NEW NORMALS: It's hard to know how this story will end!

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 7, 2024

The world awaits news normals: We've been recalling what Viktor Laszlo says at one point in Casablanca.

Lazslo is an important, world-renowned freedom fighter. On the run from the Third Reich, he has landed in Casablanca—and, by happenstance, he has walked into a gin joint run by the sardonic man his beloved wife secretly loves.

The details of a complex love story slowly unfold from there. Midway through the film, Lazslo speaks frankly to the Bogart character, the man his beloved wife loves. 

Lazslo speaks to Mister Rick. When he does, he tells him this:

LAZSLO (1942): I know a good deal more about you than you suspect. I know, for instance, that you are in love with a woman.  It is perhaps a strange circumstance that we both should be in love with the same woman. 

The first evening I came into this cafe, I knew there was something between you and Ilsa. Since no one is to blame, I demand no explanation.

So says the freedom fighter, midway through the film 

By now, Lazslo has discerned the basic outline of what happened in Paris. He has asked his wife if she wants to tell him the story, but he hasn't insisted.

"No one is to blame," he now correctly says.

Casablanca places one of film's greatest love stories within the vastly larger context of a fight to save the world. The heroic Lazslo demands no explanation from the Bogart character. 

The brilliantly insightful story, leavened with spectacular uses of humor, continues on from there. With the help of the Bogart character, Lazslo escapes from Nazi-held Casablanca, still determined to save the world.

This very morning, we thought of what Lazslo said as we watched the Morning Joe gang giving voice to tribal regularity with respect to President Biden. 

President Biden has come under criticism for what happened this Tuesday. Early in Morning Joe's first hour, Mika demanded regularity from the Washington Post's Gene Robinson. 

We jotted down this part of their exchange:

MIKA (11/7/24): Was his presidency a failure?

ROBINSON: No. He was a very successful president.

In fairness to Robinson, Mika was plainly demanding that me make some such declaration.  Under the circumstances, Robinson may have felt that he pretty much had to comply.

That said, as in Casablanca, so too possibly here! In Casablanca, people like Lazslo (and his wife) were trying to save an existing world order as a slouching beast drew near. 

Imaginably, so too today, as the nation—and the world—await the highly likely unfolding of a whole new set of new normals.

What will President Trump do in this second term? There is no way to answer that question, Imaginably, though, prospects are remarkably dour.

In our view, major elements of President Biden's behavior helped bring us to this precarious place. That said, it seems to us that there's no one to blame—or at least, it seems to us that we can't blame President Biden himself, who seems to us to have undergone a loss of cognitive power.

Other people disagree with that assessment. To date, there has been virtually no attempt, within the mainstream press, to examine the question of President Biden's possible cognitive state.

Has the president been the victim of some sort of cognitive shortfall during his term in office? Is it possible that there was some attempt to hide some such state of affairs from the American public?

If you live in Red America, you've seen such assertions being made all through the past several years. If you live in Blue America, you've seen no attempt to address any such possible point of concern.

At some point, someone will probably venture forth with some reporting about this matter. We'll guess that Bob Woodward may be gathering information even as we speak—statements offered under embargo, awaiting some later release.

At present, some are saying that President Biden should have announced, after the 2022 midterm elections, that he wouldn't seek re-election. 

Our own frustration with the president's conduct is somewhat different. It involves his remarkable failure to confront the two basic issues which made it so hard for Candidate Harris to prevail as his replacement, once he'd been persuaded to step aside after his debate debacle in late June of this very year.

We refer again to President Biden's remarkable silence. To wit:

What explains President Biden's feckless behavior with respect to the southern border during the first three years of his term? As far as we know, the president has never made any attempt to explain.

(We'll be offering our own speculation within the next week.)

Also, what explained the economic situation which was confronting many voters as this year's election drew near? President Biden never made any serious attempt to address that situation either. In our view, the sitting president had virtually disappeared.

We're inclined to assume that President Biden was struggling with cognitive issues. (Others disagree.) This may explain why he made so little effort to speak about these major topics.

In that sense, there may be no one to blame for his failure to speak. No one to blame except, perhaps, the people around him.

That said, those of us in Blue America now face a dangerous state of affairs. We were sorry to see the way the Morning Joe gang seemed to feel they had to persist with the mandated statement about what a remarkably successful presidency this president has performed. 

Was President Biden a remarkably successful president? There may be no one to blame, but the extremely strange fourth year of his presidency has left the nation and the world in a perilous state,

In the past twenty-four hours, we've heard a lot of insightful assessments of how those of us in Blue America managed to get to this place. We'll start to review those assessments next week. 

Right now, on this very day, we'll merely offer this:

There may be no one to blame for the mess which finally became impossible to deny during that June 27 debate. There may be no one to blame for what may have happened to President Biden. 

Beyond that, no one knows where Tuesday's result will in fact lead the nation and the world. That said:

In our view, the nation is now in the hands of a badly disordered group of people. An obvious question remains in search of an answer:

"How did it [ever] get this far?" How did we ever get to this place?

This is a story without an ending, the Bogart character says at one point, midway through Casablanca

It was a story without an ending. So too today, as the nation, and the world, await an array of new normals.

This afternoon: Landslide elections v. this

27 comments:

  1. Re Trump’s election, it’s worth recalling the words of H. L. Mencken:

    “As democracy is perfected, the office of the president represents, more and more closely, the inner soul of the people. We move toward a lofty ideal. On some great and glorious day, the plain folks of the land will reach their heart’s desire at last, and the White House will be adorned by a downright moron.”

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    1. Forgive Trump, and wink at…I don’t know…Ginni Thomas.

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  2. Another Mencken quote that seems appropriate:

    “ Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard.”

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  3. New normals? No. Why is Somerby trying to normalize Trump?

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  4. A brief conversation with two liberal friends illustrates the difference between news sources. I mentioned DEI and race preferences. I said they were widespread. I said every government department had a DEI unit.

    One friend said that he understood that DEI was over. The other friend denied that race preferences exist.

    Note that we did not express disagreement regarding the desirability of preferences. We disagreed on what's happening in the real world -- something mostly based on what our media tell us.

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    1. So it’s white male rapists, felons, and pathological liars forever. Hooray.

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    2. How much longer will it be till we see the 2024- Russia Did It conspiracy theory? Russia did it with the enlistment of white moms. Russia did it via Elon Musk’s mom. Anonymices must be clamoring for marching orders. . What’s taking the overlords so long?

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    3. Says the man pretending to be a woman. A man filled with hate even after their hero thoroughly “owned the libs”. A man whose undying urge for dominance is never satisfied. A tragic wounded lost soul, desperate for attention, out to spread the same misery they themselves suffer from.

      You put a serial rapist/sexual assaulter/failed businessman snake oil salesman in the office of our presidency. You own that, so enjoy the ensuing chaos.

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    4. Anonymouse 11:19am, are you so de-energized that you are recycling posts from several years ago?

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    5. Why you mad, bro?

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    6. DEI installed Kamala into the Vice Presidency and is also the reason Democrats were forced to allow her to lead the ticket this year.

      The collapse of the entire enterprise was the result, which should teach us all we need to know about DEI.

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    7. lame response Cecelia.

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    8. I believe the vote was rigged. Prove me wrong, Cecelia and DiC.

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    9. 2016 136.6 million
      2020 Over 144 million
      2024 140.6 million

      @10:40 Why would the total number of votes go up by a huge amount in 2020 then decline in 2024? I suspect 5 million bogus votes were included in the 2020 total. Prove me wrong.

      P.S. Quaker presented safeguards that are used to protect voting by mail or by dropbox. Note that these safeguards were not universal in 2020.

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    10. voter suppression, Dickhead.

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    11. Anonymouse 11:37am, you’ve made assertions based upon extrapolations and bargain basement political polemics and then you say “prove me wrong”. You’re not wrong or right. You’re mouthing off.

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    12. @11:59 Voter suppression doesn't account for the big drop in number of voters in 2024. Wasn't there also voter suppression in 2020? In fact, since Trump was President in 2020, wouldn't you think there might have been more voter suppression in 2020 than in 2024?

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  5. It’s the turnout, stupid.

    Typically, every subsequent presidential election entails a substantial increase in the number of voters voting, something around an increase of 7-10 million.

    This is primarily due to the fact that humans enjoy fucking over pretty much anything else, reasonably so (humans are innately more like bonobos than chimps). Fucking, fyi, can often lead to reproduction (one of the reasons why abortion is a moral imperative for a healthy, happy society). Stop the presses!

    This election, it seems like Trump won’t quite match the number of votes from 4 years ago, but Harris got 15 MILLION less votes than Biden did 4 years ago.

    There’s something fishy about that, to be sure, but notably, 4 years ago the barriers to actually vote were dramatically lessened, due to Trump’s mishandling of the pandemic leading to widespread use of mail in ballots.

    Most Republicans think the 2020 election was stolen, and are having trouble explaining why this election was not similarly stolen.

    There were a lot of bomb threats to voting outlets that lean heavily Black, although Harris got roughly the same percent of the Black vote that Dems traditionally get.

    There was no significant vote switching, persuasion played no role; Trump did not motivate a landslide, he could not even muster the same enthusiasm of 2020, when he resoundingly lost.

    Seemingly, Dems just did not go out and vote. Shenanigans? Probably. Republicans have been running on a platform of voter suppression/dirty tricks for decades.

    Could this circumstance possibly arise out of Biden’s supposed “feckless behavior” on immigration and lack of addressing economic concerns? Anything is possible, but Brother, please. This is a silly notion, offered with zero evidence or substantiation. (In reality, Biden was vilified by Republicans for doing TOO MUCH on immigration, Republicans even blocking their own legislative bill out of spite; furthermore, Biden oversaw one of the most significant economic recoveries in our lifetime.)

    It seems like Somerby has personal issues with immigration and the economy, but has yet to offer any explanation of his issues, just vague finger wagging.

    Somerby wants to blame Biden’s supposed cognitive decline, yet the candidate that suffered the greater and more obvious cognitive decline, won.

    Right wingers are captivated by a notion of cycles, of coming turmoil. This is because they are vaguely aware of their own circumstance of living off inherited generational wealth, and suffering from cyclical and generational trauma, that was put upon them, that then they turn around and put upon others.

    Society and humanity will continue to wallow in misery until this cycle is broken for good.

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    1. I miss the marginally sane Marxist polemists of my youth. These new ones are complete goofs.

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    2. Lame response Cecelia. You don’t address a single point made by 11:04.

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    3. Anonymouse 11:42am, you aren’t making any points. You’re riffing. So am I. The difference being that I ascertain what constitutes riff.

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  6. 30% of black men in Texas voted for Trump.

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    1. How does that change anything? TX is red anyway.

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  7. "What will President Trump do in this second term?"

    What a stupid question. He'll make America great again; what else?

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    1. Trump will make Russia great again, at the expense of the US and the rest of the world, which is why the trolls are so gleeful.

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    2. First he will appoint a corrupt AG who will then dismiss the felony indictments he is fucking out on bail on. Then he will go about corruptly using the unlimited and thanks to the corrupt SC6 unchecked power of the presidency to revenge on his enemies. the end of democracy was voted in

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  8. The Daily Howler obliterates the boundaries between self and world by crushing the self besieged by the presence-absence of the world and it obliterates the boundaries between true and false by driving all lived truth below the real presence of fraud ensured by the organization of appearance. One who passively accepts his alien daily fate is thus pushed toward a madness that reacts in an illusory way to this fate by resorting to magical techniques. The acceptance and consumption of commodities are at the heart of this pseudo-response to a blog without response. The need to imitate which is felt by the reader is precisely the infantile need conditioned by all the aspects of his fundamental dispossession. In the terms applied by Godel to a completely different pathological level, “the abnormal need for representation here compensates for a tortuous feeling of being on the margin of existence.”

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