THROUGH A GLASS EXTREMELY DARKLY: Biden isn't out of the woods!

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15, 2020

Feinstein, off in the weeds: We lost the thread of this week's planned report as we spent the past three days watching the Barrett hearings.

Our original focus withered away as we sat and watched. On the other hand, we got to see Diane Feinstein say this, yesterday morning:

FEINSTEIN (10/14/20):  For me, the Voting Rights Act is extremely important. And it defines our election system to a great extent. It’s hard for me to understand that anyone would want to do away with it. What is your position in that regard?

For what it's worth, the Court's decision in Shelby County v. Holder didn't "do away with [the Voting Rights Act]." As Barrett explained, it did away with certain parts of that act. 

The leading authority on the decision explains:

Shelby County v. Holder, 570 U.S. 529 (2013), was a landmark decision of the US Supreme Court regarding the constitutionality of two provisions of the Voting Rights Act of 1965: Section 5, which requires certain states and local governments to obtain federal preclearance before implementing any changes to their voting laws or practices; and Section 4(b), which contains the coverage formula that determines which jurisdictions are subjected to preclearance based on their histories of discrimination in voting.

On June 25, 2013, the Court ruled by a 5-to-4 vote that Section 4(b) is unconstitutional because the coverage formula is based on data over 40 years old, making it no longer responsive to current needs and therefore an impermissible burden on the constitutional principles of federalism and equal sovereignty of the states. The Court did not strike down Section 5, but without Section 4(b), no jurisdiction will be subject to Section 5 preclearance unless Congress enacts a new coverage formula.

The Shelby decision left Congress free to create a new preclearance formula. Seven years have passed, and Feinstein and her associates haven't achieved, or perhaps even sought, any such revision.

For ourselves, we'd like to see every state and jurisdiction supervised by the federal government in this very important area. Others will strongly disagree, and the tribal divisions which undergird such matters have hardened, then turned to stone, in recent decades.

We were struck by Feinstein's statement, in which she said it was hard for her to understand why anyone would have favored the Court's decision. Despite our personal preference in this area, it wasn't hard for us to understand that matter, nor was it hard to understand the reasoning behind the majority decision.

But so it goes in modern America, a failing state which is, by the by, increasingly a gerontocracy. You can set possible agreement to the side. Feinstein, 87 years old, was happy to say that she can't even understand the values and views of the others.

It disn't seem to cross her mind that she was thereby making a comment about herself and about her own tribal faction.

It isn't that she doesn't agree with the others. She said she can't even understand why anyone would disagree with her. This is the essence of tribal intelligence, or so major experts have told us.

We were struck by Feinstein's admission that she can't understand. It seemed to us that her admission emerged from deep in the weeds. We thought of her statement early this morning when we heard that Candidate Biden may not be out of the woods. 

We heard the statement on Morning Joe. It tracks to a detailed analysis piece by Thomas Edsall of the New York Times.

As of this morning. Edsall's piece was barely being featured at all at the New York Times web site. 

It's classified as an Opinion piece. The site linked to nineteen other Opinion columns before Edsall's piece appeared on the list.

Edsall's piece is scary. It appears beneath these headlines:

Biden Is Not Out of the Woods / Unanticipated electoral developments are affecting both presidential campaigns in surprising ways. 

"Most signals favor Biden," he writes. Instantly, though, he adds some scary observations: 

EDSALL (10/14/20): With 20 days to go, most signals favor Joe Biden, but the chain of events that delivered an Electoral College victory to Donald Trump in 2016 still hovers in the rearview mirror.

[...]

Here are some of the things causing anxiety among Democratic partisans, particularly political professionals.

One way to measure voter enthusiasm is to compare voter registration trends for each party. A Democratic strategist who closely follows the data on a day-to-day basis wrote in a privately circulated newsletter:

"Since last week, the share of white non-college over 30 registrations in the battleground states has increased by 10 points compared to September 2016, and the Democratic margin dropped 10 points to just 6 points. And there are serious signs of political engagement by white non-college voters who had not cast ballots in previous elections."

David Wasserman, House editor for The Cook Political Report. wrote on Oct. 1 that voter registration patterns over a longer period in key battleground states show that “Republicans have swamped Democrats in adding new voters to the rolls, a dramatic GOP improvement over 2016.”

As an aside, the quoted excerpt from that "privately circulated newsletter" is virtually incoherent. We invite you to try to explain what either part of its first sentence means.

It's interesting that an experienced journalist, and his editors at the Times, were willing to publish a statement which basically can't be paraphrased. That said, Edsall then quotes Wasserman saying this, in recognizable English:

“Republicans have swamped Democrats in adding new voters to the rolls...”

Is it possible that a wave of new voters is being added to the rolls in a way which is slipping under the radar of polling groups? 

We don't have the slightest idea. Meanwhile, Edsall cites other sources of concern, even including this:

EDSALL: Democratic strategists are also worried about how well their voters will perform in properly requesting, filling out and mailing in absentee ballots.

More than twice as many Biden voters as Trump voters—the actual ratio is 2.4 to 1—plan to cast ballots by mail, according to polling by Pew. So far, however, Democratic requests for absentee ballots have not reached the levels that surveys suggest will be needed for the party to cast votes at full strength on Election Day.

That resembles a point of concern we described on Monday. For the record, we have no idea how the election will turn out, even assuming that it proceeds in a normal way.

Could Donald J. Trump really win? This morning, Joe Scarborough started Morning Joe with comments about Edsall's essay. 

Eventually, Scarborough explained why many of his family and friends are still going to vote for Trump, a man they regard with disdain. It comes down to "negative partisanship," Scarborough explained:

SCARBOROUGH (10/15/20): It’s really negative partisanship. It’s their fear of the Democrats. It’s their fear of "Woke Nation." It’s their fear that the kids will go to college and get hammered because of political correctness. 

You can’t say that on television without people freaking out. I’m just explaining it to you. Political correctness is something that is not spoken of, [but] it drives so much of Donald Trump’s support.

How do I know? Because I keep hearing it from one person after another. When I say, "How can you support this man who has breached every constitutional norm, who breached every societal norm?", they’ll talk about how Democrats are socialists. They’ll come back and talk about political correctness and "wokeness." It’s the negative partisanship even more than it is Donald Trump.

You can watch videotape of the fuller statement at Raw Story. Inevitably, MSNBC declined to post this tape.

To what extent was Scarborough describing the source of Trump's continued support? Is it possible that Trump could still squeak through to re-election, thanks to this type of support?

We don't know how to answer that question, but we thought of Feinstein's lack of understanding when we watched Scarborough's presentation. We also thought of one of our tribe's better-known former professors, and of the possible disasters which may ensue when certain professors interact with the upper-end mainstream press.

We see The Crazy all around Candidate Donald J. Trump. Unfortunately, we also see emanations from the penumbra of The Crazy affecting our tribe Over Here.

Feinstein doesn't even understand the way the others feel. All too often, we suspect that we possibly do. 

We'll start with that professor tomorrow. With hours lost before the tube, our exploration of this week's topic still has a long way to go.

Tomorrow: Our own tribe's professors gone wild


39 comments:

  1. Feinstein says: "It’s hard for me to understand that anyone would want to do away with it."

    Somerby then objects that the recent court decision did not do away with it.

    But Feinstein is talking about someone wanting to do away with it, not saying that the court actually did away with it.

    Somerby, that fine parser of meaning, attributes something to Feinstein that she did not say. Wanting to do something and doing it are two different things.

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  2. "The Shelby decision left Congress free to create a new preclearance formula. Seven years have passed, and Feinstein and her associates haven't achieved, or perhaps even sought, any such revision."

    Somerby pretends that Democrats in Congress could have done whatever they wanted in the past 7 years. He knows full well that Republicans have obstructed such efforts during Obama's term and that Republicans have continued to control the Senate during Trump's term. Further, Somerby ignores that the plan to maintain power by Republicans involves suppressing the voting rights of minorities, who tend to vote Democratic.

    That makes this an argument in bad faith. Shame on you, Somerby!

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  3. "We see The Crazy all around Candidate Donald J. Trump."

    Meh. May we suggest that you're probably a bit confused, dear Bob, and you're actually looking at yourself in the mirror?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ешь говно, тролль.

      Delete
  4. "We were struck by Feinstein's statement, in which she said it was hard for her to understand why anyone would have favored the Court's decision." Feinstein was talking about voting rights, not a narrow interpretation of the mechanics of the act, overturned because it involved obsolete data.

    Here, Somerby continues his strawman argument, pretending that Feinstein said something different than she actually said about doing away with the Voting Rights Act itself and its definition of our election system (now being challenged in practice).

    This excessive literalism allows Somerby to support Barrett while pretending he cares about liberal values and access to voting for all. The same pretense (fiction) maintained by Republicans as they have denied access to voting over the years.

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  5. "Is it possible that a wave of new voters is being added to the rolls in a way which is slipping under the radar of polling groups?"

    Here Somerby repeats the Republican meme that Trump is actually winning because Trump voters are not being properly polled. What about the boat parade participants? Any specious possibility to maintain sufficient hope among Trumpies so that they will bother to cast their votes, right Somerby? THIS is yet another Republican talking point popping up on Somerby's blog like clockwork.

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  6. My current theory is that Somerby keeps calling Trump "crazy" because that way he can pretend to oppose Trump and attack him without pointing out any actual flaw that might hurt his reelection chances. Crazy is non-specific and thus easy to reject out-of-hand, but using that label gives Somerby cover to concern troll and create dissension from the left (supposedly). Meanwhile, with all of his concern, Somerby never comes out and tell his readers to vote for Biden, or to even be sure to vote, like an actual liberal would do, and as liberals are doing all over the internet.

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  7. "Political Correctness" is a right-wing invention. In college, you will hear people saying all kinds of things not encountered at home, but no one is forcing anyone to agree or to say the right thing, or any of the thought policing that the right complains about. Someone who says this hasn't been on a campus in a long time.

    Twitter culture isn't campus culture.

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  8. “Seven years have passed, and Feinstein and her associates haven't achieved, or perhaps even sought, any such revision.”

    Somerby is either phoning it in, or, just perhaps, he is engaged in propaganda.

    Here is what actually happened:

    “AN ACT
    To amend the Voting Rights Act of 1965 to revise the criteria for determining which States and political subdivisions are subject to section 4 of the Act, and for other purposes.”
    https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/house-bill/4/text

    “House Passes Democrats’ Centerpiece Anti-Corruption and Voting Rights Bill”
    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/03/08/us/politics/house-democrats-anticorruption-voting-rights.html

    “Mr. McConnell has said he doesn’t believe Black voters still face voter suppression efforts, and therefore there is no longer a need for Congress to impose federal oversight on local election decisions.”

    This was amply covered in the New York Times, probably on days when Somerby was engrossed in the Style section.

    Somerby is a jerk.

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  9. It's easy to understand why someone would want to do away with the Voting Rights Act, once you realize Republicans still want to win elections, even though their ideas are odious to the majority of the citizens.

    ReplyDelete
  10. According to NBC News, through August of 2020:

    “Florida has added 2.4 million new voters since Election Day 2016, with Democrats holding an edge of 59,000 in new registrants in the two-party split,”
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/democrats-have-voter-registration-advantage-four-states-n1238805

    And that includes the timeframe Edsall refers to (March 2020 through August 2020, per Wasserman at the Cook Report) when Republicans supposedly outpaced Democrats in new registrations.

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  11. Scarborough’s family and friends seem to be classifiable as “others.”

    Why do they support Trump?:

    Democrats are “socialists” and “politically correct.”

    No mention of “economic anxiety” there, or any explanation why Trump’s disastrous handling of Covid is less an issue than “socialism/political correctness.”

    This is what the “others” say, no matter how many times the media interviews them.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Agree. I know a Trump supporter whose sons recently graduated from major state colleges in Florida. Neither he nor they ever mentioned PC culture being any part of their college experience. They were business majors. PC is scaremongering of the ignorant. Anyone who's obsessed with fear over it was always going to vote GOP. There's no indication that significant numbers of voters care about it.

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    2. Didn't we just see this here, the other day, at TDH?
      Right-wingers HATE political correctness, right up to the point you tell them the truth about themselves.

      Delete
    3. The voter who's upset that they can't openly spew out hateful racist and sexist language on a college campus is most likely an aging voter whose been voting GOP since Reagan.

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    4. @3:01 PM

      Meh. The times when the liberal establishment would only cancel you for saying something they don't like are long gone.

      Nowadays, the liberal establishment will cancel you for merely not repeating their racist hate-mongering talking points enthusiastically enough.

      It's not surprising that your acquaintances in Florida would keep their mouths shut with a dembot like you around. Who needs trouble.

      Delete
    5. I didn't realize the Establishment felt that way, Mao. Did they tell you why they wanted you to write that?

      Delete
  12. Someone who complains about political correctness appears, to liberal ears, to be complaining about having to respect people they used to harass with impunity. Using the term "political correctness" is like wearing a sign that says "I am a bigot."

    Somerby claims that "the other" dislike being called bigots, and I have no doubt that is true, but if you behave like a bigot you are going to be called one. Because the majority of people in this country do not believe bigotry is OK. So, ultimately, this comes down to a white minority who is squealing because they have lost the privilege of demeaning others without consequences.

    Somerby is overly concerned with how this all looks to "the others" but they are not the ones whose feelings matter any more. I have no doubt they are upset about that too. Somerby's concern is one of the things that marks him as "not liberal".

    ReplyDelete
  13. From No More Mister Nice Blog:

    "The main allegation -- that Biden met with Pozharskyi and then pressured Ukraine to fire a prosecutor investigating Burisma -- is wrong and has been wrong since the pro-Trump disinformationists started alleging it.
    Government officials and Ukrainian anticorruption advocates said Shokin had hampered the investigation into Burisma long before Joe Biden even stepped into the picture, The Wall Street Journal reported.

    In other words, Biden was doing the opposite of what Trump and Giuliani have implied: He was trying to oust a prosecutor who was slow-walking the investigation into Burisma, rather than actively targeting the company.

    Western diplomats have also said Shokin effectively shut down one such investigation into Burisma's founder in the UK by refusing to cooperate with authorities. And Bloomberg reported that the Burisma investigation was largely dormant when Biden called for Shokin to be fired.

    Most important, Biden represented the US's official position on the matter, one that was shared by many other Western governments and anticorruption activists in Ukraine, The Associated Press reported.
    But if Pozharskyi is tainted, why did Trump's envoy meet with him? "

    ReplyDelete
  14. Charles P. Pierce (from Esquire):

    "The general feeling that the nomination of Judge Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court is the capstone of a lavishly funded, long-term conservative plan to own the federal judiciary for the foreseeable future, and that Barrett's career is altogether a product of that project, has hung over the confirmation hearings like a foul mist. On Tuesday afternoon, Senator Sheldon Whitehouse gave that feeling form and substance, and charts, too.

    Whitehouse used every one of his allotted 30 minutes to describe in detail the mechanisms by which conservative activists, fueled by the unlimited corporate money unleashed by Citizens United v. FEC, have fashioned to produce judicial nominees—and, ultimately, judges—on what in the last decade has looked very much like an ideological assembly line. Whitehouse showed in (occasionally excruciating) detail every aspect of the complicated network at the center of which is the Federalist Society, the intellectual wingnut-welfare chop-shop to which this president* outsourced the selection of federal judges.

    He then tied all that research into the current full-court press across the federal courts to kill the Affordable Care Act, curb reproductive freedom, and reverse marriage equality, to say nothing of the dozens of cases regarding the money power and corporate control of government that are the real goals of most of the people funding what Whitehouse called, "the schemes." Whitehouse even worked in his favorite statistic—that on those kind of cases, there have been 80 decisions handed down by the current court as 5-4 decision, and the business/conservative side of those cases, which almost always coincides with the interests of Republican donors, is 80-0."

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No question, that the ?Federalist Society controls federal court judgeship appointments, and conservative, groomed by right wing organizations, are filling the Federal courts, with predictable results. This wouldn't have happened if democrats won more elections, and were in the White House and in the majority in the senate. Also, when Republicans stymied Obama's appointments to the federal court, the then democratically controlled senate did away the filibuster for judicial appointments, to prevent veto power by the then minority Republicans in the Senate. That type of thing cuts both ways, as we now see - the dems are powerless to stop any appointments, with the filibuster gone.

      Delete
  15. "Democratic strategists are also worried about how well their voters will perform in properly requesting, filling out and mailing in absentee ballots."

    This is a legit worry. Dems should use some of their huge war chest to explain to voters how to fill out their ballots properly. It's very important that voter's signature matches their voter registration signature.

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    Replies
    1. People are taking your suggestion. However, there is no reason why this is more of a Democratic concern than a Republican one.

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    2. I'm glad to hear that. But yes there is a reason why it is a bigger concern for Dems. A larger percent of their vote is coming from vote-by-mail.

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  16. TDH: Is it possible that a wave of new voters is being added to the rolls in a way which is slipping under the radar of polling groups? We don't have the slightest idea."

    538 just had a long article on this very topic. Major pollsters are going to extreme lengths to reach less educated voters who voted heavily for Trump in 2016 to the extent that there's concern that they may have overcompensated. Which means it's possible that the polls could have a slight bias toward Trump this time.

    The 538 article did say that the polls cannot predict who is more motivated--who turns out to vote and who doesn't.

    ReplyDelete
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  18. Of course Biden could lose. With the gerontocracy in power on the Dems' side, it might be a foregone conclusion, after watching Feinstein's performance at the "confirmation hearings" for a SCOTUS appointment.

    LINK

    Leroy

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Biden could win. Or Biden could lose. Now bask in my brilliance.

      -signed TDH

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  23. I want to thank Dr Emu a very powerful spell caster who help me to bring my husband back to me, few month ago i have a serious problem with my husband, to the extend that he left the house, and he started dating another woman and he stayed with the woman, i tried all i can to bring him back, but all my effort was useless until the day my friend came to my house and i told her every thing that had happened between me and my husband, then she told me of a powerful spell caster who help her when she was in the same problem I then contact Dr Emu and told him every thing and he told me not to worry my self again that my husband will come back to me after he has cast a spell on him, i thought it was a joke, after he had finish casting the spell, he told me that he had just finish casting the spell, to my greatest surprise within 48 hours, my husband really came back begging me to forgive him, if you need his help you can contact him with via email: Emutemple@gmail.com or add him up on his whatsapp +2347012841542 is willing to help any body that need his help.

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  24. Hello everyone I want to let the whole world know how Dr Great has restored my broken relationship with Wayne. We have been together for 3 years and he told me that he doesn’t love me like he used to. Things have not been good for about 4 months and he ended this about 2 weeks ago. I was miserable and just don’t want to go on anymore. I did text him right after this but he didn’t even respond to me. One day I was searching for a way to get him back on the Internet when I saw a post of a lady testifying of how a love spell caster called Dr Great helped her to get back her Ex, I was so desperate to get mine back so I messaged him and explained my situation to him and he instructed me to do somethings which I did and 24 hours later my boyfriend Wayne came back kneeling and begging for my forgiveness and I forgive him and our relationship was back to normal again, if your Ex broke up with you or you have any problem then you problem has come to an end because Dr Great can solve all marriage and relationship problems. If you need his urgent help email him at 

    infinitylovespell@gmail.com OR infinitylovespell@yahoo.com 

    You can also call or add him on WhatsApp +2348118829899

    BLOG http://infinitylovespell1.blogspot.com

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  25. Email Dr Sambo for a real love spell: divinespellhome@gmail.com 
    contact him on his  whatsapp mobile line +2348145810121 You can also visit his website http://drsambo443.website2.me/
    Hello viewers, I living in South Africa , I am very happy to share this amazing testimony, I was hurt and heart broken when my husband left me with our two children, I was confused and didn't know what to do, I loved him so much, I tried all I could to bring him back but to no avail, on one faithfully day as I was coming from work I met a friend of mine whom I explain my problem to, and she told me of a spell caster called "Dr Sambo" whom also make her pregnant when she was looking for a child, I contacted the spell caster through the email she gave to me, and the spell caster told me what to do and I did exactly as I was told,  to my grates surprise, my husband who has not called me for a very long time, called me and start apologizing for all the wrongs he did to me, and now  he loved me more than ever before, brothers and sisters if you are passing through any kind problem contact him and i give you 100% guarantee that he will solve your problems. this is his contacts divinespellhome@gmail.com whatsapp mobile line +2348145810121

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  26. I want to share this wonderful testimony to the Good people all over the world on how I was able to Enlarge my Penis by Dr. Aziba. I was living a shameful life from my young age, just last month as I was browsing on the internet about Penis size  and Enlargement Products, I saw a testimony of a Man called Tim James testifying of how he was able to get his penis Enlarged by Dr. Aziba and I decided to also Email Dr. Aziba for my small penis size and he quickly respond to me and gave me the normal instructions which i did and then he shipped the product to me here in the united state which i received in just 3 working days and today i am very happy because i started seeing positive changes in my penis size in just 7 days of use.  Dr Aziba herbal product is the best recommended for you and to whom ever suffering from this shame or having any other diseases as well should Contact this great herbal doctor via his Email : Priestazibasolutioncenter@gmail.com and WhatsApp Him on +2348100368288

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