trump triumph of the moment has been dips to the lowest black unemployment in history, and get this: Jobs confer purpose, they provide pride, they build community, they set one up to help others, they enable social mobility, they lift the spirit. You get jobs through deregulation and tax reform, encouraging businesses to expand, lowering expenses and inspiring entrepreneurship.

      Also under Trump, crime has dropped significantly in our biggest cities from the last two Obama years, saving black lives. Here is a shift likely facilitated in part by Trump’s support of police. Heather MacDonald of the Manhattan Institute studied deeply and found the degradation and anger made police defensively less proactive in keeping cities safe. Studies actually indicate that police are just as likely to shoot whites as blacks and MacDonald shows how the right kinds of strategically devised police interventions can deter crime significantly.

      Trump promoted a bill that would improve all sorts of flaws in the penal system, prepare prisoners for a fruitful life when released and let 4,000 go, many of them ill and old. The bill passed the House 380 to 59 but the Senate has wanted sentencing reform, too, and guess what? Trump has said OK.

      Trump is also behind an important effort to improve job training. Working with such big outfits as Walmart, General Motors and IBM, the president is helping to institute apprentice programs in needed skills to 3.8 million citizens

      Delete
    9. Leroy's Unpaid Bar TabAugust 14, 2018 at 7:38 PM

      More PRATTS.

      Delete
    10. 7:20 links please

      Delete
    11. 7:20,
      Golf clap for Trump's Daddy Government.

      Delete
    12. Remember that DAinCA is a moral and intellectual idiot. You may disregard any of the propaganda that he regurgitates. For instance, the FBI has released only a preliminary version of its crime report (called the Uniform Crime Report) for 2017, covering the first half of that year.

      Delete
    13. 8:07 here are some links
      "Trump is right that African-American unemployment hit a record low in December. The unemployment rate for black Americans is currently 6.8 percent, the lowest level recorded since the government started keeping track in January 1972." https://www.npr.org/2018/01/08/576552028/fact-check-trump-touts-low-unemployment-rates-for-african-americans-hispanics

      Trump gives thumbs up to prison sentencing reform bill at pivotal meeting http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/400176-trump-gives-thumbs-up-to-prison-sentencing-reform-bill-at-pivotal-meeting

      "In fact, in a new poll released by the group [NAACP] today, Trump’s approval rating among blacks has reached 21 percent, more than double what it was in an April Reuters poll." https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/washington-secrets/blacks-approval-of-trump-reaches-a-high-of-21-and-naacp-charges-racism

      "An exciting new body of research shows that while America is becoming safer, with historically low crime rates—it is also becoming more progressive in its criminal justice system, with more than two-thirds of states having reduced both crime and imprisonment in the past decade." https://www.goodnewsnetwork.org/fewer-people-going-back-to-jail-recidivism-rates-drop-by-double-digits/

      Delete
    14. So it turns out Trump's support amongst African Americans is abysmal. Say what?

      Stelter: How Trump's false claim about African American support happened

      Dig deeper and you find Trump's support is weakening all around. Gallup has Trump down again this week, his approval/disapproval is at 39/56 nearing his all time low.

      Delete
    15. 1:58 -- the "so what" is that Democrats normally get more than 90% of the black vote. If that dropped to 70%, that would be significant.

      That CNN article failed to mention that more than one polls showed Trump's popularity among blacks had risen. E.g., the NAACP poll showed 21%.

      I don't know how to reconcile the various conflicting polls. I guess we'll have to wait for an actual election to find out.

      Delete
    16. Don't kid yourself about David in Cal. In a year or two, he'll be here writing about how Trump was never a Republican, and his Trump Derangement Syndrome will dwarf that of any and all of the liberals he's been gas-lighting here since 2016.
      Let's just say I can see the future (and the past. Remember, they did the same with George W. Bush.)
      David, what piece of attire will you don to make believe you never heard of Trump? The tri-cornered hat schtick has already been used.

      Delete
    17. Trump's approval amongst African Americans has stayed under 10% as dozens of polls indicate, the two outlier polls showing slightly higher approval both have severe problems with methodology, the one poll openly admitted it.

      Whoops oh Lordy:

      White House wrongly claims Trump created more jobs for black Americans than Obama did

      Delete
  6. I believe that Republican leaders said this on the night of Obama's innaguration.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thoughtful, well-reasoned arguments. You're such a deep thinker.

      Delete
  7. Republicans did express sentiments like the ones she attributes falsely to McConnell after Obama’s first inauguration:

    https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/04/25/robert-draper-anti-obama-campaign_n_1452899.html

    ReplyDelete
  8. According to Joe Biden, McConnell did express such sentiments in 2008:

    "Now Greg Sargent at The Plum Line is sounding the alarm over a revelation in “The New New Deal” by Grunwald. Vice President Joe Biden told the author that during the transition, “seven different Republican Senators” told him that “McConnell had demanded unified resistance.” This was after the 2008 election but before Obama and Biden took office.

    “The way it was characterized to me was: `For the next two years, we can’t let you succeed in anything. That’s our ticket to coming back,’ ” Biden says.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-partisan/post/republicans-had-it-in-for-obama-before-day-1/2012/08/10/

    ReplyDelete
  9. Have you ever watched blessed spirits dance?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oou2ywIbRxc

    ReplyDelete
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