BREAKING: The 1.27 percent solution!

SATURDAY, APRIL 18, 2020

And a favorite spot on the floor:
It's done on a daily basis. Last evening, twenty-one minutes in, the most logorrheic president in American history inevitably went there again.

The president had even better news to share about those N95 masks. As always, the news was incredible.

Roughly twenty-one minutes in, the commander in chief offered this:
TRUMP (4/17/20): The vaccines are coming along really, really well. Johnson and Johnson is very well advanced, and one thing is, they have to—we’re having great, great success, but we have to test them, and it takes a long period of time. It takes probably over a year, unfortunately. But therapies likewise are coming along very, very well. Therapies are immediate. When we get that, that’ll be a big day.

We’re also equipping our medical warriors on the front lines. In total, we have the Project Airbridge, and the Airbridge has been incredible. The National Strategic Stockpile, and every other channel the federal government has deployed—if you think about this, 44.5 million N95 masks, nearly 524 million gloves, 63.5 million surgical masks, and more than 10 million gowns. And we have 500 million masks coming in very soon, between manufacturing and orders. 500 million masks.
We've tried to punctuate fairly.

We'll confess that we do have one question. If the vaccines haven't been tested yet, how do we know that they're coming along really, really well—that Johnson and Johnson having great, great success?

Ditto, perhaps, for the therapies. They were said to be coming along very, very well.

Whatever! Today, we focus again on the N95 masks the commander-in-chief has provided. Their number now stands—"Think about this!"—at 44.5 million, the gobsmacked commander declared.

For today, we won't simply "think about" that very large number. We'll also provide a percentage—a percentage in which we attempt to compare masks provided to actual need.

We should have done that yesterday. Today, we'll finish the job.

In the passage posted above, the president was again engaged in The Gong-Show of Very Large Numbers. For over a month, he has staged this gong-show every day while a somnolent press corps looks on.

As we showed you yesterday,
the president cited other incredible numbers earlier in this past week. On Tuesday, he said this:
TRUMP (4/14/20): My administration is also distributing vast amounts of medical supplies to states across the country through Project Air Bridge, which has been an amazing success...It’s logistically incredible what they’ve done. And we’ve also been working on this with the military. And these people have been—the genius of all of them together, it has been incredible to watch.

In total, through all channels, the federal government has developed and delivered 39.4 million N95 masks, 431 million gloves, 57 million surgical masks, and 10.2 million gowns. We ordered 500 million masks, and they’ll be coming shortly. And we’ve distributed 100 million masks.
It was incredible and amazing. In total, through all channels, the federal government had developed and delivered 39.4 million N95 masks!

As of last evening, the number had risen to 44.5 million. Inevitably, that sounded like a very large number of N95 masks—but as before, it happened again:

The president cited the number of N95 masks which had been provided. He forgot to tell us how many N95 masks will be needed before this is done.

How many N95 masks will our health care workers need? As we showed you yesterday, a Trump official testified in early March that we would need something like 3.5 billion such masks.

As of last night, the commander in chief said that he had provided 44.5 million such masks. We did the math, and we now announce the result:

Based upon the numbers provided, the commander has provided a truly incredible 1.2714 percent of the masks we were told we would need! We are going to round that down to 1.27 percent.

Question:

Will we really need 3.5 billion N95 masks before this ordeal is over? We have no idea. Nor do we know if the commander in chief has provided the number he claims.

We do know this—while his number does sound very large, it may be a drop in the bucket. And even though he has performed this gong-show over and over and over again, no one in our slumbering press corps has ever pursued this amazingly basic point.

We're speaking of the slumbering children who defer to the commander in various ways at his daily briefings. We're speaking of the major newspapers which fail to pursue such basic points.

We're speaking of the cable news channels which have presented reports about shortages of protective gear in hospitals without pursuing the question raised by the president's very large numbers. We're speaking of people like Joe and Mika, who rant and rail every morning but can't deal with something like this.

This gong-show has been performed in the face of the upper-end press corps day after day after day, edging ever further into prime time. How do our news orgs react?

They keep airing this silly prime-time mess. They fail to fact-check or clarify even this blindingly obvious, deeply important matter.

This daily gong-show of very large numbers is an obvious propaganda tool. Along with many other daily monologues, it's an obvious part of the commander's re-election campaign.

It doesn't provide useful information. Indeed, absent assessments of likely need, these blindingly stupid recitations are baldly misleading—but our news orgs let them go.

The woods are lovely, dark and deep. We were never "the rational animal."

Anthropology lessons continue next week. We still owe you a list of the actions our major news orgs should take.

On a happier note:
We've been reading Aljean Harmetz's 1992 book, The Making of Casablanca. Here's why:

We've long marveled at the enduring appeal of a movie which wasn't designed to be a great film. How did this accident actually happen? And what makes this film seem so deep?

We think we can answer your sensible questions! Let's hope we get to discuss the topic some day, even as we continue our letters to our 9-year-old kids.

Regarding the latter matter, we apologize for our suspension of service. Immersion in those daily briefings, and in the press corps' reaction to same, makes it hard to flip a switch and think about loftier topics.

By the way, Anne Frank also had a favorite tree. Somehow, she even persisted in having a favorite spot on the floor. One translation:
I go to the attic almost every morning to get the stale air out of my lungs. This morning when I went there, Peter was busy cleaning up. He finished quickly and came over to where I was sitting on my favorite spot on the floor. The two of us looked out at the blue sky, the bare chestnut tree glistening with dew, the seagulls and other birds glinting with silver as they swooped through the air, and we were so moved and entranced that we couldn't speak...I also looked out the open window, letting my eyes roam over a large part of Amsterdam, over the rooftops and on to the horizon, a strip of blue so pale it was almost invisible.

"As long as this exists," I thought, "this sunshine and this cloudless sky, and as long as I can enjoy it, how can I be sad?"
Compare to Thoreau's "delight," as recalled last week. Especially under the circumstances, such a miraculous state of being deserves full exploration.

As before, so too today—we strongly recommend Francine Prose's 2010 book, Anne Frank: The Book, The Life, The Afterlife. It's one of the best books we've ever read, one of the most revealing.

93 comments:

  1. Somerby explains that slumbering children can't evaluate big numbers. Then he tells us an even bigger number, representing the estimated need for masks. And then he tells us that if that much larger number is provided, it will mean something to people listening to the president's rants.

    That 3.5 billion estimate is for need over a period of time. It is good to tell us what the need is, but you need to include the time period, not just the total number of masks required. I believe it was 4 months. Further, if you are going to estimate the shortfall, you need to include the masks already in the hands of health care providers, the ones in addition to those the president is digging up. Then compare that to 25% of the 3.5 billion, since only 1 of those 4 months has passed since the testimony to congress. To be fair...

    But Somerby has no desire to be accurate about estimating the shortfall. He is just pissing on reporters for asking different questions than he thinks are most relevant (judging by his constant complaints about those ratty reporters).

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You're calling me an idiot? Now, that would have hurt my feelings if I had any.

      DinC might be a troll, pretending to be a feral Trumper just to set off people like mm. Trumpers have no bottom, so it's impossible to effectively parody them.

      Delete
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  2. Another informative article about masks:

    “Why We’re Running Out of Masks”
    https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/04/why-were-running-out-of-masks-in-the-coronavirus-crisis/609757/

    (In reality, it seems as though there’s quite a lot of useful information out there.)

    From the article:

    “But the stockpile was never intended to be the nation’s great savior. It wasn’t supposed to provide all of the nation’s medical-supply needs for a multi-month pandemic. Congress never doled out enough money for it to do so. Instead, the officials who monitored the national stockpile were hopeful that hospitals were making their own stockpiles. But to save money, they largely weren’t. In that context, the skimpy mask supply in the Strategic National Stockpile is not the thing that derailed the American response to COVID-19. Rather, it’s one of a series of planning failures that created the crisis we’re in today.”

    Kadlec’s answer about the 3.5 billion masks was in response to a question about the Strategic National Stockpile, which had 1% of the hypothetical number needed.

    That said, all of the coverage shows how the needs aren’t being met by the federal government and how states are having to go it alone. The coverage doesn’t fail simply because they (purportedly) don’t mention a single hypothetical number of masks that would be “needed” in a full-blown pandemic as determined by a 2015 NIH projection. There are lots of unknowns surrounding the current outbreak.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. "There are lots of unknowns surrounding the current outbreak."

      Not according to deadrat.

      Delete
    2. There are plenty of unknowns, Anonymous Ignoramus @1:24P. According to me, it's just not unknowns all the way down. We have plenty of data from across the world to allow us to make reasonable plans.

      Now piss off.

      Delete
    3. Those goalposts must get heavy.

      Delete
    4. Only if were trying to move them. Here's what I said yesterday:

      Take her [Corby's] point 1: we are “modeling the growth of a pandemic involving a virus whose characteristics” we “know little about.” But that’s not true. It’s Corby who knows little about the virus, or just about anything else, as far as I can tell. Scientists and medical professionals know quite a bit about COVID-19.

      There are many things we don’t know, but these have to do with the failure to obtain adequate data from testing (the inputs to the models), and not, for the most part, the models themselves.


      Now will you piss off?

      Delete
    5. @deadrat:

      How are you saying anything substantially different from Corby?

      There may be generic models that predict the behavior of viruses, such as seasonal flu, which can be used or adapted for sars-cov-2. But the models, as you point out, only work if you know the values to plug into them. And that is precisely what we don’t yet know about sars-cov-2.

      When you say we don’t yet have enough data to plug into the models, that is saying there is much we don’t yet know about this novel Coronavirus, which is what Corby was saying.

      Delete
    6. For deadrat:

      https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/4/19/1937848/--What-we-thought-we-knew-we-don-t-know-doctors-say-of-COVID-19

      Delete
    7. Thank you. This is a kos diary based on a NYT article reporting on anecdotal evidence from doctors treating COVID-19. Apparently, there is evidence that respirators may not be the best option for people suffering from severe respiratory distress from COVID-2. This is counter-intuitive, considering the experience with patients suffering from other acute respiratory syndromes.

      What’s your point?

      From all the chaff in the air, I suspect you’re still frantically building the straw man that I believe we know everything about the current pandemic.

      But you tell me.

      Delete
    8. It isn't only anecdotal evidence from doctors. Talking Points Memo has been following this as it has appeared in medical journals specializing in pulmonary care.

      The point is that you keep saying there is not much unknown about this virus, while those working on the front lines, medically speaking, have been discovering quite a few new things. One that came up just this week is that the virus doesn't only affect the lungs but is also doing kidney damage in severe cases. Another piece of new information is that asthma doesn't seem to be an underlying condition affecting severity of a case.

      I don't have to build a straw man. You have been complaining at others who have said that quite a bit is unknown. It seems ridiculous to argue about how much is known vs unknown, as if it could be quantified and measured, so I must conclude that you are just trying to embarrass other people here, making trouble, and being a jerk. That doesn't help anything.

      The Kos Diary is interesting because it directly contradicts you, is spoken by a physician (who is thus much more qualified than you to talk about this stuff), and was timely for this spat. Every once in a while you go off and look something up, come back and write a paragraph about something everyone already understands, and say "see, you ignoramuses, I'm smart too." You'd be smarter if you didn't start these stupid disputes by attacking people like Corby and others for saying things you don't understand. Just because something they say goes over your head doesn't mean they can't read properly, missed Somerby's point (when they are stating their own points) or are necessarily wrong (because if they were right, you would of course understand them).

      So, stop writing disparaging comments about people who are pretty much saying the same thing as you say, even if you don't seem to recognize it because they didn't use the same words as you literally. It is OK to be neuro-atypical, but it is not OK to call other people names if they don't think and write the way you do.

      Delete
    9. It isn't only anecdotal evidence from doctors.

      That’s exactly what it is. Even the doctors will tell you that they’re so overwhelmed, there’s no time for controlled experiments. That doesn’t mean that the evidence is invalid. Try to focus.

      The point is that you keep saying there is not much unknown about this virus….

      No, I’m saying that there is quite a bit known about the virus. That doesn’t mean that there isn’t as well quite a bit unknown or erroneous. Please try to focus.

      You have been complaining at others who have said that quite a bit is unknown.

      No, I’ve been complaining about Corby when she says on April 17, 2020 at 12:15 PM that we’re dealing with a “virus whose characteristics [the indeterminate] you know little about.” Please, please try to focus.

      It seems ridiculous to argue about how much is known vs unknown, as if it could be quantified and measured,….

      But what we know can be quantified by measuring epidemiological stats against the models’ predictions.

      I must conclude that you are just trying to embarrass other people here, making trouble,….

      I think ignoramuses ought to be embarrassed at their ignorance. YMMV. And how much trouble can I make in the comment section of blog nobody reads, including the blogger?

      … and being a jerk.

      OK, fair cop. What’s your point?

      The Kos Diary is interesting because it directly contradicts you,….

      This is the chaff I talk about. Never do I claim that we know everything about the pandemic. We know quite a bit. We’re in the dark about quite a bit. And we’ll find out that some of our assumptions and conclusions are wrong. That’s how science works. Stop saying that I’ve claimed otherwise.

      Every once in a while you go off and look something up, come back and write a paragraph about something everyone already understands, and say "see, you ignoramuses, I'm smart too.”

      Yeah, excuse me for checking my claims (which I wouldn’t have to make and document if everyone “already understands”). Quite the character flaw.

      And whaddya mean “too”?

      .You'd be smarter if you didn't start these stupid disputes by attacking people like Corby….

      I’m sorry you find these disputes stupid [he lied], but stop saying I’m attacking Corby. I think her arguments are often based on prejudice and illogic. I don’t have anything to say about her personally. If she doesn’t want me to ridicule her comments, she should stop posting ridiculous things. Things like “we know little about the virus.”

      If I don’t understand something, explain where I’m wrong. Call me ignorant when I’m wrong. I promise I’ll hold up under your disapproval. But you can’t even get my position correct.

      If something goes over my head, tell me what I’ve missed. But all you’ve done is complain about my abrasive style.

      So, stop writing disparaging comments about people who are pretty much saying the same thing as you say, even if you don't seem to recognize it because they didn't use the same words as you literally.

      Sorry, but if you think Corby and I are saying the same things in different words, you’re suffering from a Corby-level of inability to read for comprehension.

      It is OK to be neuro-atypical, but it is not OK to call other people names if they don't think and write the way you do.

      Oh, great. Another diagnoser from afar. Ask Corby about the ethical propriety of that.

      People don’t have to think and write the way I do. But they have to get their facts straight and make their logic coherent. The way I do. If you think I’ve failed in that endeavor, detail where I’ve gone wrong, and if you’re right and I’m not, I’ll post an “I stand corrected” comment.

      But your whining about my making trouble and being unhelpful and being a jerk and being “disparaging” (not to mention being autistic) is just a long complaint about your being offended by my manner. To which I’ll say again, “What’s your point?”

      Now why don’t you try understanding my actual position and we can talk from there?

      Delete
    10. You don't have one.

      Delete
    11. So, no substantive reply then. Imagine my surprise.

      What have we been talking about if it isn't my position on how much we know about COVID-2?

      Delete
  3. "And what makes this film [Casablanca] seem so deep?"

    I find the movie emotionally satisfying, but I wouldn't call it deep. I wish Somerby had talked about the movie instead of Anne Frank, who is right up there with Malala in his tendency to endow children with more depth that they ever intended or likely felt.

    In my experience, when someone says "...as long as I can enjoy it, how can I be sad?" they are not saying that they aren't sad. They are expressing sadness and noting the inconsistency between their own sadness and the beauty or oblivious sunshine of the world around them. I don't know what Anne Frank was feeling, obviously, but neither does Somerby. He is once again, using a quote from a famous person to validate his own expressions. Some people might read Anne Frank's writing to find out what she was like, what she experienced. Others read it to see their own thoughts and feelings mirrored back to them, selectively choosing that which they resonate to and ignoring the rest. Anne Frank has been used by humanity for a variety of purposes. It is easy to forget that she was an unfortunate girl trapped in a life she didn't choose. Maybe Somerby is sitting on his deck, gazing at his pear tree, identifying with Frank's captivity and feeling both tragic and heroic. We can identify with that, even if we have plenty to eat and aren't being imprisoned, don't have to sit in perfect silence to avoid discovery, aren't Jewish and won't be sent to our death in a boxcar by Nazi ghouls.

    Somerby is so deep!

    ReplyDelete
  4. Well. Lovely post, Bob. After reading your post and perusing my memories, I could not help but weep, just a small bit. A small tributary to the river of tears.

    Leroy

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think Somerby has found his audience!

      Delete

    2. Same here, Leroy. We shouldn’t underestimate this time, as compared to past troubled eras, because ours is not the stuff of movies and books yet.

      My daughter and I were facetiming the other evening and talking about something or another, when simultaneously, eerily, the waterworks started with both of us.

      Her dad doesn't do that situation well and blurted, "Goddamnit! We're going to Disney World when this thing is over!" (as though our daughter is six). Blubbering to laughter in ten seconds.

      Our blue sky.

      Delete
    3. What a touching story, en famille séparé, as it were. No tears of regret, then?

      Pity, but early days yet.

      Delete
    4. I've bawled like a baby since we've parted.

      She can make a terrific martinis since I taught her when she was five.

      I sure miss that kid.

      Delete
    5. Cecelia is so deep!

      Delete
    6. en famille séparé, as it were.

      WTF Deadrat

      Delete
  5. Stockpiling creates innefficiences.
    You have to break à new eggs To made a shirt sandwich.
    Trump is an excellent chef.

    ReplyDelete
  6. If you have no idea whether we really need 3.5 billion masks, then you have no right to assert that 44 million masks is 1.27 percent of the masks we need.
    Mr Somersby, you want to have it both ways : you claim not to know something, and then you claim that someone other than you who doesn't know is incompetent.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Another commenter who can’t be bothered to read what TDH writes. Have you met Prof. Corby, yet? I’ll bet the two of you will get along famously.

      No, TDH didn’t “assert that 44 million masks is 1.27 percent of the masks we need. Here’s what he actually wrote:

      Based upon the numbers provided, the commander has provided a truly incredible 1.2714 percent of the masks we were told we would need!.
      Emphasis mine.

      But I’m really fascinated with this:

      [Y]ou claim not to know something, and then you claim that someone other than you who doesn't know is incompetent.

      Apparently, this is a big no-no in your book. Try these on for size:

      I don’t know how to perform an appendectomy, but I’m gonna claim that the surgeon is incompetent if he also didn’t know and therefore botched my operation.

      I don’t know how to fly a jet, but I’m gonna claim that the pilot is incompetent if he doesn’t know how to read instruments and thereby crashes the plane.

      I don’t know legal procedure, but I’m gonna claim that my lawyer is incompetent if he doesn’t either and therefore misses a crucial deadline that costs me my case.

      See a pattern?

      TDH asks

      Will we really need 3.5 billion N95 masks before this ordeal is over? We have no idea. Nor do we know if the commander in chief has provided the number he claims. We do know this — … no one in our slumbering press corps has ever pursued this amazingly basic point.

      It’s not TDH’s job to know these numbers. It’s reporters’.

      Say hi to Corby for me.

      Delete
    2. No, it isn't the reporters job to know these numbers. It is their job to ask knowledgeable people about them and report what they say.

      Abusing other people because you dislike Corby is also wrong. People here are responsible for what they say, not whatever you conceive to be Corby's mistakes. mmeo went to the trouble of using a nym so you wouldn't confuse him or her with anyone else, but you apparently can't read yourself, since you ignore the nym and misuse mmeo to rant against Corby. Pretty ugly, even for you.

      Delete
    3. No, it isn't the reporters job to know these numbers. It is their job to ask knowledgeable people about them and report what they say.

      OK, maybe I wasn’t exact enough. But it isn’t the reporters’ job to ask people and report what they say. It’s to ask people, and confirm what they say. Too much of former and not enough of the latter is part of TDH’s complaint.

      Better now?

      Abusing other people because you dislike Corby is also wrong.

      I don’t like or dislike Corby because I don’t know her. And you have a very low bar for abuse. Since I’ve repeatedly demonstrated that what she writes is often error ridden and generally makes little sense, what’s the problem? My manner?

      “Yeah, I’ve had complaints about it, but it keeps getting worse.”

      People here are responsible for what they say, not whatever you conceive to be Corby's mistakes.

      I’m not sure, Anonymous @8:11P, that anyone can be responsible for what they write when they hide behind anonymity. Quelle ironie, eh? But what does your sentence above even mean? That I’m saying that mmeo is responsible for Corby’s mistakes? That’s not what I’m saying. I’m just saying their claims are on the same level of absurdity.

      mmeo went to the trouble of using a nym

      It’s hardly any trouble, and it’s only common courtesy. Should I have thanked mmeo?

      you ignore the nym and misuse mmeo to rant against Corby.

      I didn’t ignore mmeo. I actually quoted him (or her) and disputed the reasoning. How is that ignoring mmeo? If you’d read my comment, you’d know that less than 10% of it mentioned Corby. The rest is directed at mmeo. And how is “Say hi to Corby for me” a rant against her?

      Pretty ugly, even for you.

      Beauty is in the eye of the beholder. If you think people are responsible for what they write here, then I fail to see how you can deny that commenters are duty bound to take criticism of their comments.

      A good rule of thumb is not to take more offense, especially preemptively, on behalf of people than they themselves take.

      Unless you’re mmeo and you’ve dropped the nym.

      Then never mind.

      Delete
    4. How exactly are reporters supposed to "confirm" the numbers an expert gives them when that person is the one who ought to know, or in a situation where no one knows definite answers, such as with a new virus whose characteristics are largely unknown. If you think this is what TDH means, both of you are being unreasonable.

      Can you stick to a topic and not wander off into personal attacks on people who didn't write this comment?

      Delete
    5. I can’t tell whether you’re just trolling me or whether you’re desperate to find fault with me because you don’t like my manner of commenting.

      How exactly are reporters supposed to confirm the numbers an expert gives them…[?]

      Are you fucking kidding me with this? I’d recommend that you read Robert Caro’s book Working or I’d offer to give you a detailed if hypothetical example, but I’m having a hard time believing that you’re that unfamiliar with investigative journalism.

      a new virus whose characteristics are largely unknown.

      This isn’t a new virus. It’s a novel strain of a family of viruses that scientists have studied for over 50 years. The characteristics of the biochemistry and bioactivity of COVID-2 are largely known. The Chinese sequenced the genome of the virus and shared that result in February.

      The epidemiology of COVID-19 is hardly unknown. We have a wealth of data from across the entire world, and this pandemic may be adequately modeled using several approaches, including by the SIR/SEIR models that have been in use for almost a century.

      This doesn’t mean that there aren’t major things we don’t know. We don’t know if the virus is susceptible to vaccines. Or whether an infection confers immunity, and if it does, for how long immunity lasts. In this country, we don’t have a good idea of the actual number of infections. All of these ignorances mean that no ones knows “definite” answers to certain questions. Questions like, “How long will the shut-downs have to last to bring the disease under control.” But that doesn’t mean no one can get any useful answers to any questions.

      Especially questions that require no medical information at all, like, “When you say you’ve distributed 500M N-95 masks, how do I know you’re telling me the truth?”

      If you don’t think I can stick to a topic, then you’ve not actually been reading my comments. At least not for comprehension. And if you think I’m “wandering” off into personal attacks because I harshly criticize the professor for being inaccurate and illogical, then you don’t understand what a personal attack is.

      If you’re merely offended by the harshness of my comments, I’ll respond the way Richard Dawkins does in quoting Christopher Hitchens: “I’m still waiting to hear your point.”

      Delete
    6. So, you expect reporters to become epidemiologists (while also being experts in every other field they are asked to report on), while accepting no statements as truthful by anyone they interview (even experts who ought to know). That isn't realistic when Somerby calls for it, nor is it when you demand it.

      Investigative journalism is a subfield of journalism that involves rooting out corruption and scandal. It isn't concerned with verifying every statement made by a public official at a press conference.

      These days of financial turmoil for the media have resulted in massive layoffs of staff. Few journalists have time to engage in investigative journalism, much less the kind of fact-checking you think should be routine.

      And to paraphrase Dawkins, we're still waiting for you to make your own points instead of snarking at everyone else.

      Delete
    7. So, you expect reporters to become epidemiologists (while also being experts in every other field they are asked to report on)….

      I expect reporters to become reasonably familiar with the topics they report about.

      while accepting no statements as truthful by anyone they interview (even experts who ought to know).

      While being reasonably skeptical of anything people say in an interview. As the journalistic saw goes, “If your mother tells you she loves you, check it out.”

      That isn't realistic when Somerby calls for it, nor is it when you demand it.

      What isn’t realistic is taking my position to such an extreme that it isn’t my position.

      Investigative journalism is a subfield of journalism that involves rooting out corruption and scandal. It isn't concerned with verifying every statement made by a public official at a press conference.

      Every important statement made by a public official should be verified. That’s the reporters’ job.

      These days of financial turmoil for the media have resulted in massive layoffs of staff. Few journalists have time to engage in investigative journalism, much less the kind of fact-checking you think should be routine.

      I’m not saying it’s easy. I’m not saying it’s always possible. You’ve mistaken an explanation for an excuse.

      And to paraphrase Dawkins, we're still waiting for you to make your own points instead of snarking at everyone else.

      I can’t imagine Dawkins said anything close to that, but maybe that’s just your delicate sense of humor.

      I’ve just made my own points on the proper role of journalists, and you’re not happy with that.

      This is a comment section on somebody else’s blog. Thus the reason I comment on what’s written by the blogger and his commentariat. I snark here for my own amusement, which means I don’t take assignments from you or any of the rest of the cohort of Anonymous Ignoramuses. If you want to know what I think about a particular topic — and I can’t imagine why you would — go ahead and ask. I’ll probably answer.

      If you want to read the details of all “my own points,” go and read my blog. Oh, wait. I don’t have one. Never mind.

      Delete
    8. "I snark here for my own amusement,"

      Yes. deadrat isn't a troll, like Mao or David in Cal., who snark here for their own amusement.

      Delete
  7. Breaking news
    Pence is out as veep for 2020 élection. Grim reaper now in. David also in running for SS-Obersturmbannfuhrer

    ReplyDelete
  8. In David's case it's the "Stupidity of Evil"

    ReplyDelete
  9. "If the vaccines haven't been tested yet, how do we know that they're coming along really"

    Whoa. As a maniacal watcher of dembot cable shows you certainly must know the answer, dear Bob: 'the experts say so'.

    "Will we really need 3.5 billion N95 masks before this ordeal is over? We have no idea."

    Of course you don't, dear Bob, and neither does anyone else. So, what compels you to bring it up, this bullshit, every 5 seconds?

    "It doesn't provide useful information."

    Experts provide (or could provide) useful information. What the Commanders do, dear Bob, is rallying the troops and raising morale. Is this a revelation for you? If so, you may want to get out more, dear Bob, together with those anthropologists living in a cave inside your head.

    ReplyDelete
  10. Bad ma0 ma0.
    You forgot to check the
    "I'm not a cum-drunk, jizz-gargling, trumptard troll" before posting

    ReplyDelete
  11. The China ban, vent'lators and beds are the three most important pieces to reducing the number dead, and President Trump has delivered all three, a miracle on the last two. The first perhaps the most important, saving up to 10 million American lives. Trump instinctively made the right call to the disgruntlement of Democrats.

    Just think of it. Up to 10 million more dead Americans if we had a President Hillary, because she would have virtue signaled she did not intend to enact a "racist" ban.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Going forward, testing is needed. Also, you are ignoring the need of health care workers to protect themselves using PPE (masks, gowns, gloves, face shields). Without this gear, medical staff become sick and then there is insufficient staff to care for sick people.

      You seem to be only focusing on the things you think Trump has done well with and ignoring the part that Trump dropped the ball on.

      I think Hillary would have tested people coming off flights from China so she could quarantine those infected. Trump let Americans returning to the USA walk off those planes without questioning or testing.

      Delete
    2. Meh. The psycho-witch would've started a massive nuclear war long before any of this. No testing, no virus, just a bunch of radioactive ruins. Another (hypothetical) zombie success story...

      Delete
    3. Hillary would have granstanded about the deplorables pressuring her to close the border while causing the deaths of millions as a result.

      This is not an exaggeration. It's what she would have done.

      Delete
    4. I'm pretty sure, however, that even in this dramatic situation she wouldn't be as great an actor as her fake husband Bubba, with his lip-biting, tearful eyes, and quivering voice. "I feel your pain". Bob's perfect Commander.

      Tsk. He was a real drama queen. She is just a garden variety soros-dembot.

      Delete
  12. DinC,
    The racism shines through.
    Obama, Obama, Obama.
    Republicans: The party of responsibility.

    DinC to Trump: Shall I wash your dick Sir?

    ReplyDelete
  13. Mao to Trump: Shall I suck your cock Sir?

    ReplyDelete
  14. Bob denigrates mere raw numbers. But, such numbers are more than some organizations provide. We are debating the value of WHO. But, we have no numbers at all of what they have achieved.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Obama made him do it.
      Right DinC?
      DinC: Shall I wash your dick Sir?

      Delete
    2. Trump is not a failure in dealing with the virus. This is a myth that liberals hope to convince people of by repetition.

      If you watched yesterday's White House presser, you would have learned that per capita death rate in the US is much lower than most European countries. The US is not the best. South Korea, Japan, Canada, Norway and some others are better than the US. But, the US is better than Belgium, Portugal, Spain, Italy, France, Netherlands, Switzerland, and Sweden.

      Delete
    3. I find it hard to believe that people like the Gates Foundation and The MacArthur Foundation or even the Clinton Foundation would donate large sums of money to an organization without vetting it's effectiveness first. The staff of those foundations exists to hold such organizations accountable.

      Also there is this: https://www.who.int/about/what-we-do/evaluation

      And this, which is part of their work product (what they exist to measure):
      https://www.who.int/gho/publications/world_health_statistics/2019/en/

      Delete
    4. You fucking chud. Now its per capita but with testing it's raw number.

      Delete
    5. "Trump is not a failure in dealing with the virus."

      39,158 people would say otherwise, if they were still alive.

      Delete
    6. "If you watched yesterday's White House presser, you would have learned that per capita death rate in the US is much lower than most European countries. "

      So, they cancel the Olympics so idiots like David engage in this sick competitive nonsense. There is no prize for staying under 100,000 DEATHS. Out of curiosity, are sociopaths attracted to actuarial jobs, David?

      Delete
    7. I put these search terms into Google: trump expression sympathy victims covid

      First I got back an expression of sympathy by the President of Israel. Then an expression of sympathy by the President of France. Then a Guardian article about Trump's evasion of criticism and sarcastic sympathy to NY. Then on Feb 29, Trump (with Pence and others) expressed sympathy and condolences), nothing more recent. The next item is a tweet in which Trump expressed sympathy to China and its leader. Then an article from Mar 18 about how a real president would speak to the people.

      And so on. Our president apparently doesn't know how to behave like a normal human being, nor like the leader of a country in crisis. Not only doesn't he care about deaths (except in terms of his own reelection campaign) but he doesn't know how to pretend to care either. He cannot comfort a stressed and grieving nation. And things are going to get worse before they get better. May 1 is not an all-clear date.

      Delete
    8. "But, the US is better than Belgium, Portugal, Spain, Italy, France, Netherlands, Switzerland, and Sweden."

      Dear David,
      The US did alright, but the death rate is only one characteristic to compare, and it's not even a very good one.

      By this logic, the government of Wyoming is perfect and the government of New York is outright criminal.

      Personally, I much prefer the way Sweden is dealing with it.

      But then the liberal-zombie establishment in the US would've never allowed it: their objective is to worsen the situation as much as possible, and use the devastation for defeating Our Beloved Commander in November.

      Delete
    9. David, do you have any idea of the enormity of the disaster we are experiencing? How's the unemployment rate going?

      The battle to prevent Americans from understanding what went on January to April is going to be one of the biggest propaganda and freedom of information fights in modern US history.
      https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2020/04/politics/trump-covid-response-annotation/ … So much has come out about it that confusion will have to made massive.

      Delete
    10. AnonymousApril 19, 2020 at 11:31 AM
      You have a good point. I looked up the per capita virus tests. The US is not way up there. It's somewhere in the middle.

      Delete
    11. Here is Andrew Cuomo's opinion of Trump's performance:

      https://www.rev.com/blog/transcripts/andrew-cuomo-new-york-covid-19-briefing-transcript-april-17

      Delete
    12. mm - Trump critics have a double standard.

      When media unfairly criticize Trump by comparing US death rates to South Korea alone, they call that good reporting.

      When Trump corrects that report, pointing out that the US is actually doing a lot better than many comparable countries, they call that propaganda.

      Delete
    13. Trump wasn't correcting any report. He was bragging. South Korea is what we could do with proper response. Comparing the US to some of the worst countries is saying "it could be worse" not explaining why it isn't better.

      Delete
    14. Another appropriate correction in Trump's presentation was that China's figures are unreliable. This should be so obvious as to not need mentioning. However, the New York Times and other media have produced exhibits that take the Chinese numbers at face value.

      Delete
    15. David, you're a goddam fool.
      Any credit to be given for holding the mortality total down to 40000 and counting goes to the state governors who acted while Donald J Chickenshit, Acting President, was paralyzed with indecision and fear.
      Talk about double standards, trump wants to take credit for doing nothing until forced to, then goes to declare that each individual state should decide when to open up, while simultaneously inciting insurrection in democratic states while at the same time declaring each state is responsible for their own testing, which is the critical component to allowing states to relax the shutdown.

      One thing Donald J Chickenshit can take credit for, is bankrupting the hardest hit states like NY by forcing them to compete against each other and FEMA for critical needed ventilators and PPE. You really are a horse's ass, David.

      Delete
  15. "If the vaccines haven't been tested yet, how do we know that they're coming along really, really well—that Johnson and Johnson having great, great success?"

    We don't. But we do know that Woody Johnson was a major donor to Trump in 2016. And whattayaknow, another election is coming soon.

    ReplyDelete
  16. According to the NIH study:
    (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25878300/)
    “Assuming that 20% to 30% of the population would become ill, 1.7 to 3.5 billion respirators would be needed in the base case scenario,”

    That’s 65,640,000 to 98,460,000 people in this scenario.

    Currently, the US has 738,923 cases of Covid-19.

    That’s nowhere near 20 to 30% of the population.

    Perhaps the 3.5 billion figure is way off.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You know what they say, "Hope for the best, prepare for the best!"

      Delete
    2. The IHME people liken their models to weather forecasts.

      I guess that means that they must be retooled as factors change.

      Delete
  17. Hey, deadrat. Just so you know:
    The virus is called sars-cov-2.

    The disease it causes is called Covid-19.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Piglet: "How do you spell love?"
    Pooh: "You don't spell it. You feel it."

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. This is kind of like the liar's paradox. If you spell it, does that mean you don't feel it? If you can't spell it are you feeling it too much? Is Pooh's statement obviously untrue because Piglet did spell "love"? Does talking about love ruin it? Extra Credit question: Why does this conversation make emotional sense but not literal sense?

      Do you suppose Somerby will discuss this on Monday?

      Delete
    2. I think paradoxes are generally viewed as nonsensical. Not merely unrealistic, but unreality.

      Delete
    3. It’s kind of like the liar’s paradox in the sense that it bears no resemblance to it. The liar’s paradox is “This sentence is false.” If you assume the sentence is true, then it’s false; and if you assume the sentence is false, then it’s true. The problem is that the antecedent of “This” is the sentence you haven’t finished reading yet, and this self-referentiality leads to a problem if you’re operating under the assumption that every grammatical sentence must be either true or false.

      The Pooh-ism rests on the ambiguity of the antecedent “it.” Piglet’s neuter pronoun refers to a word; Pooh’s, to an emotion. This (non-)paradox is easily resolved:

      Piglet: How do you spell the word love?
      Pooh: You don’t spell the emotion love. You feel the emotion love.
      Piglet: Oh, fuck off.

      The conversation makes both emotional and literal sense.

      Do you suppose Somerby will give me the Extra Credit on Monday?

      Delete
    4. Literal to the freaking end.

      Delete
    5. You entirely missed the parody of Somerby. It went whoosh right over your head. Instead, you interpret the words "kind of like" as "exactly like" then argue against your own transformation.

      Go look up the definition of paradox. It ranges from a logical paradox to a puzzling quandary. There is no definition that makes your criticism correct.

      You take an innocent character in a child's book and put ugly words in his mouth, then say "just kidding". You ruin whatever you touch.

      Yesterday I could comment as anonymous, today I cannot again. I wonder what changed overnight?

      Delete
    6. You entirely missed the parody of Somerby. It went whoosh right over your head.

      Absolutely correct. It never occurred to me that you were doing parody.

      Now explaining a joke kinda ruins the experience, but since I already missed the point, perhaps you could explain exactly how this parodies TDH. Because I still don’t see it. TDH is capable of spouting a lot of nonsense, especially when it comes to mathematics and formal logic, but I don’t see him yammering on about a play on words.

      Which is all the Pooh story is. It’s not a logical paradox and it’s not a puzzling quandary. Unless you’re so dim that you don’t understand Abbott and Costello’s “Who’s on first?” routine.

      And quit telling me what I think. I didn’t interpret “kind of like” as “exactly like.” I said that your comparison is “nothing like.” Sorry if I missed the humor.

      I talked to Piglet this morning. He knocked back the rest of his first scotch of the day, took a drag on his cigaret, and so help me, blew a perfect smoke ring and said, “Tell Corby to haul herself off the fainting couch and pull the stick out of her ass.”

      True story.

      Your commenting experiences are odd. When you tried and failed to comment as anonymous, what was blogspot’s response? Did you get an error message? What happened to the text in the reply box? Were you signed in with your ID? Did you try refreshing the page?

      Delete
  19. "We'll confess that we do have one question. If the vaccines haven't been tested yet, how do we know that they're coming along really, really well—that Johnson and Johnson having great, great success?"

    They have been developed and have been tested for safety, two HUGE hurdles, completed at a record pace.

    This kind of criticism only highlights what an outstanding job Trump is doing with every element of this issue.

    ReplyDelete
  20. Anyone who comes in contact with Trump regularly gets tested. Ergo that's enough testing for Trump.

    ReplyDelete
  21. Oh my oh my the WHO has a large contingent of Americans who were feeding the WH real time information.

    ReplyDelete
  22. Over at Lawyers Guns & Money blog, Erik Loomis describes a few supposed liberals (Bernie progressives?) who spend a lot of time complaining because progressives don't appeal enough to "The Others" (no, he doesn't call them that, he says "Republicans").

    https://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2020/04/hot-takes-get-your-fake-leftist-hot-takes-here

    Loomis begins his essay:

    "These are heady times for idiots who pretend to be on the left but are actually just privileged and aggrieved white men who act like privileged and aggrieved white men so often act."

    In my opinion, Somerby belongs on his list.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The issue isn't cultural insularity but class indifference. And Daily Howler does recognize that. He talks about poor students, he talks about wealthy news anchors.

      Stoller is a little smarter than Tracey who is basically a madlibs machine. But they both really just love hippie punching.

      Delete
  23. The only way this virus can be stopped is with a massive tax cut for the oligarchs.

    ReplyDelete
  24. On John Oliver's show tonight, he showed a clip of Rush Limbaugh talking about "The Four Corners of Deceit" which are: Government, Academia, Science, and the Media. Is it a coincidence that Somerby's blog here tends to be highly critical of first of all, the media, then academia, and he ignores and/or distorts science as frequently as Limbaugh, but he tends to give that fourth corner a pass. So, why is Somerby not attacking the government with the same vigor as the other three of Limbaugh's corners? Does it count as an attack on government when Somerby attacks the constitution by telling us we cannot use impeachment as a rememdy because it would undo an election? Or is it an attack on government when Somerby says we need to call the duly elected president "crazy" at every opportunity? I don't really think that's what Limbaugh means, but what kind of liberal in the length and breadth of liberaldom attacks Academia, the Media and Science on a regular basis? What kind of liberal is 75% congruent with Limbaugh's weirdness?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Is it a coincidence that Somerby's blog here tends to be highly critical of first of all, the media, then academia, and he ignores and/or distorts science….

      Kinda the “He has a mustache; Hitler had a mustache” school of criticism, isn’t it?

      And TDH loves Yuval Harari, and he’s a history professor at Hebrew University of Jerusalem.

      In any case, TDH isn’t down on science. He just hates popularizations of topics that he thinks are touted as paragons of clarity when they’re actually opaque.

      Does it count as an attack on government when Somerby attacks the constitution by telling us we cannot use impeachment as a remedy because it would undo an election?

      TDH writes that impeachment was a losing political tactic. How is that an attack on the Constitution?

      Or is it an attack on government when Somerby says we need to call the duly elected president "crazy" at every opportunity?

      It’s an attack on Trump. Justified or no, how is that an attack on the government?

      What kind of liberal is 75% congruent with Limbaugh's weirdness?

      What kind of a commenter thinks TDH has any congruence with Limbaugh?

      Delete
    2. "TDH writes that impeachment was a losing political tactic."

      The idea that you could find 20 Republicans who don' support treason against the United States of America, was caused by the media treating the GOP like a political party, rather than the criminal enterprise it, obviously, is.

      Delete
    3. TDH argued that impeachment would nullify the votes of those who supported Trump during the election.

      Delete
    4. Not so much an argument as a statement of fact. That's what impeachment does. By design. TDH's argument is that this fact would so alienate so many voters as to make impeachment a political disaster for Democrats.

      Delete
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